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For a $d$-dimensional stochastic process $(S_n)_{n=0}^N$ we obtain criteria for the existence of an equivalent martingale measure, whose density $z$, up to a normalizing constant, is bounded from below by a given random variable $f$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-11 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

We apply a variation on the methods of Duminil-Copin, Raoufi, and Tassion to establish a new differential inequality applying to both Bernoulli percolation and the Fortuin-Kasteleyn random cluster model. This differential inequality has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Tom Hutchcroft

In this paper, a novel approach to the problem of estimating the heavy-tail exponent alpha>0 of a distribution is proposed. It is based on the fact that block-maxima of size m of the independent and identically distributed data scale at a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Murad S. Taqqu

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$ be a probability space and $\varphi:\ \Omega\times[0,\infty)\to [0,\infty)$ be a Musielak--Orlicz function. In this article, the authors establish the atomic characterizations of weak martingale…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Guangheng Xie , Dachun Yang

We establish sharp exponential deviation estimates of the information content as well as a sharp bound on the varentropy for the class of convex measures on Euclidean spaces. This generalizes a similar development for log-concave measures…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Matthieu Fradelizi , Jiange Li , Mokshay Madiman

We prove nonasymptotic matrix concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of (sub)gaussian random matrices with centered independent entries that capture fluctuations at the Tracy-Widom scale. This considerably improves previous bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Tatiana Brailovskaya , Ramon van Handel

This paper presents concentration inequalities and laws of large numbers under weak assumptions of irrelevance, expressed through lower and upper expectations. The results are variants and extensions of De Cooman and Miranda's recent…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-18 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

The Gumbel max-domain of attraction corresponds to a null tail index which do not distinguish the different tail weights that might exist between distributions within this class. The Weibull-type distributions form an important subgroup of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Pavlina Jordanova

We provide sufficient conditions for polynomial rate of convergence in the weak law of large numbers for supercritical general indecomposable multi-type branching processes. The main result is derived by investigating the embedded…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-07 Alexander Iksanov , Matthias Meiners

A convergence theorem for martingales with c\`adl\`ag trajectories (right continuous with left limits everywhere) is obtained in the sense of the weak dual topology on Hilbert space, under conditions that are much weaker than those required…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Bruno N. Remillard , Jean Vaillancourt

Recent work on random growth models with light-tailed Markov-modulated additive shocks has shown that irreducible modulation yields tail behavior resembling an exponential distribution. We show that with reducible modulation the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Brendan K. Beare , Alexis Akira Toda

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

There is growing interest in developing statistical estimators that achieve exponential concentration around a population target even when the data distribution has heavier than exponential tails. More recent activity has focused on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Jakwang Kim , Jiyoung Park , Anirban Bhattacharya

This paper establishes the functional convergence of the Extreme Nelson--Aalen and Extreme Kaplan--Meier estimators, which are designed to capture the heavy-tailed behaviour of censored losses. The resulting limit representations can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Martin Bladt , Christoffer Øhlenschlæger

We obtain lower tail estimates for the smallest singular value of random matrices with independent but non-identically distributed entries. Specifically, we consider $n\times n$ matrices with complex entries of the form \[ M = A\circ X + B…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-21 Nicholas A. Cook

Many problems in combinatorial linear algebra require upper bounds on the number of solutions to an underdetermined system of linear equations $Ax = b$, where the coordinates of the vector $x$ are restricted to take values in some small…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Asaf Ferber , Vishesh Jain , Yufei Zhao

This paper is organized in three parts closely related to closure properties of heavy-tailed distributions and heavy-tailed random vectors. In the first part we consider two random variables X and Y with distributions F and G respectively.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We consider an $N \times N$ random symmetric Toeplitz matrix with an i.i.d. input sequence drawn from a distribution that lies in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law for $0 < \alpha < 2$. We show that under an appropriate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Ratul Biswas , Arnab Sen

This note provides a conditional Berry-Esseen bound for the sum of a martingale difference sequence $\{X_i\}_{i=1}^n$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\ge 1$, adapted to a filtration $\{\mathcal{F}_i\}_{i=1}^n$. We approximate the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-14 Denis Kojevnikov , Kyungchul Song
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