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The occurrence of Simpson's paradox (SP) in $2\times 2$ contingency tables has been well studied. The present work comprehensively revisits this problem using a combination of philosophical reflections, causal considerations, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-23 Palash Sarkar , Prasanta S. Bandyopadhyay

Well known Simpson's paradox is puzzling and surprising for many, especially for the empirical researchers and users of statistics. However there is no surprise as far as mathematical details are concerned. A lot more is written about the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-04-24 Priyantha Wijayatunga

The well-known Simpson's Paradox, or Yule-Simpson Effect, in statistics is often illustrated by the following thought experiment: A drug may be found in a trial to increase the survival rate for both men and women, but decrease the rate for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-03-14 Yaoyun Shi

Simpson's paradox and collapsibility are two closely related concepts in the context of data analysis. While the knowledge about the occurrence of Simpson's paradox helps a statistician to draw correct and meaningful conclusions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-19 P. Vellaisamy

Given two sets of data which lead to a similar statistical conclusion, the Simpson Paradox describes the tactic of combining these two sets and achieving the opposite conclusion. Depending upon the given data, this may or may not succeed.…

Applications · Statistics 2008-01-30 Ora E. Percus , Jerome K. Percus

Odds ratios and log-linear parameters are not collapsible, meaning that including a variable into the analysis or omitting one from it, may change the strength of association among the remaining variables. Even the direction of association…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Tamas Rudas

The analysis of contingency tables is a powerful statistical tool used in experiments with categorical variables. This study improves parts of the theory underlying the use of contingency tables. Specifically, the linkage disequilibrium…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Friedrich Teuscher

The McNemar test evaluates the hypothesis that two correlated proportion is common in $2 \times 2$ contingency tables with the same categories. This study discusses a test for symmetry in $2 \times 2$ contingency tables with nonignorable…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Kouji Tahata , Yusuke Ii , Takahiro Nishiyama

Data based judgments go into artificial intelligence applications but they undergo paradoxical reversal when seemingly unnecessary additional data is provided. Examples of this are Simpson's reversal and the disjunction effect where the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-09-14 Subhash Kak

Simpson's Paradox is a well-known phenomenon in statistical science, where the relationship between the response variable $X$ and a certain explanatory factor of interest $A$ reverses when an additional factor $B_1$ is considered. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Guisheng Dai , Weizhen Wang

This paper describes Simpson's paradox, and explains its serious implications for randomised control trials. In particular, we show that for any number of variables we can simulate the result of a controlled trial which uniformly points to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-04 Norman Fenton , Martin Neil , Anthony Constantinou

The primary objective of this paper is to revisit Simpson's paradox using a statistical misspecification perspective. It is argued that the reversal of statistical associations is sometimes spurious, stemming from invalid probabilistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Aris Spanos

Simpson's paradox is an obstacle to establishing a probabilistic association between two events $a_1$ and $a_2$, given the third (lurking) random variable $B$. We focus on scenarios when the random variables $A$ (which combines $a_1$,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 A. Hovhannisyan , A. E. Allahverdyan

Simpson's paradox, a long-standing statistical phenomenon, describes the reversal of an observed association when data are disaggregated into sub-populations. It has critical implications across statistics, epidemiology, economics, and…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yi Yang , Jian Pei , Jun Yang , Jichun Xie

The universal relations for spin-$1/2$ fermions with contact interaction in the presence of quenched disorder are discussed. The disorder is modeled by a random external potential with the Gaussian distribution and $\delta$-like two-point…

Quantum Gases · Physics 2024-09-04 V. Pastukhov

Barlow (1985) hypothesized that the co-occurrence of two events $A$ and $B$ is "suspicious" if $P(A,B) \gg P(A) P(B)$. We first review classical measures of association for $2 \times 2$ contingency tables, including Yule's $Y$ (Yule, 1912),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Christopher K. I. Williams

Can you decide if there is a coincidence in the numbers counting two different combinatorial objects? For example, can you decide if two regions in $\mathbb{R}^3$ have the same number of domino tilings? There are two versions of the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Swee Hong Chan , Igor Pak

In statistical applications, the normal and the Laplace distributions are often contrasted: the former as a standard tool of analysis, the latter as its robust counterpart. I discuss the convolutions of these two popular distributions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-21 Marco Geraci

In this paper, we present a possible theoretical explanation for benford's law. We develop a recursive relation between the probabilities, using simple intuitive ideas. We first use numerical solutions of this recursion and verify that the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2012-11-30 H. M. Bharath

In this paper we review two symmetry axioms of special relativity and their connections to each other together with their role in some famous predictions of relativity theory, such as time dilation, length contraction, and the twin paradox.…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-01-15 Gergely Székely
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