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Despite the fact that they do not consider the temporal nature of data, classic dimensionality reduction techniques, such as PCA, are widely applied to time series data. In this paper, we introduce a factor decomposition specific for time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-17 Diego Vidaurre , Iead Rezek , Samuel L. Harrison , Stephen S. Smith , Mark Woolrich

This paper addresses differential inference in time-varying parametric probabilistic models, like graphical models with changing structures. Instead of estimating a high-dimensional model at each time point and estimating changes later, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Daniel J. Williams , Leyang Wang , Qizhen Ying , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the minimal dimension P of the state-space realizations of a high-dimensional time series y, defined as a noisy version (the noise is white and Gaussian) of a useful signal with low rank rational…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Daria Tieplova , Philippe Loubaton

Statistical analysis of high-dimensional functional times series arises in various applications. Under this scenario, in addition to the intrinsic infinite-dimensionality of functional data, the number of functional variables can grow with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

When modelling time series, it is common to decompose observed variation into a "signal" process, the process of interest, and "noise", representing nuisance factors that obfuscate the signal. To separate signal from noise, assumptions must…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Richard Creswell , Ben Lambert , Chon Lok Lei , Martin Robinson , David Gavaghan

I introduce Forecastable Component Analysis (ForeCA), a novel dimension reduction technique for temporally dependent signals. Based on a new forecastability measure, ForeCA finds an optimal transformation to separate a multivariate time…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-07 Georg M. Goerg

Principal component analysis continues to be a powerful tool in dimension reduction of high dimensional data. We assume a variance-diverging model and use the high-dimension, low-sample-size asymptotics to show that even though the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Sungkyu Jung

We propose a novel approximate factor model tailored for analyzing time-dependent curve data. Our model decomposes such data into two distinct components: a low-dimensional predictable factor component and an unpredictable error term. These…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-26 Sven Otto , Nazarii Salish

In high-dimensional classification problems, a commonly used approach is to first project the high-dimensional features into a lower dimensional space, and base the classification on the resulting lower dimensional projections. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Xin Bing , Marten Wegkamp

The classical vector autoregressive model is a fundamental tool for multivariate time series analysis. However, it involves too many parameters when the number of time series and lag order are even moderately large. This paper proposes to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Di Wang , Yao Zheng , Heng Lian , Guodong Li

We review Quasi Maximum Likelihood estimation of factor models for high-dimensional panels of time series. We consider two cases: (1) estimation when no dynamic model for the factors is specified (Bai and Li, 2012, 2016); (2) estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-08 Matteo Barigozzi

This paper studies alpha testing in a high-dimensional conditional time-varying factor model with temporally dependent observations. Both factor loadings and alpha processes are allowed to vary smoothly over time, and the cross-sectional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Long Feng , Huifang Ma , Zhaojun Wang

Accurate estimation for extent of cross{sectional dependence in large panel data analysis is paramount to further statistical analysis on the data under study. Grouping more data with weak relations (cross{sectional dependence) together…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-16 Jiti Gao , Guangming Pan , Yanrong Yang , Bo Zhang

This article introduces a nonparametric approach to spectral analysis of a high-dimensional multivariate nonstationary time series. The procedure is based on a novel frequency-domain factor model that provides a flexible yet parsimonious…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Zeda Li , Ori Rosen , Fabio Ferrarelli , Robert T. Krafty

Factor models are a very efficient way to describe high dimensional vectors of data in terms of a small number of common relevant factors. This problem, which is of fundamental importance in many disciplines, is usually reformulated in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Valentina Ciccone , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

High-dimensional data must be highly structured to be learnable. Although the compositional and hierarchical nature of data is often put forward to explain learnability, quantitative measurements establishing these properties are scarce.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Antonio Sclocchi , Alessandro Favero , Noam Itzhak Levi , Matthieu Wyart

This paper studies high-dimensional curve time series with common stochastic trends. A dual functional factor model structure is adopted with a high-dimensional factor model for the observed curve time series and a low-dimensional factor…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Degui Li , Yu-Ning Li , Peter C. B. Phillips

Matrix time series, which consist of matrix-valued data observed over time, are prevalent in various fields such as economics, finance, and engineering. Such matrix time series data are often observed in high dimensions. Matrix factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Ruofan Yu , Rong Chen , Han Xiao , Yuefeng Han

Economists are blessed with a wealth of data for analysis, but more often than not, values in some entries of the data matrix are missing. Various methods have been proposed to handle missing observations in a few variables. We exploit the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-02 Ercument Cahan , Jushan Bai , Serena Ng

We consider a sparse high-dimensional varying coefficients model with random effects, a flexible linear model allowing covariates and coefficients to have a functional dependence with time. For each individual, we observe discretely sampled…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Michael Law , Ya'acov Ritov