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In this paper, we develop a logistic regression model to estimate the probability that a particular shot in an NHL game will result in a goal, and use the results to evaluate the performance of NHL skaters, goalies, and teams. We weight…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-09 Brian Macdonald , Craig Lennon , Rodney Sturdivant

Data analysis plays an increasingly important role in soccer, offering new ways to evaluate individual and team performance. One specific application is the evaluation of dribbles: one-on-one situations where an attacker attempts to bypass…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Michiel Schepers , Pieter Robberechts , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis

With the increasingly detailed investigation of game play and tactics in invasive team sports such as soccer, it becomes ever more important to present causes, actions and findings in a meaningful manner. Visualizations, especially when…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Maximilian T. Fischer , Daniel A. Keim , Manuel Stein

We present a framework that gives a deep insight into the link between physical and technical-tactical aspects of soccer and it allows associating physical performance with value generation thanks to a top-down approach. First, we estimate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-06 Sergio Llana , Borja Burriel , Pau Madrero , Javier Fernández

A hockey player's plus-minus measures the difference between goals scored by and against that player's team while the player was on the ice. This measures only a marginal effect, failing to account for the influence of the others he is…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-27 Robert B. Gramacy , Matt Taddy , Sen Tian

In fluid team sports such as soccer and basketball, analyzing team formation is one of the most intuitive ways to understand tactics from domain participants' point of view. However, existing approaches either assume that team formation is…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-13 Hyunsung Kim , Bit Kim , Dongwook Chung , Jinsung Yoon , Sang-Ki Ko

American football is unique in that offensive and defensive units typically consist of separate players who don't share the field simultaneously, which tempts one to evaluate them independently. However, a team's offensive and defensive…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-04 Andrey Skripnikov , Sujit Sivadanam

In a soccer game, the information provided by detecting and tracking brings crucial clues to further analyze and understand some tactical aspects of the game, including individual and team actions. State-of-the-art tracking algorithms…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-23 Samuel Hurault , Coloma Ballester , Gloria Haro

Huge amounts of money are invested every year by football clubs on transfers. For both growth and survival, it is crucial for recruiting departments to make smart choices when targeting players. Therefore, it is very important to identify…

Competitive balance is the subject of much interest in the sports analytics literature and beyond. In this paper, we develop a statistical network model based on an extension of the stochastic block model to assess the balance between teams…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-11 Francesca Basini , Vasiliki Tsouli , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Nial Friel

In this paper a new heuristic optimization algorithm has been introduced based on the performance of the major football leagues within each season in EU countries. The algorithm starts with an initial population including three different…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-06-18 Erfan Khaji

Players and ball detection are among the first required steps on a football analytics platform. Until recently, the existing open datasets on which the evaluations of most models were based, were not sufficient. In this work, we point out…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Konstantinos Moutselos , Ilias Maglogiannis

The widespread popularity of soccer across the globe has turned it into a multi-billion dollar industry. As a result, most professional clubs actively engage in talent identification and development programmes. Contemporary research has…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-05 Vincent Chin , Adam Beavan , Job Fransen , Jan Mayer , Robert Kohn , Louise M. Ryan , Scott A. Sisson

This project aims to assess the performance of various regression models in predicting the performance of hockey players. The measure of performance is chosen to be points scored (sum of goals scored and assists made) by individual players…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Shuja Khalid

Soccer broadcast video understanding has been drawing a lot of attention in recent years within data scientists and industrial companies. This is mainly due to the lucrative potential unlocked by effective deep learning techniques developed…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Anthony Cioppa , Adrien Deliège , Floriane Magera , Silvio Giancola , Olivier Barnich , Bernard Ghanem , Marc Van Droogenbroeck

Ubiquitous sensors and Internet of Things (IoT) technologies have revolutionized the sports industry, providing new methodologies for planning, effective coordination of training, and match analysis post game. New methods, including machine…

This study introduces an advanced machine learning method for predicting soccer players' market values, combining ensemble models and the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) for interpretability. Utilizing data from about 12,000 players…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Chunyang Huang , Shaoliang Zhang

Modelling the trajectorial motion of humans along the ground is a foundational task in the quantitative analysis of sports like association football. Most existing models of football player motion have not been validated yet with respect to…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-05-02 M. Renkin , J. Bischofberger , E. Schikuta , A. Baca

Premier League is known as one of the most competitive football league in the world, hence there are many goals are scored here every match. Which are the factors that affect to the number of goal scored in each match? We use Poisson…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-22 Cuong Pham , Tung Le

Expected goals (xG) models estimate the probability that a shot results in a goal from its context (e.g., location, pressure), but they operate only on observed shots. We propose xG+, a possession-level framework that first estimates the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-27 Jonathan Pipping-Gamón , Tianshu Feng , R. Paul Sabin
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