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We show that a large class of Estimation of Distribution Algorithms, including, but not limited to, Covariance Matrix Adaption, can be written as a Monte Carlo Expectation-Maximization algorithm, and as exact EM in the limit of infinite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 David H. Brookes , Akosua Busia , Clara Fannjiang , Kevin Murphy , Jennifer Listgarten

In this article we develop a new sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method for multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo estimation. In particular, the method can be used to estimate expectations with respect to a target probability distribution over an…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-16 Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Youssef Marzouk , Yan Zhou

We study the estimation of repeatedly nested expectations (RNEs) with a constant horizon (number of nestings) using quantum computing. We propose a quantum algorithm that achieves $\varepsilon$-error with cost $\tilde O(\varepsilon^{-1})$,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-10 Yihang Sun , Guanyang Wang , Jose Blanchet

This article introduces an algorithm to draw random discrete uniform variables within a given range of size n from a source of random bits. The algorithm aims to be simple to implement and optimal both with regards to the amount of random…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-04-09 Jérémie Lumbroso

Since it is difficult to implement implicit schemes on the infinite-dimensional space, we aim to develop the explicit numerical method for approximating super-linear stochastic functional differential equations (SFDEs). Precisely, borrowing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Xiaoyue Li , Xuerong Mao , Guoting Song

The goal of this paper is to develop provably efficient importance sampling Monte Carlo methods for the estimation of rare events within the class of linear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We find that if a spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The efficient simulation of the mean value of a non-linear functional of the solution to a linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with additive Gaussian noise is considered. A Galerkin finite element method is employed along…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Andreas Petersson

We are interested in computing the expectation of a functional of a PDE solution under a Bayesian posterior distribution. Using Bayes' rule, we reduce the problem to estimating the ratio of two related prior expectations. For a model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-03-03 R. Scheichl , A. M. Stuart , A. L. Teckentrup

We present general principles for the design and analysis of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators in a wide range of settings. Our estimators posses finite work-normalized variance under mild regularity conditions. We apply our estimators to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Yanan Pei

The Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method has proven to be an effective variance-reduction statistical method for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in Partial Differential Equation (PDE) models, combining model computations at different levels…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Santiago Badia , Jerrad Hampton , Javier Principe

The order of convergence of the Monte Carlo method is 1/2 which means that we need quadruple samples to decrease the error in half in the numerical simulation. Multilevel Monte Carlo methods reach the same order of error by spending less…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Myoungnyoun Kim , Imbo Sim

We introduce a doubly stochastic proximal gradient algorithm for optimizing a finite average of smooth convex functions, whose gradients depend on numerically expensive expectations. Our main motivation is the acceleration of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-09 Massil Achab , Agathe Guilloux , Stéphane Gaïffas , Emmanuel Bacry

We consider the forward problem of uncertainty quantification for the generalised Dirichlet eigenvalue problem for a coercive second order partial differential operator with random coefficients, motivated by problems in structural…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Alexander D. Gilbert , Ivan G. Graham , Frances Y. Kuo , Robert Scheichl , Ian H. Sloan

We develop algorithms for computing expectations of the laws of models associated to stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by pure L\'evy processes. We consider filtering such processes and well as pricing of path dependent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-13 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Prince Peprah Osei

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

We prove lower bounds for the randomized approximation of the embedding $\ell_1^m \rightarrow \ell_\infty^m$ based on algorithms that use arbitrary linear (hence non-adaptive) information provided by a (randomized) measurement matrix $N \in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Robert Kunsch , Erich Novak , Marcin Wnuk

The methods of statistical physics are widely used for modelling complex networks. Building on the recently proposed Equilibrium Expectation approach, we derive a simple and efficient algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-12 Alexander Borisenko , Maksym Byshkin , Alessandro Lomi

I consider the problem of integrating a function $f$ over the $d$-dimensional unit cube. I describe a multilevel Monte Carlo method that estimates the integral with variance at most $\epsilon^{2}$ in $O(d+\ln(d)d_{t}\epsilon^{-2})$ time,…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-21 Nabil Kahalé

The exponential increase in the amount of available data makes taking advantage of them without violating users' privacy one of the fundamental problems of computer science. This question has been investigated thoroughly under the framework…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Jakub Tětek

We analyze a simple randomized subgradient method for approximating solutions to stochastic systems of convex functional constraints, the only input to the algorithm being the size of minibatches. By introducing a new notion of what is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-30 James Renegar , Song Zhou