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Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

The drift sequential parameter estimation problems for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes under the limited duration of observation are studied. Truncated sequential estimation methods for both scalar and {two}-dimensional parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Thi-Bao Trâm Ngô , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

For a fixed $T$ and $k \geq 2$, a $k$-dimensional vector stochastic differential equation $dX_t=\mu(X_t, \theta)dt+\nu(X_t)dW_t,$ is studied over a time interval $[0,T]$. Vector of drift parameters $\theta$ is unknown. The dependence in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Miljenko Huzak , Snježana Lubura Strunjak , Andreja Vlahek Štrok

In this article we consider an extension of the classical Curie-Weiss model in which the global and deterministic external magnetic field is replaced by local and random external fields which interact with each spin of the system. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Matthias Löwe , Raphael Meiners , Felipe Torres

We provide sharp Large Deviation estimates for the probability of exit from a domain for the bridge of a $d$-dimensional general diffusion process $X$, as the conditioning time tends to $0$. This kind of results is motivated by applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-23 Paolo Baldi , Lucia Caramellino , Maurizia Rossi

In this paper, we consider stochastic optimal control of systems driven by stochastic differential equations with irregular drift coefficient. We establish a necessary and sufficient stochastic maximum principle. To achieve this, we first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-18 Olivier Menoukeu-Pamen , Ludovic Tangpi

In this paper, we expand and generalize the findings presented in our previous work on the law of large numbers and the large deviation principle for Poisson processes with uniform catastrophes. We study three distinct scalings: sublinear…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

In this paper, we establish sample path large and moderate deviation principles for log-price processes in Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and study the asymptotic behavior of exit probabilities, call pricing functions, and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Archil Gulisashvili

Let $\sigma(u)$, $u\in \mathbb{R}$ be an ergodic stationary Markov chain, taking a finite number of values $a_1,...,a_m$, and $b(u)=g(\sigma(u))$, where $g$ is a bounded and measurable function. We consider the diffusion type process $$…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-24 P. Chigansky , R. Liptser

We study the problem of exponential mixing and large deviations for discrete-time Markov processes associated with a class of random dynamical systems. Under some dissipativity and regularisation hypotheses for the underlying deterministic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Vojkan Jaksic , Vahagn Nersesyan , Claude-Alain Pillet , Armen Shirikyan

This paper is concerned with the large deviation principle of the stochastic reaction-diffusion lattice systems defined on the N-dimensional integer set, where the nonlinear drift term is locally Lipschitz continuous with polynomial growth…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-12 Bixiang Wang

We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We present a simple Coulomb gas method to calculate analytically the probability of rare events where the maximum eigenvalue of a random matrix is much larger than its typical value. The large deviation function that characterizes this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-27 Satya N. Majumdar , Massimo Vergassola

We study strong (pathwise) approximation of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross processes. We propose a Milstein-type scheme that is suitably truncated close to zero, where the diffusion coefficient fails to be locally Lipschitz continuous. For this scheme…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Mario Hefter , André Herzwurm

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a powerful framework for training robust models against data distribution shifts. This paper focuses on constrained DRO, which has an explicit characterization of the robustness level. Existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Qi Zhang , Yi Zhou , Ashley Prater-Bennette , Lixin Shen , Shaofeng Zou

Using the hyper-exponential recurrence criterion, a large deviation principle for the occupation measure is derived for a class of non-linear monotone stochastic partial differential equations. The main results are applied to many concrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Ran Wang , Jie Xiong , Lihu Xu

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic processes driven by additive small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index 0<H<1/2 and 1/2<H<1. Under some assumptions on the drift coefficient, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Shohei Nakajima , Yasutaka Shimizu

We propose a contrast-based estimation method for Gaussian processes with time-inhomogeneous drifts, observed under high-frequency sampling. The process is modeled as the sum of a deterministic drift function and a stationary Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Yasutaka Shimizu

We consider a Cox process with Poisson shot noise intensity which has been widely applied in insurance, finance, queue theory, statistic, and many other fields. Cox process is flexible because its intensity depends on not only the time but…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-03 Zailei Cheng , Youngsoo Seol