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Algorithmic predictions are emerging as a promising solution concept for efficiently allocating societal resources. Fueling their use is an underlying assumption that such systems are necessary to identify individuals for interventions. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Ali Shirali , Rediet Abebe , Moritz Hardt

We often seek to estimate the impact of an exposure naturally occurring or randomly assigned at the cluster-level. For example, the literature on neighborhood determinants of health continues to grow. Likewise, community randomized trials…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-08 Laura B. Balzer , Wenjing Zheng , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

The present paper deals with the problem of allocating patients to two competing treatments in the presence of covariates or prognostic factors in order to achieve a good trade-off among ethical concerns, inferential precision and…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-17 Alessandro Baldi Antognini , Maroussa Zagoraiou

In many medical and business applications, researchers are interested in estimating individualized treatment effects using data from a randomized experiment. For example in medical applications, doctors learn the treatment effects from…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-01 Kevin Wu Han , Han Wu

There are various applications, where companies need to decide to which individuals they should best allocate treatment. To support such decisions, uplift models are applied to predict treatment effects on an individual level. Based on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-11 Björn Bokelmann , Stefan Lessmann

There has been a split in the statistics community about the need for taking covariates into account in the design phase of a clinical trial. There are many advocates of using stratification and covariate-adaptive randomization to promote…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-21 William F. Rosenberger , Oleksandr Sverdlov

Optimal designs are usually model-dependent and likely to be sub-optimal if the postulated model is not correctly specified. In practice, it is common that a researcher has a list of candidate models at hand and a design has to be found…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Mingyao Ai , Holger Dette , Zhengfu Liu , Jun Yu

Mixed-effect models are flexible tools for researchers in a myriad of fields, but that flexibility comes at the cost of complexity and if users are not careful in how their model is specified, they could be making faulty inferences from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-28 Keith R. Lohse , Allan J. Kozlowski , Michael J. Strube

Tie-breaker designs trade off a statistical design objective with short-term gain from preferentially assigning a binary treatment to those with high values of a running variable $x$. The design objective is any continuous function of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Harrison H. Li , Art B. Owen

We investigate R-optimal designs for multi-response regression models with multi-factors, where the random errors in these models are correlated. Several theoretical results are derived for Roptimal designs, including scale invariance,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Pengqi Liu , Lucy Gao , Julie Zhou

New crop varieties are extensively tested in multi-environment trials in order to obtain a solid empirical basis for recommendations to farmers. When the target population of environments is large and heterogeneous, a division into…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-14 Maryna Prus , Hans-Peter Piepho

In a randomised clinical trial, when the result of the primary endpoint shows a significant benefit, the secondary endpoints are scrutinised to identify additional effects of the treatment. However, this approach entails a risk of…

Cluster-randomized experiments are widely used due to their logistical convenience and policy relevance. To analyze them properly, we must address the fact that the treatment is assigned at the cluster level instead of the individual level.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-06 Fangzhou Su , Peng Ding

The field of precision medicine aims to tailor treatment based on patient-specific factors in a reproducible way. To this end, estimating an optimal individualized treatment regime (ITR) that recommends treatment decisions based on patient…

We improve the existing results of optimal partial profile paired choice designs and provide new designs for situations where the choice set sizes are greater than two. The optimal designs are obtained under the main effects models and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-28 Soumen Manna , Ashish Das

We consider the problem of selecting the optimal subgroup to treat when data on covariates is available from a randomized trial or observational study. We distinguish between four different settings including (i) treatment selection when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Tyler J. VanderWeele , Alex R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan , Ronald C. Kessler

This paper studies experimental designs for estimation and inference on policies with spillover effects. Units are organized into a finite number of large clusters and interact in unknown ways within each cluster. First, we introduce a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-06 Davide Viviano , Jess Rudder

This paper studies the use of highly stratified designs for the efficient estimation of a large class of treatment effect parameters that arise in the analysis of experiments. By a "highly stratified" design, we mean experiments in which…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-30 Yuehao Bai , Jizhou Liu , Azeem M. Shaikh , Max Tabord-Meehan

The purpose of this paper is to study optimality of circular neighbor-balanced block designs when neighbor effects are present in the model. In the literature many optimality results are established for direct effects and neighbor effects…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. A. Bailey , P. Druilhet

We consider minimax-optimal designs for the prediction of individual parameters in random coefficient regression models. We focus on the minimax-criterion, which minimizes the "worst case" for the basic criterion with respect to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-09 Maryna Prus
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