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We address numerical differentiation under coarse, non-uniform sampling and Gaussian noise. A maximum-likelihood estimator with $L_2$-norm constraint on a higher-order derivative is obtained, yielding spline-based solution. We introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-31 Konstantin E. Avrachenkov , Leonid B. Freidovich

We study the large deviation estimates for the short time asymptotic behavior of a strongly degenerate diffusion process. Assuming a nilpotent structure of the Lie algebra generated by the driving vector fields, we obtain a graded large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Gérard Ben Arous , Jing Wang

Large deviation principles are established for the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution and two-parameter Dirichlet process when parameter $\theta$ approaches infinity. The motivation for these results is to understand the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Shui Feng

Nonlinear response occurs naturally when a strong perturbation takes a system far from equilibrium. Despite of its omnipresence in nanoscale systems, it is difficult to predict in a general and efficient way. Here we introduce a way to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-24 Chloe Ya Gao , David T. Limmer

Max-stable random fields play a central role in modeling extreme value phenomena. We obtain an explicit formula for the conditional probability in general max-linear models, which include a large class of max-stable random fields. As a…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-29 Yizao Wang , Stilian A. Stoev

We derive tail asymptotics for the running maximum of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. The main result is proved by the saddle point method, where the tail estimate uses a new monotonicity property of the Kummer function. This auxiliary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-23 Stefan Gerhold , Friedrich Hubalek , Richard B. Paris

Point pattern data often exhibit features such as abrupt changes, hotspots and spatially varying dependence in local intensity. Under a Poisson process framework, these correspond to discontinuities and nonstationarity in the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Izabel Nolau , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

We propose a method for approximating the large deviation rate function of time-integrated observables of diffusion processes, used in statistical physics to characterize the fluctuations of nonequilibrium systems. The method is based on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-15 Pelerine Tsobgni Nyawo , Hugo Touchette

This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Peida Tian , Victoria Kostina

A general method is proposed which allows one to estimate drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic process governed by a Langevin equation. It extends a previously devised approach [R. Friedrich et al., Physics Letters A 271, 217…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich , A. Nawroth , J. Peinke

This paper is devoted to parameter estimation of the mixed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with a drift. Large sample asymptotical properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator is deduced using the Laplace transform computations or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Chunhao Cai , Min Zhang

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

We prove a large deviations principle for the solution to the beating NLS equation on the torus with random initial data supported on two Fourier modes. When these modes have different initial variance, we prove that the resonant energy…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Ricardo Grande

The distributions of work for strongly non-equilibrium processes are studied using a very general form of a large-deviation approach, which allows one to study distributions of almost arbitrary quantities of interest for equilibrium,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-07 Alexander K. Hartmann

We establish the large deviation principle for solutions of one-dimensional SDEs with discontinuous coefficients. The main statement is formulated in a form similar to the classical Wentzel--Freidlin theorem, but under the considerably…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Alexei Kulik , Daryna Sobolieva

This study focuses on large deviation principles for fully coupled multiscale multivalued stochastic systems, in which the slow component is governed by a multivalued stochastic differential equation and the fast component is described by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Huijie Qiao

We study small noise large deviation asymptotics for stochastic differential equations with a multiplicative noise given as a fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with Hurst parameter $H>\frac12$. The solutions of the stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Amarjit Budhiraja , Xiaoming Song

We present a large deviation principle at speed N for the largest eigenvalue of some additively deformed Wigner matrices. In particular this includes Gaussian ensembles with full-rank general deformation. For the non-Gaussian ensembles, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Benjamin McKenna

We investigate continuum percolation for Cox point processes, that is, Poisson point processes driven by random intensity measures. First, we derive sufficient conditions for the existence of non-trivial sub- and super-critical percolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Christian Hirsch , Benedikt Jahnel , Elie Cali

In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process whose drift coefficient depends on unknown parameters. Considering the process discretely observed at high frequency, we prove the local asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Ngoc Khue Tran