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We study whether liquidity and volatility proxies of a core set of cryptoassets generate spillovers that forecast market-wide risk. Our empirical framework integrates three statistical layers: (A) interactions between core liquidity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Yimeng Qiu , Feihuang Fang

Correlation networks were used to detect characteristics which, although fixed over time, have an important influence on the evolution of prices over time. Potentially important features were identified using the websites and whitepapers of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-19 Andrew Burnie

Cryptocurrencies have become a popular and widely researched topic of interest in recent years for investors and scholars. In order to make informed investment decisions, it is essential to comprehend the factors that impact cryptocurrency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Abdulrezzak Zekiye , Semih Utku , Fadi Amroush , Oznur Ozkasap

As global financial markets become increasingly interconnected, financial contagion has developed into a major influencer of asset price dynamics. Motivated by this context, our study explores financial contagion both within and between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-09 An Pham Ngoc Nguyen , Marija Bezbradica , Martin Crane

In this paper we analyse the effects of information flows in cryptocurrency markets. We first define a cryptocurrency trading network, i.e. the network made using cryptocurrencies as nodes and the Granger causality among their weekly log…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-11 Tomas Scagliarini , Giuseppe Pappalardo , Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Cryptocurrencies have gained popularity across various sectors, especially in finance and investment. Despite their growing popularity, cryptocurrencies can be a high-risk investment due to their price volatility. The inherent volatility in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Rasoul Amirzadeh , Dhananjay Thiruvady , Asef Nazari , Mong Shan Ee

We study the dependency and causality structure of the cryptocurrency market investigating collective movements of both prices and social sentiment related to almost two thousand cryptocurrencies traded during the first six months of 2018.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-05 Tomaso Aste

Our analysis focuses on the stock cryptocurrency market, by studying a group of nineteen cryptocurrencies where their capitalisation is about 99% of the total market. Specifically, it is examined this group of cryptocurrencies for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-29 Stergios Intzes , Georgios D. Papadopoulos , Lykourgos Magafas

With 5394 security certificates of IT products and systems, the Common Criteria for Information Technology Security Evaluation have bred an ecosystem entangled with various kind of relations between the certified products. Yet, the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Adam Janovsky , Łukasz Chmielewski , Petr Svenda , Jan Jancar , Vashek Matyas

In the post-crisis era, financial regulators and policymakers are increasingly interested in data-driven tools to measure systemic risk and to identify systemically important firms. Granger Causality (GC) based techniques to build networks…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-27 Kara Karpman , Samriddha Lahiry , Diganta Mukherjee , Sumanta Basu

This letter explores the behavior of conditional correlations among main cryptocurrencies, stock and bond indices, and gold, using a generalized DCC class model. From a portfolio management point of view, asset correlation is a key metric…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-28 Nektarios Aslanidis , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Oscar Martinez-Ibañez

Maintaining a balance between returns and volatility is a common strategy for portfolio diversification, whether investing in traditional equities or digital assets like cryptocurrencies. One approach for diversification is the application…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-01 Dimitar Kitanovski , Igor Mishkovski , Viktor Stojkoski , Miroslav Mirchev

Extreme volatility, nonlinear dependencies, and systemic fragility are characteristics of cryptocurrency markets. The assumptions of normality and centralized control in traditional financial risk models frequently cause them to miss these…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Kiarash Firouzi

This paper studies the dynamic market linkages among cryptocurrencies during August 2015 - July 2020 and finds a substantial increase in market linkages for both returns and volatilities. We use different methodologies to check the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-01 Nektarios Aslanidis , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Alejandro Perez-Laborda

Cryptocurrencies are an emerging economic force, but there are concerns about their security. This is due, in part, to complex collusion cases and new threat vectors that could be missed by conventional security assessment strategies. To…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Ghada Almashaqbeh , Allison Bishop , Justin Cappos

Academics increasingly acknowledge the predictive power of social media for a wide variety of events and, more specifically, for financial markets. Anecdotal and empirical findings show that cryptocurrencies are among the financial assets…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Meysam Alizadeh , Yasaman Asgari , Zeynab Samei , Sara Yari , Shirin Dehghani , Mael Kubli , Darya Zare , Juan Diego Bermeo , Veronika Batzdorfer , Fabrizio Gilardi

This paper analyzes realized return behavior across a broad set of crypto assets by estimating heterogeneous exposures to idiosyncratic and systematic risk. A key challenge arises from the latent nature of broader economy-wide risk sources:…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-27 Nektarios Aslanidis , Aurelio Bariviera , George Kapetanios , Vasilis Sarafidis

This article investigates the causality structure of financial time series. We concentrate on three main approaches to measuring causality: linear Granger causality, kernel generalisations of Granger causality (based on ridge regression and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-17 Anna Zaremba , Tomaso Aste

Financial networks can be constructed using statistical dependencies found within the price series of speculative assets. Across the various methods used to infer these networks, there is a general reliance on predictive modelling to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-23 Cameron Cornell , Lewis Mitchell , Matthew Roughan

We propose a nonparametric and time-varying directed information graph (TV-DIG) framework to estimate the evolving causal structure in time series networks, thereby addressing the limitations of traditional econometric models in capturing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-29 Jalal Etesami , Ali Habibnia , Negar Kiyavash
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