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The past decade has witnessed significant advances in time series modeling with deep learning. While achieving state-of-the-art results, the best-performing architectures vary highly across applications and domains. Meanwhile, for natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Defu Cao , Furong Jia , Sercan O Arik , Tomas Pfister , Yixiang Zheng , Wen Ye , Yan Liu

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Modern applications require methods that are computationally feasible on large datasets but also preserve statistical efficiency. Frequently, these two concerns are seen as contradictory: approximation methods that enable computation are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-11 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

Real-world data typically contain repeated and periodic patterns. This suggests that they can be effectively represented and compressed using only a few coefficients of an appropriate basis (e.g., Fourier, Wavelets, etc.). However, distance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-26 Michail Vlachos , Nikolaos Freris , Anastasios Kyrillidis

Recent studies suggest utilizing generative models instead of traditional auto-regressive algorithms for time series forecasting (TSF) tasks. These non-auto-regressive approaches involving different generative methods, including GAN,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Jiangxuan Long , Zhao Song , Chiwun Yang

Synthetic tabular data enables sharing and analysis of sensitive records, but its practical deployment requires balancing distributional fidelity, downstream utility, and privacy protection. We study a simple, model agnostic post processing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 David Yavo , Richard Khoury , Christophe Pere , Sadoune Ait Kaci Azzou

In breakthrough work, Tardos (Oper. Res. '86) gave a proximity based framework for solving linear programming (LP) in time depending only on the constraint matrix in the bit complexity model. In Tardos's framework, one reduces solving the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Daniel Dadush , Bento Natura , László A. Végh

We consider the problem of asynchronous stochastic optimization, where an optimization algorithm makes updates based on stale stochastic gradients of the objective that are subject to an arbitrary (possibly adversarial) sequence of delays.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Amit Attia , Ofir Gaash , Tomer Koren

Data is essential to performing time series analysis utilizing machine learning approaches, whether for classic models or today's large language models. A good time-series dataset is advantageous for the model's accuracy, robustness, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Chenxi Sun , Hongyan Li , Yaliang Li , Shenda Hong

As artificial intelligence (AI) / machine learning (ML) gain widespread adoption, practitioners are increasingly seeking means to quantify and control the risk these systems incur. This challenge is especially salient when such systems have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Drew Prinster , Samuel Stanton , Anqi Liu , Suchi Saria

Scheduling on related machines ($Q||C_{\max}$) is one of the most important problems in the field of Algorithmic Mechanism Design. Each machine is controlled by a selfish agent and her valuation can be expressed via a single parameter, her…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2009-07-20 George Christodoulou , Annamaria Kovacs

We propose a multi-scale extension of conformal prediction, an approach that constructs prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees under minimal statistical assumptions. Classic conformal prediction relies on a single notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Ali Baheri , Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi

Sharing real-time aggregate statistics of private data is of great value to the public to perform data mining for understanding important phenomena, such as Influenza outbreaks and traffic congestion. However, releasing time-series data…

Databases · Computer Science 2013-01-08 Liyue Fan , Li Xiong

The number of IoT devices is expected to continue its dramatic growth in the coming years and, with it, a growth in the amount of data to be transmitted, processed and stored. Compression techniques that support analytics directly on the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Francesco Taurone , Daniel E. Lucani , Marcell Fehér , Qi Zhang

We study computational aspects of a key problem in robust statistics -- the penalized least trimmed squares (LTS) regression problem, a robust estimator that mitigates the influence of outliers in data by capping residuals with large…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Xiang Meng , Andrés Gómez , Rahul Mazumder

Models of human feedback for AI alignment, such as those underpinning Direct Preference Optimization (DPO), often bake in a singular, static set of preferences, limiting adaptability. This paper challenges the assumption of monolithic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Víctor Gallego

Conformal prediction is a framework for providing prediction intervals with distribution-free validity, guaranteeing predictive coverage for data drawn from any distribution. Its two main variants are full conformal prediction and split…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Boxuan Zhang , Rina Foygel Barber

This paper presents PULSAR, a framework for pre-empting Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs). PULSAR employs a probabilistic graphical model (specifically a Factor Graph) to infer the time evolution of an attack based on observed security…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Phuong Cao

We study the approximation properties of convolutional architectures applied to time series modelling, which can be formulated mathematically as a functional approximation problem. In the recurrent setting, recent results reveal an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Haotian Jiang , Zhong Li , Qianxiao Li

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler