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Humans excel at visual social inference, the ability to infer hidden elements of a scene from subtle behavioral cues such as other people's gaze, pose, and orientation. This ability drives everyday social reasoning in humans and is critical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Neha Balamurugan , Sarah Wu , Adam Chun , Gabe Gaw , Cristobal Eyzaguirre , Tobias Gerstenberg

In this paper we show a new technique to analyze families of rankings. In particular we focus on sports rankings and, more precisely, on soccer leagues. We consider that two teams compete when they change their relative positions in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Regino Criado , Esther Garcia , Francisco Pedroche , Miguel Romance

In this paper, we present a novel approach for optimising long-term tactical and strategic decision-making in football (soccer) by encapsulating events in a league environment across a given time frame. We model the teams' objectives for a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Ryan Beal , Georgios Chalkiadakis , Timothy J. Norman , Sarvapali D. Ramchurn

Composing a team of professional players is among the most crucial decisions in association football. Nevertheless, transfer market decisions are often based on myopic objectives and are questionable from a financial point of view. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Giovanni Pantuso , Lars Magnus Hvattum

The transfer fees of sports players have become astronomical. This is because bringing players of great future value to the club is essential for their survival. We present a case study on the key factors affecting the world's top soccer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Hansoo Lee , Bayu Adhi Tama , Meeyoung Cha

We showcase in this paper the use of some tools from network theory to describe the strategy of football teams. Using passing data made available by FIFA during the 2010 World Cup, we construct for each team a weighted and directed network…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-12-03 Javier López Peña , Hugo Touchette

Transfers in professional football (soccer) are risky investments because of the large transfer fees and high risks involved. Although data-driven models can be used to improve transfer decisions, existing models focus on describing…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-29 Koen W. van Arem , Floris Goes-Smit , Jakob Söhl

This paper introduces an innovative application of Large Event Models (LEMs), akin to Large Language Models, to the domain of soccer analytics. By learning the language of soccer - predicting variables for subsequent events rather than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Tiago Mendes-Neves , Luís Meireles , João Mendes-Moreira

Characterizing playing style is important for football clubs on scouting, monitoring and match preparation. Previous studies considered a player's style as a combination of technical performances, failing to consider the spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Yuesen Li , Shouxin Zong , Yanfei Shen , Zhiqiang Pu , Miguel-Ángel Gómez , Yixiong Cui

With the vast amount of data collected on football and the growth of computing abilities, many games involving decision choices can be optimized. The underlying rule is the maximization of an expected utility of outcomes and the law of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-15 Preston Biro , Stephen G. Walker

We propose a foundation model for soccer, which is able to predict subsequent actions in a soccer match from a given input sequence of actions. As a proof of concept, we train a transformer architecture on three seasons of data from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Ethan Baron , Daniel Hocevar , Zach Salehe

In many sports, it is commonly believed that the home team has an advantage over the visiting team, known as the home field advantage. Yet its causal effect on team performance is largely unknown. In this paper, we propose a novel causal…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-18 Chen Wang , Katherine Price , Hengrui Cai , Weining Shen , Zhanrui Cai , Guanyu Hu

This paper introduces an approach to predicting the next event in a soccer match, a challenge bearing remarkable similarities to the problem faced by Large Language Models (LLMs). Unlike other methods that severely limit event dynamics in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Tiago Mendes-Neves , Luís Meireles , João Mendes-Moreira

Defensive organization is critical in soccer, particularly during negative transitions when teams are most vulnerable. The back-four defensive line plays a decisive role in preventing goal-scoring opportunities, yet its collective…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Soujanya Dash , Kenjiro Ide , Rikuhei Umemoto , Kai Amino , Keisuke Fujii

In this work, we draw attention to a connection between skill-based models of game outcomes and Gaussian process classification models. The Gaussian process perspective enables a) a principled way of dealing with uncertainty and b) rich…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-06 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Antonio J. González Ferrer , Matthias Grossglauser

Accurate player and ball detection has become increasingly important in recent years for sport analytics. As most state-of-the-art methods rely on training deep learning networks in a supervised fashion, they require huge amounts of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Renaud Vandeghen , Anthony Cioppa , Marc Van Droogenbroeck

This article describes an application of three well-known statistical methods in the field of game-tree search: using a large number of classified Othello positions, feature weights for evaluation functions with a game-phase-independent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-11-17 M. Buro

Computer Vision developments are enabling significant advances in many fields, including sports. Many applications built on top of Computer Vision technologies, such as tracking data, are nowadays essential for every top-level analyst,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Tiago Mendes-Neves , Luís Meireles , João Mendes-Moreira

As a globally celebrated sport, soccer has attracted widespread interest from fans all over the world. This paper aims to develop a comprehensive multi-modal framework for soccer video understanding. Specifically, we make the following…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Jiayuan Rao , Haoning Wu , Hao Jiang , Ya Zhang , Yanfeng Wang , Weidi Xie

We consider the task of determining the number of chances a soccer team creates, along with the composite nature of each chance-the players involved and the locations on the pitch of the assist and the chance. We propose an interpretable…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Ricardo Silva , Daniel Edwards