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Gaussian Processes (GPs) are expressive models for capturing signal statistics and expressing prediction uncertainty. As a result, the robotics community has gathered interest in leveraging these methods for inference, planning, and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Francesco Crocetti , Jeffrey Mao , Alessandro Saviolo , Gabriele Costante , Giuseppe Loianno

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

The Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) daily position time series are often described as the sum of stochastic processes and geophysical signals which allow studying global and local geodynamical effects such as plate tectonics,…

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a powerful non-parametric framework for reasoning over functions. Despite appealing theory, its superlinear computational and memory complexities have presented a long-standing challenge. State-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Hugh Salimbeni , Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots , Marc Deisenroth

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a class of kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience applications. They are widely used because they are simple, flexible and provide very accurate estimates for nonlinear problems,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Juan Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Modeling sequential data has become more and more important in practice. Some applications are autonomous driving, virtual sensors and weather forecasting. To model such systems so called recurrent models are used. In this article we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-21 Roman Föll , Bernard Haasdonk , Markus Hanselmann , Holger Ulmer

Modeling heterogeneous correlated time series requires the ability to learn hidden dynamic relationships between component time series with possibly varying periodicities and generative processes. To address this challenge, we formulate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Jeshwanth Mohan , Bharath Ramsundar , Sandya Subramanian

This paper examines the joint problem of detection and identification of a sudden and unobservable change in the probability distribution function (pdf) of a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-04-16 Savas Dayanik , Christian Goulding , H. Vincent Poor

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

To plan safe trajectories in urban environments, autonomous vehicles must be able to quickly assess the future intentions of dynamic agents. Pedestrians are particularly challenging to model, as their motion patterns are often uncertain…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-05-23 Sarah Ferguson , Brandon Luders , Robert C. Grande , Jonathan P. How

Many modern applications require detecting change points in complex sequential data. Most existing methods for change point detection are unsupervised and, as a consequence, lack any information regarding what kind of changes we want to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Nauman Ahad , Eva L. Dyer , Keith B. Hengen , Yao Xie , Mark A. Davenport

This paper introduces a concept for change-point detection based on normalized entropy as a fundamental metric, aiming to overcome the dependence of traditional entropy methods on assumptions about data distribution and absolute scales.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-18 Qingqing Song , Shaoliang Xia

Model uncertainty and limited data are fundamental challenges to robust management of human intervention in a natural system. These challenges are acutely highlighted by concerns that many ecological systems may contain tipping points, such…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-30 Carl Boettiger , Marc Mangel , Stephan Munch

This paper tackles the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a heteroscedastic signal by model selection, without knowledge on the variations of the noise. A new family of change-point detection procedures is proposed, showing…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-01 Sylvain Arlot , Alain Celisse

The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-20 Song Liu , Makoto Yamada , Nigel Collier , Masashi Sugiyama

Detecting relevant changes in dynamic time series data in a timely manner is crucially important for many data analysis tasks in real-world settings. Change point detection methods have the ability to discover changes in an unsupervised…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Kamil Faber , Roberto Corizzo , Bartlomiej Sniezynski , Michael Baron , Nathalie Japkowicz

We develop a mixture procedure for multi-sensor systems to monitor data streams for a change-point that causes a gradual degradation to a subset of the streams. Observations are assumed to be initially normal random variables with known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-19 Yang Cao , Yao Xie , Nagi Gebraeel

The aim of online change-point detection is for a accurate, timely discovery of structural breaks. As data dimension outgrows the number of data in observation, online detection becomes challenging. Existing methods typically test only the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-17 Yang-Wen Sun , Katerina Papagiannouli , Vladimir Spokoiny

In high-dimensional time series, the component processes are often assembled into a matrix to display their interrelationship. We focus on detecting mean shifts with unknown change point locations in these matrix time series. Series that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Xinyu Zhang , Kung-Sik Chan

Autonomous Land Vehicles (ALV) shall efficiently recognize the ground in unknown environments. A novel $\mathcal{GP}$-based method is proposed for the ground segmentation task in rough driving scenarios. A non-stationary covariance function…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Pouria Mehrabi , Hamid D. Taghirad
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