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Time series forecasting models are becoming increasingly prevalent due to their critical role in decision-making across various domains. However, most existing approaches represent the coupled temporal patterns, often neglecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Xiaoyu Tao , Zhiding Liu , Daoyu Wang

This article considers to model large-dimensional matrix time series by introducing a regression term to the matrix factor model. This is an extension of classic matrix factor model to incorporate the information of known factors or useful…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Yongchang Hui , Yuteng Zhang , Siting Huang

We propose a novel framework in high-dimensional factor models to simultaneously analyse multiple tensor time series, each with potentially different tensor orders and dimensionality. The connection between different tensor time series is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Zetai Cen

The current Poisson factor models often assume that the factors are unknown, which overlooks the explanatory potential of certain observable covariates. This study focuses on high dimensional settings, where the number of the count response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-26 Wei Liu , Qingzhi Zhong

This paper proposes a novel diffusion-index model for forecasting when predictors are high-dimensional matrix-valued time series. We apply an $\alpha$-PCA method to extract low-dimensional matrix factors and build a bilinear regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-07 Zhiren Ma , Qian Zhao , Riquan Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

High-dimensional tensor-valued data have recently gained attention from researchers in economics and finance. We consider the estimation and inference of high-dimensional tensor factor models, where each dimension of the tensor diverges.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Bin Chen , Yuefeng Han , Qiyang Yu

We propose a dynamic multiplicative factor model for process data, which arise from complex problem-solving items, an emerging testing mode in large-scale educational assessment. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Fangyi Chen , Hok Kan Ling , Zhiliang Ying

Diffusion models generate samples by estimating the score function of the target distribution at various noise levels. The model is trained using samples drawn from the target distribution by progressively adding noise. Previous sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Syamantak Kumar , Dheeraj Nagaraj , Purnamrita Sarkar

We propose a new method for identifying and estimating the CP-factor models for matrix time series. Unlike the generalized eigenanalysis-based method of Chang et al. (2023) for which the convergence rates of the associated estimators may…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Jinyuan Chang , Yue Du , Guanglin Huang , Qiwei Yao

Many dimension reduction techniques have been developed for independent data, and most have also been extended to time series. However, these methods often fail to account for the dynamic dependencies both within and across series. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Daniel Peña , Victor J. Yohai

Hierarchical panel data models have recently garnered significant attention. This study contributes to the relevant literature by introducing a novel three-dimensional (3D) hierarchical panel data model, which integrates panel regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-13 Guohua Feng , Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng

Fitting high-dimensional statistical models often requires the use of non-linear parameter estimation procedures. As a consequence, it is generally impossible to obtain an exact characterization of the probability distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-03 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

This paper studies the estimation of characteristic-based quantile factor models where the factor loadings are unknown functions of observed individual characteristics while the idiosyncratic error terms are subject to conditional quantile…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-27 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo , Haozi Pan

Large tensor (multi-dimensional array) data are now routinely collected in a wide range of applications, due to modern data collection capabilities. Often such observations are taken over time, forming tensor time series. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Rong Chen , Dan Yang , Cun-hui Zhang

Linear dimensionality reduction methods are commonly used to extract low-dimensional structure from high-dimensional data. However, popular methods disregard temporal structure, rendering them prone to extracting noise rather than…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-10 David G. Clark , Jesse A. Livezey , Kristofer E. Bouchard

Principal Component Analysis is a key technique for reducing the complexity of high-dimensional data while preserving its fundamental data structure, ensuring models remain stable and interpretable. This is achieved by transforming the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Nuwan Weeraratne , Lyn Hunt , Jason Kurz

Multivariate signal processing is often based on dimensionality reduction techniques. We propose a new method, Dynamical Component Analysis (DyCA), leading to a classification of the underlying dynamics and - for a certain type of dynamics…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-03-19 Bastian Seifert , Katharina Korn , Steffen Hartmann , Christian Uhl

We consider continuous-time models with a large panel of moment conditions, where the structural parameter depends on a set of characteristics, whose effects are of interest. The leading example is the linear factor model in financial…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-04 Yuan Liao , Xiye Yang

A methodology for high dimensional causal inference in a time series context is introduced. It is assumed that there is a monotonic transformation of the data such that the dynamics of the transformed variables are described by a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta
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