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In high-frequency trading (HFT), leveraging limit order books (LOB) to model stock price movements is crucial for achieving profitable outcomes. However, this task is challenging due to the high-dimensional and volatile nature of the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-30 Jiahao Yang , Ran Fang , Ming Zhang , Jun Zhou

The success of deep learning-based limit order book forecasting models is highly dependent on the quality and the robustness of the input data representation. A significant body of the quantitative finance literature focuses on utilising…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-08 Yufei Wu , Mahmoud Mahfouz , Daniele Magazzeni , Manuela Veloso

This paper shows that temporal CNNs accurately predict bitcoin spot price movements from limit order book data. On a 2 second prediction time horizon we achieve 71\% walk-forward accuracy on the popular cryptocurrency exchange coinbase. Our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Rakshit Jha , Mattijs De Paepe , Samuel Holt , James West , Shaun Ng

Limit Order Books (LOBs) serve as a mechanism for buyers and sellers to interact with each other in the financial markets. Modelling and simulating LOBs is quite often necessary for calibrating and fine-tuning the automated trading…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-04 Konark Jain , Nick Firoozye , Jonathan Kochems , Philip Treleaven

Price Trend Prediction (PTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data is a fundamental challenge in financial markets. Despite advances in deep learning, existing models fail to generalize across different market conditions and assets.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-09 Leonardo Berti , Gjergji Kasneci

In an order-driven financial market, the price of a financial asset is discovered through the interaction of orders - requests to buy or sell at a particular price - that are posted to the public limit order book (LOB). Therefore, LOB data…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-03 Zijian Shi , Yu Chen , John Cartlidge

The limit order book (LOB) depicts the fine-grained demand and supply relationship for financial assets and is widely used in market microstructure studies. Nevertheless, the availability and high cost of LOB data restrict its wider…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-02 Zijian Shi , John Cartlidge

Forecasting the movements of stock prices is one the most challenging problems in financial markets analysis. In this paper, we use Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of future price movements using limit order book data.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Paraskevi Nousi , Avraam Tsantekidis , Nikolaos Passalis , Adamantios Ntakaris , Juho Kanniainen , Anastasios Tefas , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

In this paper, we propose an event-driven Limit Order Book (LOB) model that captures twelve of the most observed LOB events in exchange-based financial markets. To model these events, we propose using the state-of-the-art Neural Hawkes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-19 Luca Lalor , Anatoliy Swishchuk

Financial markets have a vital role in the development of modern society. They allow the deployment of economic resources. Changes in stock prices reflect changes in the market. In this study, we focus on predicting stock prices by deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-27 Jialin Liu , Fei Chao , Yu-Chen Lin , Chih-Min Lin

Financial market simulation (FMS) serves as a promising tool for understanding market anomalies and the underlying trading behaviors. To ensure high-fidelity simulations, it is crucial to calibrate the FMS model for generating data closely…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Yuanzhe Li , Yue Wu , Muyao Zhong , Shengcai Liu , Peng Yang

In electronic trading markets, limit order books (LOBs) provide information about pending buy/sell orders at various price levels for a given security. Recently, there has been a growing interest in using LOB data for resolving downstream…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-22 Defu Cao , Yousef El-Laham , Loc Trinh , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Yan Liu

Market making (MM) is an important research topic in quantitative finance, the agent needs to continuously optimize ask and bid quotes to provide liquidity and make profits. The limit order book (LOB) contains information on all active…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-26 Hong Guo , Jianwu Lin , Fanlin Huang

In this paper, we conduct a systematic large-scale analysis of order book-driven predictability in high-frequency returns by leveraging deep learning techniques. First, we introduce a new and robust representation of the order book, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko Pakkanen , Almut Veraart

We present results demonstrating that an appropriately configured deep learning neural network (DLNN) can automatically learn to be a high-performing algorithmic trading system, operating purely from training-data inputs generated by…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-03 Aaron Wray , Matthew Meades , Dave Cliff

Simulating limit order books (LOBs) has important applications across forecasting and backtesting for financial market data. However, deep generative models struggle in this context due to the high noise and complexity of the data. Previous…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-08 Alfred Backhouse , Kang Li , Jakob Foerster , Anisoara Calinescu , Stefan Zohren

This paper presents a deep learning framework based on Long Short-term Memory Network(LSTM) that predicts price movement of cryptocurrencies from trade-by-trade data. The main focus of this study is on predicting short-term price changes in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-16 Qi Zhao

This paper provides an empirical study explores the application of deep learning algorithms-Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Transformer-in constructing long-short stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Junjie Guo

This study explores the prediction of high-frequency price changes using deep learning models. Although state-of-the-art methods perform well, their complexity impedes the understanding of successful predictions. We found that an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

Stock price prediction has been the focus of a large amount of research but an acceptable solution has so far escaped academics. Recent advances in deep learning have motivated researchers to apply neural networks to stock prediction. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-29 Firuz Kamalov , Linda Smail , Ikhlaas Gurrib