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Dynamical systems are used to model a variety of phenomena in which the bifurcation structure is a fundamental characteristic. Here we propose a statistical machine-learning approach to derive lowdimensional models that automatically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Yohei Kondo , Kunihiko Kaneko , Shuji Ishihara

Bifurcations mark qualitative changes of long-term behavior in dynamical systems and can often signal sudden ("hard") transitions or catastrophic events (divergences). Accurately locating them is critical not just for deeper understanding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yorgos M. Psarellis , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

For a model nonlinear dynamical system, we show how one may obtain its bifurcation behavior by introducing noise into the dynamics and then studying the resulting Langevin dynamics in the weak-noise limit. A suitable quantity to capture the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-02-06 Debraj Das , Sayan Roy , Shamik Gupta

Large populations of globally-coupled identical maps subjected to independent additive noise are shown to undergo qualitative changes as the features of the stochastic process are varied. We show that for strong coupling, the collective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Silvia De Monte , Francesco d'Ovidio , Hugues Chaté , Erik Mosekilde

We investigate the bifurcation phenomena for stochastic systems with multiplicative Gaussian noise, by examining qualitative changes in mean phase portraits. Starting from the Fokker-Planck equation for the probability density function of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Hui Wang , Athanasios Tsiairis , Jinqiao Duan

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

We consider a slow passage through a point of loss of stability. If the passage is sufficiently slow, the dynamics are controlled by additive random disturbances, even if they are extremely small. We derive expressions for the `exit value'…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 G. D. Lythe

Modeling and parameter estimation for neuronal dynamics are often challenging because many parameters can range over orders of magnitude and are difficult to measure experimentally. Moreover, selecting a suitable model complexity requires a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-31 J. E. Rubin , B. Krauskopf , H. M. Osinga

Stochastic modelling provides an indispensable tool for understanding how random events at the molecular level influence cellular functions. In practice, the common challenge is to calibrate a large number of model parameters against the…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Shuohao Liao , Tomas Vejchodsky , Radek Erban

A parabolic stochastic PDE is studied analytically and numerically, when a bifurcation parameter is slowly increased through its critical value. The aim is to understand the effect of noise on delayed bifurcations in systems with spatial…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 G. D. Lythe

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

We treat the problem of characterizing in a systematic way the qualitative features of two-dimensional dynamical systems. To that end, we construct a representation of the topological features of phase portraits by means of diagrams that…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-06-29 Javier Roulet , Gabriel B. Mindlin

This work investigates a three-dimensional slow-fast stochastic system with quadratic nonlinearity and additive noise, inspired by fluid dynamics. The deterministic counterpart exhibits a periodic orbit and a slow manifold. We demonstrate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Christian J. Pangerl , Martin Rasmussen

Gaussian graphical models provide a powerful framework to reveal the conditional dependency structure between multivariate variables. The process of uncovering the conditional dependency network is known as structure learning. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Lucas Vogels , Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , S. Ilker Birbil

Based on the physics of stochastic processes we present a new approach for structural health monitoring. We show that the new method allows for an in-situ analysis of the elastic features of a mechanical structure even for realistic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-08 Philip Rinn , Hendrik Heißelmann , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke

For cellular biochemical reaction systems where the numbers of molecules is small, significant noise is associated with chemical reaction events. This molecular noise can give rise to behavior that is very different from the predictions of…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Matthew Scott , Terence Hwa , Brian Ingalls

We consider noise-driven exit from a domain of attraction in a two-dimensional bistable system lacking detailed balance. Through analog and digital stochastic simulations, we find a theoretically predicted bifurcation of the most probable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 D. G. Luchinsky , R. S. Maier , R. Mannella , P. V. E. McClintock , D. L. Stein

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

We derive the exact bifurcation diagram of the Duffing oscillator with parametric noise thanks to the analytical study of the associated Lyapunov exponent. When the fixed point is unstable for the underlying deterministic dynamics, we show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Kirone Mallick , Philippe Marcq

Diverse complex dynamical systems are known to exhibit abrupt regime shifts at bifurcation points of the saddle-node type. The dynamics of most of these systems, however, have a stochastic component resulting in noise driven regime shifts…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-10-29 Sayantari Ghosh , Amit Kumar Pal , Indrani Bose
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