Related papers: Small-time moderate deviations for the randomised …
The term \emph{moderate deviations} is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fill the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and a…
The main goal of this article is to study the effect of small, highly nonlinear, unbounded drifts (small time large deviation principle (LDP) based on exponential equivalence arguments) for a class of stochastic partial differential…
A recent article on generalised linear mixed model asymptotics, Jiang et al. (2022), derived the rates of convergence for the asymptotic variances of maximum likelihood estimators. If $m$ denotes the number of groups and $n$ is the average…
In this paper we prove large and moderate deviations principles for the recursive kernel estimators of a probability density function defined by the stochastic approximation algorithm introduced by Mokkadem et al. [2009. The stochastic…
Parameter estimation in a class of heteroscedastic time series models is investigated. The existence of conditional least-squares and conditional likelihood estimators is proved. Their consistency and their asymptotic normality are…
We study large deviations for the time average of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process raised to an arbitrary power. We prove that beyond a critical value, large deviations are subexponential in time, with a non-convex rate function whose main…
In this paper, we use the framework of mod-$\phi$ convergence to prove precise large or moderate deviations for quite general sequences of real valued random variables $(X_{n})_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$, which can be lattice or non-lattice…
We prove large and moderate deviations for the output of Gaussian fully connected neural networks. The main achievements concern deep neural networks (i.e., when the model has more than one hidden layer) and hold for bounded and continuous…
A large deviation principle is derived for stochastic partial differential equations with slow-fast components. The result shows that the rate function is exactly that of the averaged equation plus the fluctuating deviation which is a…
A powerful robust mean estimator introduced by Catoni (2012) allows for mean estimation of heavy-tailed data while achieving the performance characteristics of classical mean estimator for sub-Gaussian data. While Catoni's framework has…
We modify the Glauber dynamics of the Curie-Weiss model with dissipation in Dai Pra, Fischer, Regoli[2013] by considering arbitrary transition rates and we analyze the phase-portrait as well as the dynamics of moderate fluctuations for…
In this paper we consider the multispecies stirring process on the discrete torus. We prove a large deviation principle for the trajectory of the vector of densities of the different species. The technique of proof consists in extending the…
We consider the class of self-similar Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and compute the small-time (near-maturity) asymptotics for the corresponding asset price density, the call and put pricing functions, and the implied volatilities.…
Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are powerful tools for analysing time series data that depend on discrete underlying but unobserved states. As such, they have gained prominence across numerous empirical disciplines, in particular ecology,…
We show that the moment explosion time in the rough Heston model [El Euch, Rosenbaum 2016, arxiv:1609.02108] is finite if and only if it is finite for the classical Heston model. Upper and lower bounds for the explosion time are…
The goal of this paper is to study the Moderate Deviation Principle (MDP) for a system of stochastic reaction-diffusion equations with a time-scale separation in slow and fast components and small noise in the slow component. Based on weak…
Empirical researchers often trim observations with small denominator A when they estimate moments of the form E[B/A]. Large trimming is a common practice to mitigate variance, but it incurs large trimming bias. This paper provides a novel…
This paper investigates the iterates $\hbb^1,\dots,\hbb^T$ obtained from iterative algorithms in high-dimensional linear regression problems, in the regime where the feature dimension $p$ is comparable with the sample size $n$, i.e., $p…
In this paper, we establish a moderate deviation principle for stochastic models of two-dimensional second grade fluids driven by L\'evy noise. We will adopt the weak convergence approach. Because of the appearance of jumps, this result is…
A framework for exponential time discretization of the multilayer rotating shallow water equations is developed in combination with a mimetic discretization in space. The method is based on a combination of existing exponential time…