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This paper presents a statistically sound method for measuring the accuracy with which a probabilistic model reflects the growth of a network, and a method for optimising parameters in such a model. The technique is data-driven, and can be…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2009-04-07 Richard Clegg , Raul Landa , Uli Harder , Miguel Rio

We give a finite-sample analysis of predictive inference procedures after model selection in regression with random design. The analysis is focused on a statistically challenging scenario where the number of potentially important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Hannes Leeb

Reviews contain rich information about product characteristics and user interests and thus are commonly used to boost recommender system performance. Specifically, previous work show that jointly learning to perform review generation…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Zhouhang Xie , Julian McAuley , Bodhisattwa Prasad Majumder

World models - learned internal simulators of environment dynamics - are rapidly becoming foundational to autonomous decision-making in robotics, autonomous vehicles, and agentic AI. By predicting future states in compressed latent spaces,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Manoj Parmar

Current model testing work has mostly focused on creating test cases. Identifying what to test is a step that is largely ignored and poorly supported. We propose Weaver, an interactive tool that supports requirements elicitation for guiding…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Chenyang Yang , Rishabh Rustogi , Rachel Brower-Sinning , Grace A. Lewis , Christian Kästner , Tongshuang Wu

Prediction models are popular in medical research and practice. By predicting an outcome of interest for specific patients, these models may help inform difficult treatment decisions, and are often hailed as the poster children for…

Existing well investigated Predictive Process Monitoring techniques typically construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Williams Rizzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

A stationary spatial model is an idealization and we expect that the true dependence structures of physical phenomena are spatially varying, but how should we handle this non-stationarity in practice? We study the challenges involved in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

The workshop is devoted to model-based testing of both software and hardware. Model-based testing uses models describing the required behavior of the system under consideration to guide such efforts as test selection and test results…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-04-09 Nikolay Pakulin , Alexander K. Petrenko , Bernd-Holger Schlingloff

World models are central to building AI agents capable of flexible reasoning and planning. Yet current evaluations (i) test only properties measurable from observed interactions, such as next-frame prediction or task return, and (ii) do not…

He et al. (2018) have called into question the utility of pre-training by showing that training from scratch can often yield similar performance to pre-training. We show that although pre-training may not improve performance on traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Dan Hendrycks , Kimin Lee , Mantas Mazeika

Researchers in empirical software engineering often make claims based on observable data such as defect reports. Unfortunately, in many cases, these claims are generalized beyond the data sets that have been evaluated. Will the researcher's…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-08-10 Abdul Ali Bangash , Hareem Sahar , Abram Hindle , Karim Ali

Accurately predicting faulty software units helps practitioners target faulty units and prioritize their efforts to maintain software quality. Prior studies use machine-learning models to detect faulty software code. We revisit past studies…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Libo Li , Stefan Lessmann , Bart Baesens

As artificial intelligence and machine learning tools become more accessible, and scientists face new obstacles to data collection (e.g. rising costs, declining survey response rates), researchers increasingly use predictions from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Kentaro Hoffman , Stephen Salerno , Awan Afiaz , Jeffrey T. Leek , Tyler H. McCormick

Amid rising concerns of reproducibility and generalizability in predictive modeling, we explore the possibility and potential benefits of introducing pre-registration to the field. Despite notable advancements in predictive modeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Jake M. Hofman , Angelos Chatzimparmpas , Amit Sharma , Duncan J. Watts , Jessica Hullman

Systems biology models are useful models of complex biological systems that may require a large amount of experimental data to fit each model's parameters or to approximate a likelihood function. These models range from a few to thousands…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-12 Vincent D. Zaballa , Elliot E. Hui

The quality and correct functioning of software components embedded in electronic systems are of utmost concern especially for safety and mission-critical systems. Model-based testing and formal verification techniques can be employed to…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Shahbaz Ali , Hailong Sun , Yongwang Zhao

Although deep neural networks are effective on supervised learning tasks, they have been shown to be brittle. They are prone to overfitting on their training distribution and are easily fooled by small adversarial perturbations. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Laëtitia Shao , Yang Song , Stefano Ermon

To operate safely, an automated vehicle (AV) must anticipate how the environment around it will evolve. For that purpose, it is important to know which prediction models are most appropriate for every situation. Currently, assessment of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Manuel Muñoz Sánchez , Jos Elfring , Emilia Silvas , René van de Molengraft

Clinical time-series forecasting is increasingly studied for decision support, yet standard aggregate metrics can obscure whether a model is actually useful for the task it is meant to serve. In safety-critical settings, low average error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Alireza Namazi , Heman Shakeri
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