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In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

Behaviour change lies at the heart of many observable collective phenomena such as the transmission and control of infectious diseases, adoption of public health policies, and migration of animals to new habitats. Representing the process…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Roben Delos Reyes , Hugo Lyons Keenan , Cameron Zachreson

The qualitative study of dynamical systems using bifurcation theory is key to understanding systems from biological clocks and neurons to physical phase transitions. Data generated from such systems can feature complex transients, an…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-19 Nicolas Romeo , Chris Chi , Aaron R. Dinner , Elizabeth R. Jerison

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Matteo Bosso , Giovanni Franzese , Kushal Swamy , Maarten Theulings , Alejandro M. Aragón , Farbod Alijani

The dynamics of biological systems, from proteins to cells to organisms, is complex and stochastic. To decipher their physical laws, we need to bridge between experimental observations and theoretical modeling. Thanks to progress in…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-06-05 Pierre Ronceray

In order to investigate the evolutionary process of many deterministic Dynamical systems with unfixed parameter, a set of dynamical models with parameter changing continuously and the accumulation of this change might be large is introduced…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 H. P. Fang

Noise-induced transitions between metastable fixed points in systems evolving on multiple time scales are analyzed in situations where the time scale separation gives rise to a slow manifold with bifurcation. This analysis is performed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-05 Tobias Grafke , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Nonlinear dynamical systems are sometimes under the influence of random fluctuations. It is desirable to examine possible bifurcations for stochastic dynamical systems when a parameter varies. A computational analysis is conducted to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Huiqin Chen , Jinqiao Duan , Chengjian Zhang

This thesis develops exact analytical tools to study strongly correlated stochastic systems, with a focus on extreme value statistics, gap statistics, and full counting statistics in multi-particle processes. A central contribution is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-19 Marco Biroli

We propose a modeling framework for stochastic systems, termed Gaussian behaviors, that describes finite-length trajectories of a system as a Gaussian process. The proposed model naturally quantifies the uncertainty in the trajectories, yet…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 András Sasfi , Ivan Markovsky , Alberto Padoan , Florian Dörfler

Feedback circuits in biochemical networks which underly cellular signaling pathways are important elements in creating complex behavior. A specific aspect thereof is how stability of equilibrium points depends on model parameters. For…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-20 Steffen Waldherr , Frank Allgower

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-15 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

We study in this paper the behavior of a periodically driven nonlinear mechanical system. Bifurcation diagrams are found which locate regions of quasiperiodic, periodic and chaotic behavior within the parameter space of the system. We also…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Randy Kobes , Junxian Liu , Slaven Peles

Bifurcation analysis has many applications in different scientific fields, such as electronics, biology, ecology, and economics. In population biology, deterministic methods of bifurcation are commonly used. In contrast, stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Almaz Tesfay , Daniel Tesfay , Shenglan Yuan , James Brannan , Jinqiao Duan

The full family of discrete logistic maps has been widely studied both as a canonical example of the period-doubling route to chaos, and as a model of natural processes. In this paper we present a study of the stochastic process described…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Kimberly Ayers , Ami Radunskaya

Learning governing equations from a family of data sets which share the same physical laws but differ in bifurcation parameters is challenging. This is due, in part, to the wide range of phenomena that could be represented in the data sets…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-07 Hayden Schaeffer , Giang Tran , Rachel Ward

This article is concerned with stability analysis and stabilization of randomly switched systems under a class of switching signals. The switching signal is modeled as a jump stochastic (not necessarily Markovian) process independent of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-10-04 Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel Liberzon

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang