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We provide a full characterisation of the large-maturity forward implied volatility smile in the Heston model. Although the leading decay is provided by a fairly classical large deviations behaviour, the algebraic expansion providing the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-31 Antoine Jacquier , Patrick Roome

We combine the unbiased estimators in Rhee and Glynn (Operations Research: 63(5), 1026-1043, 2015) and the Heston model with stochastic interest rates. Specifically, we first develop a semi-exact log-Euler scheme for the Heston model with…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-14 Chao Zheng , Jiangtao Pan

We consider the moderate deviations behaviors for two (co-) volatility estima-tors: generalised bipower variation, Hayashi-Yoshida estimator. The results are obtained by using a new result about the moderate deviations principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Hacène Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Hui Jiang , Yacouba Samoura

A parametric theory of statistical inference is developed for the moderate deviation probability zone. The new approach to the proofs is based on the Taylor series expansion of the logarithm of the likelihood ratio based on the Hellinger…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Mikhail Ermakov

In this article, we discuss the sharp moderate and large deviations between the quantiles of population and the quantiles of samples. Cram\'{e}r type moderate deviations and Bahadur-Rao type large deviations are established with some mild…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Xiequan Fan

Poisson approximation using Stein's method has been extensively studied in the literature. The main focus has been on bounding the total variation distance. This paper is a first attempt on moderate deviations in Poisson approximation for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao

This work extends the variance reduction method for the pricing of possibly path-dependent derivatives, which was developed in (Genin and Tankov, 2016) for exponential L\'evy models, to affine stochastic volatility models (Keller-Ressel,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Zorana Grbac , David Krief , Peter Tankov

In this manuscript we analyze the weak convergence rate of a discretization scheme for the Heston model. Under mild assumptions on the smoothness of the payoff and on the Feller index of the volatility process, respectively, we establish a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Martin Altmayer , Andreas Neuenkirch

We establish Cram\'er type moderate deviation (MD}) results for heavy trimmed L-statistics; we obtain our results under a very mild smoothness condition on the inversion $F^{-1}$ ($F$ is the underlying distribution of i.i.d. observations)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Nadezhda Gribkova

We consider rough stochastic volatility models where the driving noise of volatility has fractional scaling, in the "rough" regime of Hurst parameter $H < 1/2$. This regime recently attracted a lot of attention both from the statistical and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-12 Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Archil Gulisashvili , Blanka Horvath , Benjamin Stemper

Two-sample $U$-statistics are widely used in a broad range of applications, including those in the fields of biostatistics and econometrics. In this paper, we establish sharp Cram\'{e}r-type moderate deviation theorems for Studentized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Jinyuan Chang , Qi-Man Shao , Wen-Xin Zhou

We derive moderate deviation principles for the trajectory of the empirical magnetization of the standard Curie-Weiss model via a general analytic approach based on convergence of generators and uniqueness of viscosity solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Francesca Collet , Richard Kraaij

In this paper we develop a quantitative Harris theorem with effective control over the constants. A benefit of our methodology is the decoupling of the small set and Lyapunov-Foster Drift conditions. Our methodology allows any small set and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-09 Christopher DuPre

We study here the large-time behaviour of all continuous affine stochastic volatility models (in the sense of Keller-Ressel) and deduce a closed-form formula for the large-maturity implied volatility smile. Based on refinements of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-23 Antoine Jacquier , Aleksandar Mijatovic

This note provides a tool to infer moderate deviations principles for specific random variables from deviations principles for their Hubbard-Stratonovich transforms.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-03 Matthias Löwe , Raphael Meiners

We consider multiple time scales systems of stochastic differential equations with small noise in random environments. We prove a quenched large deviations principle with explicit characterization of the action functional. The random medium…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-23 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

The main object of study in the paper is the distance from a point to a line in the Riemannian manifold associated with the Heston model. We reduce the problem of computing such a distance to certain minimization problems for functions of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Archil Gulisashvili

We investigate random walks in independent, identically distributed random sceneries under the assumption that the scenery variables satisfy Cramer's condition. We prove moderate deviation principles in dimensions two and larger, covering…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Klaus Fleischmann , Peter Morters , Vitali Wachtel

The large deviation principle in the small noise limit is derived for solutions of possibly degenerate It\^o stochastic differential equations with predictable coefficients, which may depend also on the large deviation parameter. The result…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-06 Alberto Chiarini , Markus Fischer