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In this paper, we investigate trading strategies based on exponential moving averages (ExpMAs) of an underlying risky asset. We study both logarithmic utility maximization and long-term growth rate maximization problems and find closed-form…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-25 Matthew Lorig , Zhou Zhou , Bin Zou

Motivated by applications to mathematical biology, we study the averaging problem for slow-fast systems, {\em in the case in which the fast dynamics is a stochastic process with multiple invariant measures}. We consider both the case in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-17 B. D. Goddard , M. Ottobre , K. J. Painter , I. Souttar

We revisit the dividend payment problem in the dual model of Avanzi et al. ([2], [1], and [3]). Using the fluctuation theory of spectrally positive L\'{e}vy processes, we give a short exposition in which we show the optimality of barrier…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Erhan Bayraktar , Andreas Kyprianou , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

Bayesian inference for Markov processes has become increasingly relevant in recent years. Problems of this type often have intractable likelihoods and prior knowledge about model rate parameters is often poor. Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-23 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

We consider a large family of discrete and continuous time controlled Markov processes and study an ergodic risk-sensitive minimization problem. Under a blanket stability assumption, we provide a complete analysis to this problem. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Anup Biswas , Somnath Pradhan

We study the stochastic control problem of maximizing expected utility from terminal wealth under a non-bankruptcy constraint. The wealth process is subject to shocks produced by a general marked point process. The problem of the agent is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-08-31 Mohamed Mnif

We consider Markov decision processes where the state of the chain is only given at chosen observation times and of a cost. Optimal strategies involve the optimisation of observation times as well as the subsequent action values. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Christoph Reisinger , Jonathan Tam

We propose a model for an insurance loss index and the claims process of a single insurance company holding a fraction of the total number of contracts that captures both ordinary losses and losses due to catastrophes. In this model we…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-17 Andreas Eichler , Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi

In this paper, we consider a continuous-time Markov decision process (CTMDP) in Borel spaces, where the certainty equivalent with respect to the exponential utility of the total undiscounted cost is to be minimized. The cost rate is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Yi Zhang

The extremes of a univariate Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution and asymptotically linear behavior are known to exhibit a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. In this paper, we extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) can be used to model complex dynamical industrial systems. The counterpart of this modeling capability is their simulation cost, which makes reliability assessment untractable with standard…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-08 Guillaume Chennetier , Hassane Chraibi , Anne Dutfoy , Josselin Garnier

We study the optimization of the expected long-term reward in finite partially observable Markov decision processes over the set of stationary stochastic policies. In the case of deterministic observations, also known as state aggregation,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-18 Mareike Dressler , Marina Garrote-López , Guido Montúfar , Johannes Müller , Kemal Rose

In this note we consider the maximization of the expected terminal wealth for the setup of quadratic transaction costs. First, we provide a very simple probabilistic solution to the problem. Although the problem was largely studied, as far…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-06 Yan Dolinsky , Doron Greenstein

We propose solution methods for previously-unsolved constrained MDPs in which actions can continuously modify the transition probabilities within some acceptable sets. While many methods have been proposed to solve regular MDPs with large…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Marek Petrik , Dharmashankar Subramanian , Janusz Marecki

We introduce a class of models for multidimensional control problems which we call skip-free Markov decision processes on trees. We describe and analyse an algorithm applicable to Markov decision processes of this type that are skip-free in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-11 E. J. Collins

We consider additive functionals of stationary Markov processes and show that under Kipnis-Varadhan type conditions they converge in rough path topology to a Stratonovich Brownian motion, with a correction to the Levy area that can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Tal Orenshtein , Nicolas Perkowski

We derive various exact results for Markovian systems that spontaneously relax to a non-equilibrium steady-state by using joint probability distributions symmetries of different entropy production decompositions. The analytical approach is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-02-10 Reinaldo García-García , Vivien Lecomte , A. B. Kolton , D. Domínguez

We consider the Merton problem of optimizing expected power utility of terminal wealth in the case of an unobservable Markov-modulated drift. What makes the model special is that the agent is allowed to purchase costly expert opinions of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-19 Christoph Knochenhauer , Alexander Merkel , Yufei Zhang

This paper studies the optimal dividend problem with capital injection under the constraint that the cumulative dividend strategy is absolutely continuous. We consider an open problem of the general spectrally negative case and derive the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-12 José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki , Xiang Yu

In this paper we propose a new way of proving the value of a firm that is currently producing a certain product and faces the option to exit the market. The problem of optimal exiting is an optimal stopping problem, that can be solved using…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-23 Manuel Guerra , Cláudia Nunes , Carlos Oliveira