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In the last decade, stochastic models have shown to be very useful for quantitative modelling of social processes. Here, a configurational master equation for the description of behavioral changes by pair interactions of individuals is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing

In simulations of multiscale dynamical systems, not all relevant processes can be resolved explicitly. Taking the effect of the unresolved processes into account is important, which introduces the need for paramerizations. We present a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Daan Crommelin , Wouter Edeling

Dynamical systems describe the changes in processes that arise naturally from their underlying physical principles, such as the laws of motion or the conservation of mass, energy or momentum. These models facilitate a causal explanation for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-11 Michelle Carey , James O. Ramsay

The reconstruction and inference of stochastic dynamical systems from data is a fundamental task in inverse problems and statistical learning. While surrogate modeling advances computational methods to approximate these dynamics, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Nicole Tianjiao Yang

The analysis on stability and bifurcations in the macroscopic dynamics exhibited by the system of two coupled large populations comprised of $N$ stochastic excitable units each is performed by studying an approximate system, obtained by…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-11 I. Franovic , K. Todorovic , N. Vasovic , N. Buric

Learning stochastic models of dynamical systems from observed data is of interest in many scientific fields. Here, we propose a new method for this task within the family of dynamical variational autoencoders. The proposed double projection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Viktor Sip , Martin Breyton , Spase Petkoski , Viktor Jirsa

Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

Recently, a novel linear model predictive control algorithm based on a physics-informed Gaussian Process has been introduced, whose realizations strictly follow a system of underlying linear ordinary differential equations with constant…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Adrian Lepp , Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow

Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Gregor Diezemann , Gerald Hinze , Hans Sillescu

We propose a new procedure to monitor and forecast the onset of transitions in high dimensional complex systems. We describe our procedure by an application to the Tangled Nature model of evolutionary ecology. The quasi-stable…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-12-31 Andrea Cairoli , Duccio Piovani , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

The theory of slow manifolds is an important tool in the study of deterministic dynamical systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of relevant degrees of freedom in a model, thereby often resulting in a considerable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-01 George W A Constable , Alan J McKane , Tim Rogers

Bifurcation diagram is a powerful tool that visually gives information about the behavior of the equilibrium points of a dynamical system respect to the varying parameter. This paper proposes an educational algorithm by which the local…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Shahram Aghaei , Abolghasem Daeichian

We apply a Gaussian variational approximation to model reduction in large biochemical networks of unary and binary reactions. We focus on a small subset of variables (subnetwork) of interest, e.g. because they are accessible experimentally,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-08-02 Barbara Bravi , Peter Sollich

We study an excitable active rotator with slowly adapting nonlinear feedback and noise. Depending on the adaptation and the noise level, this system may display noise-induced spiking, noise-perturbed oscillations, or stochastic busting. We…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-08-26 Igor Franović , Serhiy Yanchuk , Sebastian Eydam , Iva Bačić , Matthias Wolfrum

We perform dynamical analysis on a stochastic Rosenzweig-MacArthur model driven by {\alpha}-stable L\'evy motion. We analyze the existence of the equilibrium points, and provide a clear illustration of their stability. It is shown that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Shenglan Yuan , Zibo Wang

Many physical systems characterized by nonlinear multiscale interactions can be effectively modeled by treating unresolved degrees of freedom as random fluctuations. However, even when the microscopic governing equations and qualitative…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-07 Jared L. Callaham , Jean-Christophe Loiseau , Georgios Rigas , Steven L. Brunton

Various authors have shown that, near the onset of a period-doubling bifurcation, small perturbations in the control parameter may result in much larger disturbances in the response of the dynamical system. Such amplification of small…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Xiaopeng Zhao , David G. Schaeffer , Carolyn M. Berger , Daniel J. Gauthier

We propose a combination of cluster analysis and stochastic process analysis to characterize high-dimensional complex dynamical systems by few dominating variables. As an example, stock market data are analyzed for which the dynamical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-10 Philip Rinn , Yuriy Stepanov , Joachim Peinke , Thomas Guhr , Rudi Schäfer

The state of many physical, biological and socio-technical systems evolves by combining smooth local transitions and abrupt resetting events to a set of reference values. The inclusion of the resetting mechanism not only provides the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-21 Oriol Artime

We study a stochastic nonlocal PDE, arising in the context of modelling spatially distributed neural activity, which is capable of sustaining stationary and moving spatially-localized ``activity bumps''. This system is known to undergo a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-11-11 C. R. Laing , T. A. Frewen , I. G. Kevrekidis