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We study the price dynamics of cryptocurrencies using adaptive complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (ACE-EMD) and Hilbert spectral analysis. This is a multiscale noise-assisted approach that decomposes any time series into a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-19 Tim Leung , Theodore Zhao

Asset exchange models (AEMs) provide a physics-inspired framework for studying wealth formation. These models capture wealth distribution dynamics via pairwise money exchanges, yielding steady-state distributions from exponential to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-30 Joel Wagner , Siew Ann Cheong , Viola Priesemann

We investigate the behaviour of cryptocurrencies using data for bitcoin, ethereum and ripple which account for over 70% of the cryptocurrency market. We demonstrate that $\alpha$-stable distribution is an appropriately sufficient model for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-31 Taurai Muvunza

In this paper we analyse the effects of information flows in cryptocurrency markets. We first define a cryptocurrency trading network, i.e. the network made using cryptocurrencies as nodes and the Granger causality among their weekly log…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-11 Tomas Scagliarini , Giuseppe Pappalardo , Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda , Sebastiano Stramaglia

The price volatility of cryptocurrencies is often cited as a major hindrance to their wide-scale adoption. Consequently, during the last two years, multiple so called stablecoins have surfaced---cryptocurrencies focused on maintaining…

This research proposes a model for the intraday variation between the ETHBTC spot and the quotient of ETHUSDT and BTCUSDT traded on Binance. Under conditions of no-arbitrage, perfect accuracy and no microstructure effects, the variation…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-06 Sidharth Mallik

Recent empirical evidence has highlighted the crucial role of jumps in both price and volatility within the cryptocurrency market. In this paper, we integrate price--volatility co-jumps and volatility short-term dependency into a coherent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Boyi Li , Weixuan Xia

The number of users approaching the world of cryptocurrencies exploded in the last years, and consequently the daily interactions on their underlying distributed ledgers have intensified. In this paper, we analyze the flow of these digital…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Luca Serena , Stefano Ferretti , Gabriele D'Angelo

Analogies between the price dynamics in the foreign exchange market and 3-dimensional fully developed turbulence were recently presented in Nature vol. 381, 767-769 (1996). Independently, we have carried out a study comparing the parallel…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Rosario N. Mantegna , H. Eugene Stanley

This paper presents a large-scale analysis of the cryptocurrency community on Reddit, shedding light on the intricate relationship between the evolution of their activity, emotional dynamics, and price movements. We analyze over 130M posts…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Kostantinos Papadamou , Jay Patel , Jeremy Blackburn , Philipp Jovanovic , Emiliano De Cristofaro

In recent years, power grids have seen a surge in large cryptocurrency mining firms, with individual consumption levels reaching 700MW. This study examines the behavior of these firms in Texas, focusing on how their consumption is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-03 Subir Majumder , Ignacio Aravena , Le Xie

This article demonstrates the possibility of constructing indicators of critical and crisis phenomena in the volatile market of cryptocurrency. For this purpose, the methods of the theory of complex systems such as recurrent analysis of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Andrey Belinskiy

The research delves into the capabilities of a transformer-based neural network for Ethereum cryptocurrency price forecasting. The experiment runs around the hypothesis that cryptocurrency prices are strongly correlated with other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Shubham Singh , Mayur Bhat

Bitcoin has attracted attention from different market participants due to unpredictable price patterns. Sometimes, the price has exhibited big jumps. Bitcoin prices have also had extreme, unexpected crashes. We test the predictive power of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-15 Andrés García-Medina , Toan Luu Duc Huynh3

This paper studies the effects of unexpected changes in US monetary policy on digital asset returns. We use event study regressions and find that monetary policy surprises negatively affect BTC and ETH, the two largest digital assets, but…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-22 Antzelos Kyriazis , Iason Ofeidis , Georgios Palaiokrassas , Leandros Tassiulas

With emergence of blockchain technologies and the associated cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, understanding network dynamics behind Blockchain graphs has become a rapidly evolving research direction. Unlike other financial networks, such…

Blockchain enables peer-to-peer transactions in cyberspace without a trusted third party. The rapid growth of Ethereum and smart contract blockchains generally calls for well-designed Transaction Fee Mechanisms (TFMs) to allocate limited…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-05 Luyao Zhang , Fan Zhang

Recently, the notion of cryptocurrencies has come to the fore of public interest. These assets that exist only in electronic form, with no underlying value, offer the owners some protection from tracking or seizure by government or…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-09 Carey Caginalp

A reputation of high volatility accompanies the emergence of Bitcoin as a financial asset. This paper intends to nuance this reputation and clarify our understanding of Bitcoin's volatility. Using daily, weekly, and monthly closing prices…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-02 Nassim Dehouche

Investments in cryptocurrencies (CCs) remain risky due to high volatility. Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are a suitable tool to diversify risk and to benefit from the growth of the whole CC sector. We construct an ETF on the CRIX, the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-14 Konstantin Häusler
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