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This paper focuses on studying the multilevel Monte Carlo method recently introduced by Giles [Oper. Res. 56 (2008) 607-617] which is significantly more efficient than the classical Monte Carlo one. Our aim is to prove a central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier

This paper considers the challenging computational task of estimating nested expectations. Existing algorithms, such as nested Monte Carlo or multilevel Monte Carlo, are known to be consistent but require a large number of samples at both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Zonghao Chen , Masha Naslidnyk , François-Xavier Briol

Monte Carlo is a simple and flexible tool that is widely used in computational finance. In this context, it is common for the quantity of interest to be the expected value of a random variable defined via a stochastic differential equation.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-06 Desmond J. Higham

In this paper we propose an efficient stochastic optimization algorithm to search for Bayesian experimental designs such that the expected information gain is maximized. The gradient of the expected information gain with respect to…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-03 Takashi Goda , Tomohiko Hironaka , Wataru Kitade , Adam Foster

We consider the problem of sequentially choosing between a set of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators to minimize the mean-squared-error (MSE) of a final combined estimate. By reducing this task to a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-15 James Neufeld , András György , Dale Schuurmans , Csaba Szepesvári

It is shown that superefficient Monte Carlo computations can be carried out by using chaotic dynamical systems as non-uniform random-number generators. Here superefficiency means that the expectation value of the square of the error…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Ken Umeno

This paper develops algorithms for high-dimensional stochastic control problems based on deep learning and dynamic programming. Unlike classical approximate dynamic programming approaches, we first approximate the optimal policy by means of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Côme Huré , Huyên Pham , Achref Bachouch , Nicolas Langrené

Many machine learning problems optimize an objective that must be measured with noise. The primary method is a first order stochastic gradient descent using one or more Monte Carlo (MC) samples at each step. There are settings where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Sifan Liu , Art B. Owen

Classical probabilistic rounding error analysis is particularly well suited to stochastic rounding (SR), and it yields strong results when dealing with floating-point algorithms that rely heavily on summation. For many numerical linear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-26 El-Mehdi El Arar , Massimiliano Fasi , Silviu-Ioan Filip , Mantas Mikaitis

We analyze and compare the computational complexity of different simulation strategies for Monte Carlo in the setting of classically scaled population processes. This allows a range of widely used competing strategies to be judged…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-05 David F. Anderson , Desmond J. Higham , Yu Sun

The approximative calculation of iterated nested expectations is a recurring challenging problem in applications. Nested expectations appear, for example, in the numerical approximation of solutions of backward stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-30 Christian Beck , Arnulf Jentzen , Thomas Kruse

In this article we design a novel quasi-regression Monte Carlo algorithm in order to approximate the solution of discrete time backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs), and we analyze the convergence of the proposed method. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-01 E. Gobet , J. G. López-Salas , C. Vázquez

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda

We consider $N$ Bernoulli random variables, which are independent conditional on a common random factor determining their probability distribution. We show that certain expected functionals of the proportion $L_N$ of variables in a given…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Karolina Bujok , Ben Hambly , Christoph Reisinger

Given a real symmetric positive semi-definite matrix E, and an approximation S that is a sum of n independent matrix-valued random variables, we present bounds on the relative error in S due to randomization. The bounds do not depend on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-03 John T. Holodnak , Ilse C. F. Ipsen , Ralph C. Smith

A method for the multifidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) estimation of statistical quantities is proposed which is applicable to computational budgets of any size. Based on a sequence of optimization problems each with a globally minimizing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Anthony Gruber , Max Gunzburger , Lili Ju , Zhu Wang

In this article we consider computing expectations w.r.t.~probability laws associated to a certain class of stochastic systems. In order to achieve such a task, one must not only resort to numerical approximation of the expectation, but…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-30 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

In this paper, a multilevel Monte Carlo theta EM scheme is provided for stochastic differential delay equations with small noise. Under a global Lipschitz condition, the variance of two coupled paths is derived. Then, the global Lipschitz…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-17 Li Tan , Chenggui Yuan

Variational quantum algorithms are poised to have significant impact on high-dimensional optimization, with applications in classical combinatorics, quantum chemistry, and condensed matter. Nevertheless, the optimization landscape of these…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-02-02 Taylor L. Patti , Omar Shehab , Khadijeh Najafi , Susanne F. Yelin

We construct Monte Carlo methods for the $L^2$-approximation in Hilbert spaces of multivariate functions sampling no more than $n$ function values of the target function. Their errors catch up with the rate of convergence and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-16 David Krieg