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A single joinpoint changepoint model partitions a time series into two segments, joined at the changepoint time by constraining the estimated piecewise linear regression responses to be continuous. This manuscript derives the exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Xueheng Shi , Robert Lund

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence in nonparametric regression models where the unknown regression function is modeled by some appropriate stochastic process. In this regard, we consider two setups. The first setup is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

In this paper, we study the asymptotic relation between the first crossing point and the last exit time for Gaussian order statistics which are generated by stationary weakly and strongly dependent Gaussian sequences. It is shown that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Zhijun Ning , Zhongquan Tan

Consider a set of order statistics that arise from sorting samples from two different populations, each with their own, possibly different distribution function. The probability that these order statistics fall in disjoint, ordered…

Computation · Statistics 2007-06-26 Deborah H. Glueck , Anis Karimpour-Fard , Jan Mandel , Keith E. Muller

For each $n \geq 1$, let $\{X_{j,n}\}_{1 \leq j \leq n}$ be a sequence of strictly stationary random variables. In this article, we give some asymptotic weak dependence conditions for the convergence in distribution of the point process…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-28 Raluca Balan , Sana Louhichi

Gaussian couplings of partial sum processes are derived for the high-dimensional regime $d=o(n^{1/3})$. The coupling is derived for sums of independent random vectors and subsequently extended to nonstationary time series. Our inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Fabian Mies , Ansgar Steland

Some scenarios require the computation of a predictive distribution of a new value evaluated on an objective function conditioned on previous observations. We are interested on using a model that makes valid assumptions on the objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Lucia Asencio-Martín , Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán

We study the probability of a real-valued stationary process to be positive on a large interval $[0,N]$. We show that if in some neighborhood of the origin the spectral measure of the process has density which is bounded away from zero and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Naomi D. Feldheim , Ohad N. Feldheim

We consider the FCFS $GI/GI/n$ queue in the Halfin-Whitt heavy traffic regime, and prove bounds for the steady-state probability of delay (s.s.p.d.) for generally distributed processing times. We prove that there exist $\epsilon_1,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-02 David A. Goldberg

In this article, we consider a stationary array $(X_{j,n})_{1 \leq j \leq n, n \geq 1}$ of random variables with values in $\bR \verb2\2 \{0\}$ (which satisfy some asymptotic dependence conditions), and the corresponding sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-09 Raluca Balan , Sana Louhichi

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan

Consider a stationary real-valued time series $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ with a priori unknown distribution. The goal is to estimate the conditional expectation $E(X_{n+1}|X_0,..., X_n)$ based on the observations $(X_0,..., X_n)$ in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

The first-exit time process of an inverse Gaussian L\'evy process is considered. The one-dimensional distribution functions of the process are obtained. They are not infinitely divisible and the tail probabilities decay exponentially. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 P. Vellaisamy , A. Kumar

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

This study is considered to introduce a novel distribution as an alternative to Chen distribution via the record-based transmutation method. This technique is based on the distributions of first two upper record values. Thus, we suggest a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Caner Tanış

We study the asymptotic behaviour of different statistics for time series exhibiting long memory and nonstationarity. For processes with memory parameter $d\in(-1/2,3/2)$, we derive the joint limiting distribution of discrete Fourier…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe

We study the probability distribution $P(X_N=X,N)$ of the total displacement $X_N$ of an $N$-step run and tumble particle on a line, in presence of a constant nonzero drive $E$. While the central limit theorem predicts a standard Gaussian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-01 Giacomo Gradenigo , Satya N. Majumdar

We study the generalization of the G/G/1 queue obtained by relaxing the assumption of independence between inter-arrival times and service requirements. The analysis is carried out for the class of multivariate matrix exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 E. S. Badila , O. J. Boxma , J. A. C. Resing

In this paper we consider the current status continuous mark model where, if the event takes place before an inspection time $T$ a "continuous mark" variable is observed as well. A Bayesian nonparametric method is introduced for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Geurt Jongbloed , Frank van der Meulen , Lixue Pang

The question whether a time series behaves as a random walk or as a station- ary process is an important and delicate problem, particularly arising in financial statistics, econometrics, and engineering. This paper studies the problem to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Ansgar Steland
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