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A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-23 Michael Messer

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

This manuscript makes two contributions to the field of change-point detection. In a generalchange-point setting, we provide a generic algorithm for aggregating local homogeneity testsinto an estimator of change-points in a time series.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-09 Emmanuel Pilliat , Alexandra Carpentier , Nicolas Verzelen

Data segmentation a.k.a. multiple change point analysis has received considerable attention due to its importance in time series analysis and signal processing, with applications in a variety of fields including natural and social sciences,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Haeran Cho , Claudia Kirch

Learning the dynamics of complex systems features a large number of applications in data science. Graph-based modeling and inference underpins the most prominent family of approaches to learn complex dynamics due to their ability to capture…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-06 Luis M. Lopez-Ramos , Daniel Romero , Bakht Zaman , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

We employ Gaussian process (GP) regression to adjust for systematic errors in D3-type dispersion corrections introducing the associated, statistically improved model D3-GP. We generated a data set containing interaction energies for 1,248…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-12-03 Jonny Proppe , Stefan Gugler , Markus Reiher

We propose a new, computationally efficient, sparsity adaptive changepoint estimator for detecting changes in unknown subsets of a high-dimensional data sequence. Assuming the data sequence is Gaussian, we prove that the new method…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Per August Jarval Moen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Tveten

We study the problem of detecting a change in the mean of one-dimensional Gaussian process data. This problem is investigated in the setting of increasing domain (customarily employed in time series analysis) and in the setting of fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Hossein Keshavarz , Clayton Scott , XuanLong Nguyen

We introduce a novel Bayesian method that can detect multiple structural breaks in the mean and variance of a length $T$ time-series. Our method quantifies uncertainty by returning $\alpha$-level credible sets around the estimated locations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Davis Berlind , Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

We consider the problem of detecting a change in mean in a sequence of Gaussian vectors. Under the alternative hypothesis, the change occurs only in some subset of the components of the vector. We propose a test of the presence of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-28 Farida Enikeeva , Zaid Harchaoui

Body-worn video (BWV) cameras are increasingly utilized by police departments to provide a record of police-public interactions. However, large-scale BWV deployment produces terabytes of data per week, necessitating the development of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-10-21 Stephanie Allen , David Madras , Ye Ye , Greg Zanotti

Wireless Sensor Networks forms the backbone of modern cyber physical systems used in various applications such as environmental monitoring, healthcare monitoring, industrial automation, and smart infrastructure. Ensuring the reliability of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Rahul Mishra , Sudhanshu Kumar Jha , Omar Faruq Osama , Bishnu Bhusal , Sneha Sudhakaran , Naresh Kshetri

Radar must adapt to changing environments, and we propose changepoint detection as a method to do so. In the world of increasingly congested radio frequencies, radars must adapt to avoid interference. Many radar systems employ the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-15 Samuel Haug , Austin Egbert , Robert J. Marks , Charles Baylis , Anthony Martone

We develop a novel, general and computationally efficient framework, called Divide and Conquer Dynamic Programming (DCDP), for localizing change points in time series data with high-dimensional features. DCDP deploys a class of greedy…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-05 Wanshan Li , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

Multiple change point (MCP) detection in non-stationary time series is challenging due to the variety of underlying patterns. To address these challenges, we propose a novel algorithm that integrates Active Learning (AL) with Deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Hao Zhao , Rong Pan

In many change point problems it is reasonable to assume that compared to a benchmark at a given time point $t_0$ the properties of the observed stochastic process change gradually over time for $t >t_0$. Often, these gradual changes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette

We develop a variational Bayesian (VB) approach for estimating large-scale dynamic network models in the network autoregression framework. The VB approach allows for the automatic identification of the dynamic structure of such a model and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-19 Wei-Ting Lai , Ray-Bing Chen , Ying Chen , Thorsten Koch

The purpose of this study is to provide a new methodology of how one can consistently estimate a change-point in time series data. In contrast with previous studies, the suggested methodology employs only the empirical spectral density and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-22 Gyorgy H. Terdik , Stergios B. Fotopoulos , Venkata K. Jandhyala