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Related papers: Optimal stopping via reinforced regression

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We introduce new variants of classical regression-based algorithms for optimal stopping problems based on computation of regression coefficients by Monte Carlo approximation of the corresponding $L^2$ inner products instead of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-29 Christian Bayer , Martin Redmann , John Schoenmakers

Least squares Monte Carlo methods are a popular numerical approximation method for solving stochastic control problems. Based on dynamic programming, their key feature is the approximation of the conditional expectation of future rewards by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Christian Bayer , Denis Belomestny , Paul Hager , Paolo Pigato , John Schoenmakers , Vladimir Spokoiny

In this paper we study randomized optimal stopping problems and consider corresponding forward and backward Monte Carlo based optimisation algorithms. In particular we prove the convergence of the proposed algorithms and derive the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Christian Bayer , Denis Belomestny , Paul Hager , Paolo Pigato , John Schoenmakers

I develop a numerical algorithm for stochastic impulse control in the spirit of Regression Monte Carlo for optimal stopping. The approach consists in generating statistical surrogates (aka functional approximators) for the continuation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-15 Mike Ludkovski

The optimal stopping problem is a category of decision problems with a specific constrained configuration. It is relevant to various real-world applications such as finance and management. To solve the optimal stopping problem,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-02 Leonardo Kanashiro Felizardo , Elia Matsumoto , Emilio Del-Moral-Hernandez

Under the assumption of no-arbitrage, the pricing of American and Bermudan options can be casted into optimal stopping problems. We propose a new adaptive simulation based algorithm for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Daniel Egloff , Michael Kohler , Nebojsa Todorovic

We develop methods to solve general optimal stopping problems with opportunities to stop that arrive randomly. Such problems occur naturally in applications with market frictions. Pivotal to our approach is that our methods operate on…

We extend the Longstaff-Schwartz algorithm for approximately solving optimal stopping problems on high-dimensional state spaces. We reformulate the optimal stopping problem for Markov processes in discrete time as a generalized statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Daniel Egloff

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

In this paper we study optimal stopping problems for nonlinear Markov processes driven by a McKean-Vlasov SDE and aim at solving them numerically by Monte Carlo. To this end we propose a novel regression algorithm based on the corresponding…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers

We develop a Monte-Carlo based numerical method for solving discrete-time stochastic optimal control problems with inventory. These are optimal control problems in which the control affects only a deterministically evolving inventory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Alessandro Balata , Jan Palczewski

We are concerned with the numerical resolution of backward stochastic differential equations. We propose a new numerical scheme based on iterative regressions on function bases, which coefficients are evaluated using Monte Carlo…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Emmanuel Gobet , Jean-Philippe Lemor , Xavier Warin

In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-16 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer

Solving optimal stopping problems by backward induction in high dimensions is often very complex since the computation of conditional expectations is required. Typically, such computations are based on regression, a method that suffers from…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-19 Martin Redmann

In this paper we develop a deep learning method for optimal stopping problems which directly learns the optimal stopping rule from Monte Carlo samples. As such, it is broadly applicable in situations where the underlying randomness can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Sebastian Becker , Patrick Cheridito , Arnulf Jentzen

In this paper, we study the optimal stopping problem in the so-called exploratory framework, in which the agent takes actions randomly conditioning on current state and an entropy-regularized term is added to the reward functional. Such a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Yuchao Dong

In this paper, we present an online reinforcement learning algorithm, called Renewal Monte Carlo (RMC), for infinite horizon Markov decision processes with a designated start state. RMC is a Monte Carlo algorithm and retains the advantages…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-05 Jayakumar Subramanian , Aditya Mahajan

We present a solution to an optimal stopping problem for a process with a wide-class of novel dynamics. The dynamics model the support/resistance line concept from financial technical analysis.

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-30 Jun Maeda , Saul D. Jacka

We introduce mlOSP, a computational template for Machine Learning for Optimal Stopping Problems. The template is implemented in the R statistical environment and publicly available via a GitHub repository. mlOSP presents a unified numerical…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-04 Mike Ludkovski

This paper presents the benefits of using randomized neural networks instead of standard basis functions or deep neural networks to approximate the solutions of optimal stopping problems. The key idea is to use neural networks, where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-04 Calypso Herrera , Florian Krach , Pierre Ruyssen , Josef Teichmann
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