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In the context of global warming, even relatively cooler countries like the UK are experiencing a rise in cooling demand, particularly in southern regions such as London. This growing demand, especially during the summer months, presents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-11 Meng Zhang , Zhihui Li , Zhibin Yu

Many applications in different domains produce large amount of time series data. Making accurate forecasting is critical for many decision makers. Various time series forecasting methods exist which use linear and nonlinear models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-19 Ümit Çavuş Büyükşahin , Şeyda Ertekin

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Seasonality is a distinctive characteristic which is often observed in many practical time series. Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are a class of promising models for efficiently recognizing and forecasting seasonal patterns. In this…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal , Laxmi Kant

The ability to predict the behavior of a wireless channel in terms of the frame delivery ratio is quite valuable, and permits, e.g., to optimize the operating parameters of a wireless network at runtime, or to proactively react to the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Gabriele Formis , Stefano Scanzio , Gianluca Cena , Adriano Valenzano

Solar based electricity generations have experienced strong and impactful growth in recent years. The regulation, scheduling, dispatching, and unit commitment of intermittent solar power is dependent on the accuracy of the forecasting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-30 Shaktinarayana Mishra , Lokanath Tripathy , Prachitara Satapathy , P. K. Dash , Nitasha Sahani

Many Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models and their associated Model Output Statistics (MOS) are available. Combining all of these predictions in an optimal way is however not straightforward. This can be achieved thanks to Expert…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Léo Pfitzner , Olivier Wintenberger , Olivier Mestre , Marion Riverain

El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation global (ENSO) imprint on sea surface temperature comes in many guises. To identify its tropical fingerprints and impacts on the rest of the climate system, we propose a global approach based on archetypal…

With electric power systems becoming more compact and increasingly powerful, the relevance of thermal stress especially during overload operation is expected to increase ceaselessly. Whenever critical temperatures cannot be measured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Wilhelm Kirchgässner , Oliver Wallscheid , Joachim Böcker

This overview paper details the findings from the Diving Deep: Forecasting Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies Challenge at the European Conference on Machine Learning and Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases (ECML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Karin R. Bryan , Yun Sing Koh , Andreas Voskou , N'Dah Jean Kouagou , Arnab Sharma

The rising availability of large volume data, along with increasing computing power, has enabled a wide application of statistical Machine Learning (ML) algorithms in the domains of Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS), Internet of Things (IoT) and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-30 Yongchao Huang , Hugh Miles , Pengfei Zhang

Accurate prediction of financial time series is a key concern for market economy makers and investors. The article selects online store sales and Australian beer sales as representatives of non-stationary, trending, and seasonal financial…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-10 Wei Chen , Yuanyuan Yang , Jianyu Liu

In response to the urban heat island effects and building energy demands in Singapore, this study proposes an agentic AI-enabled reasoning framework that integrates large language models (LLMs) with lightweight physics-based models. Through…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Po-Yen Lai , Xinyu Yang , Derrick Low , Huizhe Liu , Jian Cheng Wong

An accurate forecast of electric demand is essential for the optimal design of a generation system. For district installations, the projected lifespan may extend one or two decades. The reliance on a single-year forecast, combined with a…

Demand forecasting in power sector has become an important part of modern demand management and response systems with the rise of smart metering enabled grids. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) shows promising results in predicting time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Koushik Roy , Abtahi Ishmam , Kazi Abu Taher

Present energy demand and modernization are leading to greater fossil fuel consumption, which has increased environmental pollution and led to climate change. Hence to decrease dependency on conventional energy sources, renewable energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-20 Manas Ranjan Mohapatra , Rahul Radhakrishnan , Raj Mani Shukla

Accurate mechanisms for forecasting solar irradiance and insolation provide important information for the planning of renewable energy and agriculture projects as well as for environmental and socio-economical studies. This research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Laura S. Hoyos-Gómez , Jose F. Ruiz-Muñoz , Belizza J. Ruiz-Mendoza

An accurate load forecast is always important for the power industry and energy players as it enables stakeholders to make critical decisions. In addition, its importance is further increased with growing uncertainties in the generation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-26 Muhammad Qamar Raza , N. Mithulananthan , Jiaming Li , Kwang Y. Lee

This article presents a novel hybrid approach using statistics and machine learning to forecast the national demand of electricity. As investment and operation of future energy systems require long-term electricity demand forecasts with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Tatiana Gonzalez Grandon , Johannes Schwenzer , Thomas Steens , Julia Breuing

By significant improvements in modern electrical systems, planning for unit commitment and power dispatching of them are two big concerns between the researchers. Short-term load forecasting plays a significant role in planning and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-01 Kasun Chandrarathna , Arman Edalati , AhmadReza Fourozan tabar