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This work presents a hybrid and hierarchical deep learning model for mid-term load forecasting. The model combines exponential smoothing (ETS), advanced Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and ensembling. ETS extracts dynamically the main…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-02 Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka , Slawek Smyl

Time series forecasting is crucial in several sectors, such as meteorology, retail, healthcare, and finance. Accurately forecasting future trends and patterns is crucial for strategic planning and making well-informed decisions. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Nitin Sagar Boyeena , Begari Susheel Kumar

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

In this paper a new method for heat load prediction in district energy systems is proposed. The method uses a nominal model for the prediction of the outdoor temperature dependent space heating load, and a data driven latent variable model…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-14 Johan Simonsson , Khalid Tourkey Atta , Dave Zachariah , Wolfgang Birk

Forecasting power consumptions of integrated electrical, heat or gas network systems is essential in order to operate more efficiently the whole energy network. Multi-energy systems are increasingly seen as a key component of future energy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Corneliu Arsene , Alessandra Parisio

In this paper, we propose novel approaches using state-of-the-art machine learning techniques, aiming at predicting energy demand for electric vehicle (EV) networks. These methods can learn and find the correlation of complex hidden…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-04 Yuris Mulya Saputra , Dinh Thai Hoang , Diep N. Nguyen , Eryk Dutkiewicz , Markus Dominik Mueck , Srikathyayani Srikanteswara

The renewable energies prediction and particularly global radiation forecasting is a challenge studied by a growing number of research teams. This paper proposes an original technique to model the insolation time series based on combining…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Cyril Voyant , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet

The large thermal capacity of buildings enables heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems to be exploited as demand response (DR) resources. Optimal DR of HVAC units is challenging, particularly for multi-zone buildings,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-01 Youngjin Kim

Using artificial neural network for the prediction of heat demand has attracted more and more attention. Weather conditions, such as ambient temperature, wind speed and direct solar irradiance, have been identified as key input parameters.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Jiyang Xie , Zhanyu Ma , Jun Guo

Currently the UK Electric market is guided by load (demand) forecasts published every thirty minutes by the regulator. A key factor in predicting demand is weather conditions, with forecasts published every hour. We present HYENA: a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Maria Eleni Athanasopoulou , Justina Deveikyte , Alan Mosca , Ilaria Peri , Alessandro Provetti

The wide spread of new energy resources, smart devices, and demand side management strategies has motivated several analytics operations, from infrastructure load modeling to user behavior profiling. Energy Demand Forecasting (EDF) of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Andreas Tritsarolis , Gil Sampaio , Nikos Pelekis , Yannis Theodoridis

As an increasing amount of remote sensing data becomes available in the Arctic Ocean, data-driven machine learning (ML) techniques are becoming widely used to predict sea ice velocity (SIV) and sea ice concentration (SIC). However, fully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Younghyun Koo , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

Sea level change, one of the most dire impacts of anthropogenic global warming, will affect a large amount of the world's population. However, sea level change is not uniform in time and space, and the skill of conventional prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Anne Braakmann-Folgmann , Ribana Roscher , Susanne Wenzel , Bernd Uebbing , Jürgen Kusche

Capitalizing on the recent availability of ERA5 monthly averaged long-term data records of mean atmospheric and climate fields based on high-resolution reanalysis, deep-learning architectures offer an alternative to physics-based daily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Pratik Shukla , Milton Halem

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) have become competitive forecasting methods, as most notably shown in the winning method of the recent M4 competition. However, established statistical models such as ETS and ARIMA gain their popularity not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-24 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts help with managing the marine ecosystem and the aquaculture impacted by anthropogenic climate change. Numerical dynamical models are resource intensive for SST forecasts; machine learning (ML) models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Karin R. Bryan

Thanks to the rapid development of deep learning, big data analysis technology is not only widely used in the field of natural language processing, but also more mature in the field of numerical prediction. It is of great significance for…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Cui Haiyan , Li Yawen , Xu Xin

District Heating Systems are essential infrastructure for delivering heat to consumers across a geographic region sustainably, yet efficient management relies on optimizing diverse energy sources, such as wood, gas, electricity, and solar,…

The increasing use of renewable energy sources with variable output, such as solar photovoltaic and wind power generation, calls for Smart Grids that effectively manage flexible loads and energy storage. The ability to forecast consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-02 Andreas Veit , Christoph Goebel , Rohit Tidke , Christoph Doblander , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

Analysis of time-series data allows to identify long-term trends and make predictions that can help to improve our lives. With the rapid development of artificial neural networks, long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network (RNN)…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Kazybek Adam , Kamilya Smagulova , Alex Pappachen James