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Limit order book (LOB) is a dynamic, event-driven system that records real-time market demand and supply for a financial asset in a stream flow. Event stream prediction in LOB refers to forecasting both the timing and the type of events.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-16 Zetao Zheng , Guoan Li , Deqiang Ouyang , Decui Liang , Jie Shao

The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Yaodong Yang , Alisa Kolesnikova , Stefan Lessmann , Tiejun Ma , Ming-Chien Sung , Johnnie E. V. Johnson

Stock prediction is a topic undergoing intense study for many years. Finance experts and mathematicians have been working on a way to predict the future stock price so as to decide to buy the stock or sell it to make profit. Stock experts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Shangeth Rajaa , Jajati Keshari Sahoo

We derive a continuous time model for the joint evolution of the mid price and the bid-ask spread from a multiscale analysis of the whole limit order book (LOB) dynamics. We model the LOB as a multiclass queueing system and perform our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-07 Jose Blanchet , Xinyun Chen

Introducing an algebraic framework for modeling limit order books (LOBs) with tools from physics and stochastic processes, our proposed framework captures the creation and annihilation of orders, order matching, and the time evolution of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-10 Johannes Bleher , Michael Bleher

This study proposes a deep learning model based on the combination of convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM) for discriminant analysis of financial systemic risk. The model first uses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Yu Cheng , Zhen Xu , Yuan Chen , Yuhan Wang , Zhenghao Lin , Jinsong Liu

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-07 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

We investigate the behavior of limit order books on the meso-scale motivated by order execution scheduling algorithms. To do so we carry out empirical analysis of the order flows from market and limit order submissions, aggregated from…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-10 Kyle Bechler , Michael Ludkovski

This paper uses deep learning to value derivatives. The approach is broadly applicable, and we use a call option on a basket of stocks as an example. We show that the deep learning model is accurate and very fast, capable of producing…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-19 Ryan Ferguson , Andrew Green

While time series momentum is a well-studied phenomenon in finance, common strategies require the explicit definition of both a trend estimator and a position sizing rule. In this paper, we introduce Deep Momentum Networks -- a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Deep learning has attracted great attention recently and yielded the state of the art performance in dimension reduction and classification problems. However, it cannot effectively handle the structured output prediction, e.g. sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-05 Gang Chen , Ran Xu , Sargur Srihari

Training a practical and effective model for stock selection has been a greatly concerned problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Even though some of the models from previous works have achieved good performance in the U.S. market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Junming Yang , Yaoqi Li , Xuanyu Chen , Jiahang Cao , Kangkang Jiang

Advances in deep neural network (DNN) architectures have enabled new prediction techniques for stock market data. Unlike other multivariate time-series data, stock markets show two unique characteristics: (i) \emph{multi-order dynamics}, as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-28 Thanh Trung Huynh , Minh Hieu Nguyen , Thanh Tam Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Matthias Weidlich , Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen , Karl Aberer

We propose a microscopic model to describe the dynamics of the fundamental events in the limit order book (LOB): order arrivals and cancellations. It is based on an operator algebra for individual orders and describes their effect on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-06 Johannes Bleher , Michael Bleher , Thomas Dimpfl

Demand forecasting in the online fashion industry is particularly amendable to global, data-driven forecasting models because of the industry's set of particular challenges. These include the volume of data, the irregularity, the high…

This study explores the application potential of a deep learning model based on the CNN-LSTM framework in forecasting the sales volume of cancer drugs, with a focus on modeling complex time series data. As advancements in medical technology…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Yinghan Li , Yilin Yao , Junghua Lin , Nanxi Wang

Although a large number of optimization algorithms have been proposed for black box optimization problems, the no free lunch theorems inform us that no algorithm can beat others on all types of problems. Different types of optimization…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Yaodong He , Shiu Yin Yuen

Deep learning offers new tools for portfolio optimization. We present an end-to-end framework that directly learns portfolio weights by combining Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to model temporal patterns, Graph Attention Networks…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-27 Yun Lin , Jiawei Lou , Jinghe Zhang

Predicting stock market movements remains a persistent challenge due to the inherently volatile, non-linear, and stochastic nature of financial time series data. This paper introduces a deep learning-based framework employing Long…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Rajneesh Chaudhary

Deep Learning (DL) is a machine learning procedure for artificial intelligence that analyzes the input data in detail by increasing neuron sizes and number of the hidden layers. DL has a popularity with the common improvements on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Gokhan Altan , Yakup Kutlu