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Probabilistic programming is related to a compositional approach to stochastic modeling by switching from discrete to continuous time dynamics. In continuous time, an operator-algebra semantics is available in which processes proceeding in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-05 Eric Mjolsness

Calibration of large-scale differential equation models to observational or experimental data is a widespread challenge throughout applied sciences and engineering. A crucial bottleneck in state-of-the art calibration methods is the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Jon Cockayne , Andrew B. Duncan

Consider the collection of all binary matrices having a specific sequence of row and column sums and consider sampling binary matrices uniformly from this collection. Practical algorithms for exact uniform sampling are not known, but there…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-28 Matthew T. Harrison

Designing scalable estimation algorithms is a core challenge in modern statistics. Here we introduce a framework to address this challenge based on parallel approximants, which yields estimators with provable properties that operate on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-04 Aritra Chakravorty , William S. Cleveland , Patrick J. Wolfe

We present a new approach for random sampling of contingency tables of any size and constraints based on a recently introduced $\textit{probabilistic divide-and-conquer}$ technique. A simple exact sampling algorithm is presented for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Stephen DeSalvo , James Y. Zhao

We address the problem of finding a "best" deterministic query answer to a query over a probabilistic database. For this purpose, we propose the notion of a consensus world (or a consensus answer) which is a deterministic world (answer)…

Databases · Computer Science 2008-12-12 Jian Li , Amol Deshpande

Probabilistic programming is a growing area that strives to make statistical analysis more accessible, by separating probabilistic modelling from probabilistic inference. In practice this decoupling is difficult. No single inference…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Maria I. Gorinova

Abstraction is a powerful idea widely used in science, to model, reason and explain the behavior of systems in a more tractable search space, by omitting irrelevant details. While notions of abstraction have matured for deterministic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Vaishak Belle

The following learning problem arises naturally in various applications: Given a finite sample from a categorical or count time series, can we learn a function of the sample that (nearly) maximizes the probability of correctly guessing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 J. -R. Chazottes , S. Gallo , D. Takahashi

Forecasting groups of time series is of increasing practical importance, e.g. forecasting the demand for multiple products offered by a retailer or server loads within a data center. The local approach to this problem considers each time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Pablo Montero-Manso , Rob J Hyndman

In many applications, data is collected in batches, some of which are corrupt or even adversarial. Recent work derived optimal robust algorithms for estimating discrete distributions in this setting. We consider a general framework of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-26 Ayush Jain , Alon Orlitsky

The softmax representation of probabilities for categorical variables plays a prominent role in modern machine learning with numerous applications in areas such as large scale classification, neural language modeling and recommendation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Michalis K. Titsias

We introduce a new computational framework for estimating parameters in generalized generalized linear models (GGLM), a class of models that extends the popular generalized linear models (GLM) to account for dependencies among observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski , Yao Xie , Chen Xu

When collaborating with an AI system, we need to assess when to trust its recommendations. If we mistakenly trust it in regions where it is likely to err, catastrophic failures may occur, hence the need for Bayesian approaches for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Federico Cerutti , Lance M. Kaplan , Angelika Kimmig , Murat Sensoy

We propose unifying techniques from probabilistic databases and relational embedding models with the goal of performing complex queries on incomplete and uncertain data. We formalize a probabilistic database model with respect to which all…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Tal Friedman , Guy Van den Broeck

Generalization error bounds are critical to understanding the performance of machine learning models. In this work, building upon a new bound of the expected value of an arbitrary function of the population and empirical risk of a learning…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Gholamali Aminian , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

We design a general framework for answering adaptive statistical queries that focuses on providing explicit confidence intervals along with point estimates. Prior work in this area has either focused on providing tight confidence intervals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Ryan Rogers , Aaron Roth , Adam Smith , Nathan Srebro , Om Thakkar , Blake Woodworth

Probabilistic generative neural networks are useful for many applications, such as image classification, speech recognition and occlusion removal. However, the power budget for hardware implementations of neural networks can be extremely…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-05-09 Xiaojing Xu , Srinjoy Das , Ken Kreutz-Delgado

In probabilistic approaches to classification and information extraction, one typically builds a statistical model of words under the assumption that future data will exhibit the same regularities as the training data. In many data sets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 David Blei , J Andrew Bagnell , Andrew McCallum

Probabilistic databases (PDBs) model uncertainty in data. The current standard is to view PDBs as finite probability spaces over relational database instances. Since many attributes in typical databases have infinite domains, such as…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Martin Grohe , Peter Lindner