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Related papers: Online Learning with an Almost Perfect Expert

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We consider prediction with expert advice for strongly convex and bounded losses, and investigate trade-offs between regret and "variance" (i.e., squared difference of learner's predictions and best expert predictions). With $K$ experts,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

We consider the problem of learning from revealed preferences in an online setting. In our framework, each period a consumer buys an optimal bundle of goods from a merchant according to her (linear) utility function and current prices,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Kareem Amin , Rachel Cummings , Lili Dworkin , Michael Kearns , Aaron Roth

We consider the problem of online prediction for an unknown, non-explosive linear stochastic system. With a known system model, the optimal predictor is the celebrated Kalman filter. In the case of unknown systems, existing approaches based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Offline model-based optimization (MBO) seeks to discover high-performing designs using only a fixed dataset of past evaluations. Most existing methods rely on learning a surrogate model via regression and implicitly assume that good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Shen-Huan Lyu , Rong-Xi Tan , Ke Xue , Yi-Xiao He , Yu Huang , Qingfu Zhang , Chao Qian

A key challenge in online learning is that classical algorithms can be slow to adapt to changing environments. Recent studies have proposed "meta" algorithms that convert any online learning algorithm to one that is adaptive to changing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-08 Kwang-Sung Jun , Francesco Orabona , Stephen Wright , Rebecca Willett

Many prediction domains, such as ad placement, recommendation, trajectory prediction, and document summarization, require predicting a set or list of options. Such lists are often evaluated using submodular reward functions that measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-14 Stephane Ross , Jiaji Zhou , Yisong Yue , Debadeepta Dey , J. Andrew Bagnell

The accuracy of machine learning systems is a widely studied research topic. Established techniques such as cross-validation predict the accuracy on unseen data of the classifier produced by applying a given learning method to a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-06 J. E. Smith , P. Caleb-Solly , M. A. Tahir , D. Sannen , H. van-Brussel

A binary classifier capable of abstaining from making a label prediction has two goals in tension: minimizing errors, and avoiding abstaining unnecessarily often. In this work, we exactly characterize the best achievable tradeoff between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-30 Akshay Balsubramani

Consider learning a decision support assistant to serve as an intermediary between (oracle) expert behavior and (imperfect) human behavior: At each time, the algorithm observes an action chosen by a fallible agent, and decides whether to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Daniel Jarrett , Alihan Hüyük , Mihaela van der Schaar

We explore the effects of over-specificity in learning algorithms by investigating the behavior of a student, suited to learn optimally from a teacher $\mathbf{B}$, learning from a teacher $\mathbf{B}'\neq\mathbf{B}$. We only considered the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Juan P. Neirotti

The paper is about developing a solver for maximizing a real-valued function of binary variables. The solver relies on an algorithm that estimates the optimal objective-function value of instances from the underlying distribution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Nimrod Megiddo , Segev Wasserkrug , Orit Davidovich , Shimrit Shtern

We discuss multi-task online learning when a decision maker has to deal simultaneously with M tasks. The tasks are related, which is modeled by imposing that the M-tuple of actions taken by the decision maker needs to satisfy certain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-03-27 Gabor Lugosi , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gilles Stoltz

We study online linear regression problems in a distributed setting, where the data is spread over a network. In each round, each network node proposes a linear predictor, with the objective of fitting the \emph{network-wide} data. It then…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Deming Yuan , Alexandre Proutiere , Guodong Shi

Building defect prediction models based on online learning can enhance prediction accuracy. It continuously rebuilds a new prediction model when adding a new data point. However, predicting a module as "non-defective" (i.e., negative…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Yuta Yamasaki , Nikolay Fedorov , Masateru Tsunoda , Akito Monden , Amjed Tahir , Kwabena Ebo Bennin , Koji Toda , Keitaro Nakasai

The training of autonomous agents often requires expensive and unsafe trial-and-error interactions with the environment. Nowadays several data sets containing recorded experiences of intelligent agents performing various tasks, spanning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Giorgio Angelotti , Nicolas Drougard , Caroline Ponzoni Carvalho Chanel

We study the problem of online binary classification where strategic agents can manipulate their observable features in predefined ways, modeled by a manipulation graph, in order to receive a positive classification. We show this setting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Saba Ahmadi , Avrim Blum , Kunhe Yang

We consider a prediction problem with two experts and a forecaster. We assume that one of the experts is honest and makes correct prediction with probability $\mu$ at each round. The other one is malicious, who knows true outcomes at each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-20 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor , Xin Zhang

Ensemble forecasting is, so far, the most successful approach to produce relevant forecasts with an estimation of their uncertainty. The main limitations of ensemble forecasting are the high computational cost and the difficulty to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Juan J. Ruiz , Manuel Pulido , Pierre Tandeo

This thesis explores a number of online machine learning algorithms. From a theoret- ical perspective, it assesses their employability for a particular function approximation problem where the analytical models fall short. Furthermore, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Ahmet Anil Pala