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The finite sample properties of estimators are usually understood or approximated using asymptotic theories. Two main asymptotic constructions have been used to characterize the presence of many instruments. The first assumes that the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-30 Guy Tchuente

A common issue in learning decision-making policies in data-rich settings is spurious correlations in the offline dataset, which can be caused by hidden confounders. Instrumental variable (IV) regression, which utilises a key unconfounded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Daqian Shao , Ashkan Soleymani , Francesco Quinzan , Marta Kwiatkowska

The endogeneity issue is fundamentally important as many empirical applications may suffer from the omission of explanatory variables, measurement error, or simultaneous causality. Recently, \cite{hllt17} propose a "Deep Instrumental…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Ruiqi Liu , Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Instrumental variable (IV) analysis is widely used in fields such as economics and epidemiology to address unobserved confounding and measurement error when estimating the causal effects of intermediate covariates on outcomes. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Zian Zhuang , Hua Zhou , Jin Zhou , Gang Li

We propose logit-based IV and augmented logit-based IV estimators that serve as alternatives to the traditionally used 2SLS estimator in the model where both the endogenous treatment variable and the corresponding instrument are binary. Our…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-19 Denis Chetverikov , Jinyong Hahn , Zhipeng Liao , Shuyang Sheng

Estimating the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome is an important task in many economical and biological studies. Mendelian randomization, in particular, uses genetic variants as instruments to estimate causal effects in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-06 Sai Li

In the presence of confounders, the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator is known to be biased. This problem can be remedied by using the two-stage least squares (TSLS) estimator, based on the availability of valid instrumental variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-15 Cedric E. Ginestet , Richard Emsley , Sabine Landau

A mean field variational Bayes approach to support vector machines (SVMs) using the latent variable representation on Polson & Scott (2012) is presented. This representation allows circumvention of many of the shortcomings associated with…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-14 Jan Luts , John T. Ormerod

We study the kernel instrumental variable (KIV) algorithm, a kernel-based two-stage least-squares method for nonparametric instrumental variable regression. We provide a convergence analysis covering both identified and non-identified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-09 Dimitri Meunier , Zhu Li , Tim Christensen , Arthur Gretton

Simulation-based Bayesian inference (SBI) methods are widely used for parameter estimation in complex models where evaluating the likelihood is challenging but generating simulations is relatively straightforward. However, these methods…

Weak signal identification and inference are very important in the area of penalized model selection, yet they are under-developed and not well-studied. Existing inference procedures for penalized estimators are mainly focused on strong…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-16 Peibei Shi , Annie Qu

Multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR) uses genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer the direct effects of multiple exposures on an outcome. However, unlike univariable Mendelian randomization, MVMR often faces greater…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Yinxiang Wu , Hyunseung Kang , Ting Ye

This paper considers two-sided tests for the parameter of an endogenous variable in an instrumental variable (IV) model with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors. We develop the finite-sample theory of weighted-average power (WAP)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Humberto Moreira , Marcelo J. Moreira

Despite increasing popularity in empirical studies, the integration of machine learning generated variables into regression models for statistical inference suffers from the measurement error problem, which can bias estimation and threaten…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-23 Gordon Burtch , Edward McFowland , Mochen Yang , Gediminas Adomavicius

Model selection in the large-P small-N scenario is discussed in the framework of two-stage models. Two specific models are considered, namely, two-stage least squares (TSLS) involving instrumental variables (IVs), and mediation models. In…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-25 Haim Bar , Kangyan Liu

We discuss causal inference for observational studies with possibly invalid instrumental variables. We propose a novel methodology called two-stage curvature identification (TSCI) by exploring the nonlinear treatment model with machine…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-08 Zijian Guo , Mengchu Zheng , Peter Bühlmann

Montiel Olea and Pflueger (2013) proposed the effective F-statistic as a test for weak instruments in terms of the Nagar bias of the two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimator relative to a benchmark worst-case bias. We show that their…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-22 Frank Windmeijer

An empirical best linear unbiased prediction (EBLUP) estimator is utilized for efficient inference in small-area estimation. To measure its uncertainty, we need to estimate its mean squared error (MSE) since the true MSE cannot generally be…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-14 Masayo Yoshimori Hirose

We study the problem of nonparametric instrumental variable regression with observed covariates, which we refer to as NPIV-O. Compared with standard nonparametric instrumental variable regression (NPIV), the additional observed covariates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Zikai Shen , Zonghao Chen , Dimitri Meunier , Ingo Steinwart , Arthur Gretton , Zhu Li

Invariable step size based least-mean-square error (ISS-LMS) was considered as a very simple adaptive filtering algorithm and hence it has been widely utilized in many applications, such as adaptive channel estimation. It is well known that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-01-29 Beiyi Liu , Guan Gui , Li Xu , Nobuhiro Shimoi