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We consider the boundary crossing problem for time-homogeneous diffusions and general curvilinear boundaries. Bounds are derived for the approximation error of the one-sided (upper) boundary crossing probability when replacing the original…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-28 A. N. Downes , K. Borovkov

We consider a bivariate diffusion process and we study the first passage time of one component through a boundary. We prove that its probability density is the unique solution of a new integral equation and we propose a numerical algorithm…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Elisa Benedetto , Laura Sacerdote , Cristina Zucca

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of diffusion in the harmonic potential is re-examined in the context of the first-passage time problem. We investigate this problem to the extent that it has not yet been fully resolved and demonstrate exact…

General Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Przemyslaw Chelminiak

The Inverse First Passage time problem seeks to determine the boundary corresponding to a given stochastic process and a fixed first passage time distribution. Here, we determine the numerical solution of this problem in the case of a two…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Alessia Civallero , Cristina Zucca

In this paper, we establish a relationship between the asymptotic form of conditional boundary crossing probabilities and first passage time densities for diffusion processes. Namely, we show that, under broad assumptions, the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-18 Konstantin A. Borovkov , Andrew N. Downes

We propose an approach to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general one-dimensional diffusion processes, and derive the convergence rate for this approximation scheme. There results are based on the explicit expression of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

Given a two-dimensional correlated diffusion process, we determine the joint density of the first passage times of the process to some constant boundaries. This quantity depends on the joint density of the first passage time of the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Laura Sacerdote , Massimiliano Tamborrino , Cristina Zucca

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

The first passage time density of a diffusion process to a time varying threshold is of primary interest in different fields. Here we consider a Brownian motion in presence of an exponentially decaying threshold to model the neuronal…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-18 Massimiliano Tamborrino

Piecewise Diffusion Markov Processes (PDifMPs) are valuable for modelling systems where continuous dynamics are interrupted by sudden shifts and/or changes in drift and diffusion. The first-passage time (FPT) in such models plays a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Sascha Desmettre , Devika Khurana , Amira Meddah

In this article we study certain ultradiffusion equations connected with energy landscapes of exponential type. These equations are connected with the p-adic models of complex systems introduced by Avetisov et al. We show that the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-02-13 Anselmo Torresblanca-Badillo , W. A. Zúñiga-Galindo

The first-passage problem of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to a boundary is a long-standing problem with no known closed-form solution except in specific cases. Taking this as a starting-point, and extending to a general mean-reverting…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-02-27 R. J. Martin , M. J. Kearney , R. V. Craster

We propose a unifying theoretical framework for the analysis of first-passage time distributions in two important classes of stochastic processes in which the diffusivity of a particle evolves randomly in time. In the first class of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-05 D. S. Grebenkov

Evaluating the completion time of a random algorithm or a running stochastic process is a valuable tip not only from a purely theoretical, but also pragmatic point of view. In the formal sense, this kind of a task is specified in terms of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-24 Przemyslaw Chelminiak

In this article, we obtain properties of the law associated to the first hitting time of a threshold by a one-dimensional uniformly elliptic diffusion process and to the associated process stopped at the threshold. Our methodology relies on…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-30 Noufel Frikha , Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Libo Li

In one-dimensional systems, the dynamics of a Brownian particle are governed by the force derived from a potential as well as by diffusion properties. In this work, we obtain the first-passage-time statistics of a Brownian particle driven…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-25 Eugenio Urdapilleta

We consider the problem of computing first-passage time distributions for reaction processes modelled by master equations. We show that this generally intractable class of problems is equivalent to a sequential Bayesian inference problem…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-11-29 David Schnoerr , Botond Cseke , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

This paper concerns the first passage times of Bessel processes to a point on the positive real line. We are interested in the case when the process starts at a position on its right and compute the densities of the distributions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-17 Kohei Uchiyama

We are interested in the law of the first passage time of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to time-varying thresholds. We show that this problem is connected to the laws of the first passage time of the process to members of a two-parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Aria Ahari , Larbi Alili , Massimiliano Tamborrino

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello
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