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We propose a general method to obtain approximation of the first passage time distribution for the birth-death processes. We rely on the general properties of birth-death processes, Keilson's theorem and the concept of Riemann sum to obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

The study of first passage times for diffusing particles reaching target states is foundational in various practical applications, including diffusion-controlled reactions. In this work, we present a bi-scaling theory for the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-21 Talia Baravi , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

This paper stidies the first passage times to constant boundaries for mixed-exponential jump diffusion processes. Explicit solutions of the Laplace transforms of the distribution of the first passage times, the joint distribution of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Chuancun Yin , Yuzhen Wen , Zhaojun Zong , Ying Shen

In this paper we analyze a L\'evy process reflected at a general (possibly random) barrier. For this process we prove Central Limit Theorem for the first passage time. We also give the finite-time first passage probability asymptotics.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-08 Zbigniew Palmowski , Przemysław Świątek

Under some weak conditions, the first-passage time of the Brownian motion to a continuous curved boundary is an almost surely finite stopping time. Its probability density function (pdf) is explicitly known only in few particular cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Samuel Herrmann , Etienne Tanré

We determine the survival probability and first-passage time (FPT) to capture for a harmonically trapped particle, diffusing outside an absorbing spherical boundary by directly solving the differential equation for the survival probability.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-06-18 Tianyu Yuan , Ivan Surovtsev , Megan C. King , Simon G. J. Mochrie

We consider the problem of simulating diffusion bridges, which are diffusion processes that are conditioned to initialize and terminate at two given states. The simulation of diffusion bridges has applications in diverse scientific fields…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-19 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet , James Thornton

First passage phenomena arise across physics, biology, and finance when stochastic processes first reach a threshold, triggering downstream events. Examples include the irreversible exit from a domain, a biochemical reaction, a financial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-06 Maria R. D'Orsogna , Alan E. Lindsay , Thomas Hillen

Numerous applications all the way from biology and physics to economics depend on the density of first crossings over a boundary. Motivated by the lack of analytical tools for computing first-passage time densities (FPTDs) for complex…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-18 Markus Nyberg , Tobias Ambjörnsson , Ludvig Lizana

For a stochastic process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ we establish conditions under which the inverse first-passage time problem has a solution for any random variable $\xi >0$. For Markov processes we give additional conditions under which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-19 Alexander Klump , Mladen Savov

We explore first-passage phenomenology for biased active processes with a renewal-type structure, focusing in particular on paradigmatic run-and-tumble models in both discrete and continuous state spaces. In general, we show there is no…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-09 Yonathan Sarmiento , Benjamin Walter , Debraj Das , Samvit Mahapatra , Édgar Roldán , Rosemary J. Harris

We address the problem of minimizing the expected first-passage time of a Brownian motion with Poissonian resetting, with respect to the resetting rate $r.$ We consider both the one-boundary and the two-boundary cases.We investigate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Mario Abundo

Since diffusion processes arise in so many different fields, efficient tech-nics for the simulation of sample paths, like discretization schemes, represent crucial tools in applied probability. Such methods permit to obtain approximations…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-22 Samuel Herrmann , Cristina Zucca

Recently a general growth curve including the well known growth equations, such as Malthus, logistic, Bertallanfy, Gompertz, has been studied. We now propose two stochastic formulations of this growth equation. They are obtained starting…

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi

These notes are based on the lectures that I gave (virtually) at the Bruneck Summer School in 2021 on first-passage processes and some applications of the basic theory. I begin by defining what is a first-passage process and presenting the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-14 S. Redner

New theorems for the moments of the first passage time of one dimensional nonlinear stochastic processes with an entrance boundary are formulated. This important class of one dimensional stochastic processes results among others from…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Leo Dostal , Navaratnam Sri Namachchivaya

We present a detailed study on the mean first-passage time of volatility processes. We analyze the theoretical expressions based on the most common stochastic volatility models along with empirical results extracted from daily data of major…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

The inverse first-passage time problem determines a boundary such that the first-passage time of a Wiener process to this boundary has a given distribution. An approximation which is based on the starting value of the boundary to a smooth…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Yoann Potiron

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger