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We articulate here a series of specific metagoals designed to address the challenge of creating AGI systems that possess the ability to flexibly self-modify yet also have the propensity to maintain key invariant properties of their goal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Ben Goertzel

The cost of error in many high-stakes settings is asymmetric: misdiagnosing pneumonia when absent is an inconvenience, but failing to detect it when present can be life-threatening. Because of this, artificial intelligence (AI) models used…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-12 David Autor , Andrew Caplin , Daniel Martin , Philip Marx

Assessing uncertainty is an important step towards ensuring the safety and reliability of machine learning systems. Existing uncertainty estimation techniques may fail when their modeling assumptions are not met, e.g. when the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Stefano Ermon

This paper argues that AI alignment is not merely difficult, but is founded on a fundamental logical contradiction. We first establish The Enumeration Paradox: we use machine learning precisely because we cannot enumerate all necessary…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Jasper Yao

We consider that existing approaches to AI "safety" and "alignment" may not be using the most effective tools, teams, or approaches. We suggest that an alternative and better approach to the problem may be to treat alignment as a social…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-16 David Rostcheck , Lara Scheibling

The AI research community plays a vital role in shaping the scientific, engineering, and societal goals of AI research. In this position paper, we argue that focusing on the highly contested topic of `artificial general intelligence'…

AI alignment work is important from both a commercial and a safety lens. With this paper, we aim to help actors who support alignment efforts to make these efforts as effective as possible, and to avoid potential adverse effects. We begin…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Oliver Guest , Michael Aird , Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh

Safety alignment is an essential research topic for real-world AI applications. Despite the multifaceted nature of safety and trustworthiness in AI, current safety alignment methods often focus on a comprehensive notion of safety. By…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Thien Q. Tran , Akifumi Wachi , Rei Sato , Takumi Tanabe , Youhei Akimoto

The regulatory approval and broad clinical deployment of medical AI have been hampered by the perception that deep learning models fail in unpredictable and possibly catastrophic ways. A lack of statistically rigorous uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Charles Lu , Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stuart Pomerantz

In the pursuit of artificial general intelligence (AGI), we tackle Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) tasks using a novel two-pronged approach. We employ the Decision Transformer in an imitation learning paradigm to model human…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Jaehyun Park , Jaegyun Im , Sanha Hwang , Mintaek Lim , Sabina Ualibekova , Sejin Kim , Sundong Kim

The correct use and interpretation of models depends on several steps, two of which being the calibration by parameter estimation and the analysis of uncertainty. In the biological literature, these steps are seldom discussed together, but…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-17 André Chalom , Paulo Inácio de Knegt López de Prado

In imaging inverse problems, one seeks to recover an image from missing/corrupted measurements. Because such problems are ill-posed, there is great motivation to quantify the uncertainty induced by the measurement-and-recovery process.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Jeffrey Wen , Rizwan Ahmad , Philip Schniter

Unbinned likelihood fits are frequent in Physics, and often involve complex functions with several components. We discuss the potential pitfalls of situations where the templates used in the fit are not fixed but depend on the event…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-18 Giovanni Punzi

Artificial intelligence safety research focuses on aligning individual language models with human values, yet deployed AI systems increasingly operate as interacting populations where social influence may override individual alignment. Here…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-12 Giordano De Marzo , Alessandro Bellina , Claudio Castellano , Viola Priesemann , David Garcia

Benchmarking the capabilities of AI systems, including Large Language Models (LLMs) and Vision Models, typically ignores the impact of uncertainty in the underlying ground truth answers from experts. This ambiguity is not just limited to…

We develop a new approach to multi-label conformal prediction in which we aim to output a precise set of promising prediction candidates with a bounded number of incorrect answers. Standard conformal prediction provides the ability to adapt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Multimodal representation learning is fundamentally about transforming incomparable modalities into comparable representations. While prior research primarily focused on explicitly aligning these representations through targeted learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Megan Tjandrasuwita , Chanakya Ekbote , Liu Ziyin , Paul Pu Liang

Aligning powerful AI models on tasks that surpass human evaluation capabilities is the central problem of \textbf{superalignment}. To address this problem, weak-to-strong generalization aims to elicit the capabilities of strong models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Junhao Shi , Qinyuan Cheng , Zhaoye Fei , Yining Zheng , Qipeng Guo , Xipeng Qiu

This paper looks at philosophical questions that arise in the context of AI alignment. It defends three propositions. First, normative and technical aspects of the AI alignment problem are interrelated, creating space for productive…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Iason Gabriel

Artificial intelligence (AI) faces a trifecta of grand challenges: the Energy Wall, the Alignment Problem and the Leap from Narrow AI to AGI. We present SAGI, a Systematic Approach to AGI that utilizes system design principles to overcome…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Eren Kurshan