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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are widely used to sample from complicated distributions, especially to sample from the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. However, MCMC is not directly applicable when facing the doubly…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-29 Guanyang Wang

We study the general approach to accelerating the convergence of the most widely used solution method of Markov decision processes with the total expected discounted reward. Inspired by the monotone behavior of the contraction mappings in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-03-28 Oleksandr Shlakhter , Chi-Guhn Lee , Dmitry Khmelev , Nasser Jaber

This paper studies pricing derivatives in an age-dependent semi-Markov modulated market. We consider a financial market where the asset price dynamics follow a regime switching geometric Brownian motion model in which the coefficients…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami , Tanmay S. Patankar

Markov-modulated Brownian motion is a popular tool to model continuous-time phenomena in a stochastic context. The main quantity of interest is the invariant density, which satisfies a differential equation associated with the quadratic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-06 Giang T. Nguyen , Federico Poloni

We introduce the hybrid risk process, constructed via a time-change transformation applied to the solution of a hybrid stochastic differential equation. The framework covers several modern ruin settings, incorporating features like…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Oscar Peralta , Habacuq Vallejo

The classical literature on optimal liquidation, rooted in Almgren-Chriss models, tackles the optimal liquidation problem using a trade-off between market impact and price risk. Therefore, it only answers the general question of the optimal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-18 Olivier Guéant , Charles-Albert Lehalle

For a positive self-similar Markov process, X, we construct a local time for the random set, $\Theta$, of times where the process reaches its past supremum. Using this local time we describe an exit system for the excursions of X out of its…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-10 Loïc Chaumont , Andreas Kyprianou , Juan Carlos Pardo , Víctor Rivero

In this research, we develop a trading strategy for the discrete-time optimal liquidation problem of large order trading with different market microstructures in an illiquid market. In this framework, the flow of orders can be viewed as a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-29 A. Sadoghi , J. Vecer

This paper studies birth and death processes in interactive random environments where the birth and death rates and the dynamics of the state of the environment are dependent on each other. Two models of a random environment are considered:…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Guodong Pang , Andrey Sarantsev , Yuri Suhov

We show how Markov mixed membership models (MMMM) can be used to predict the degradation of assets. We model the degradation path of individual assets, to predict overall failure rates. Instead of a separate distribution for each hidden…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Paul Hofmann , Zaid Tashman

In this paper we explore an identity in distribution of hitting times of a finite variation process (Yor's process) and a diffusion process (geometric Brownian motion with affine drift), which arise from various applications in financial…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-29 Runhuan Feng , Hans W. Volkmer

We consider a finite number of $N$ statistically equal agents, each moving on a finite set of states according to a continuous-time Markov Decision Process (MDP). Transition intensities of the agents and generated rewards depend not only on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Nicole Bäuerle , Sebastian Höfer

We study the minimization of a spectral risk measure of the total discounted cost generated by a Markov Decision Process (MDP) over a finite or infinite planning horizon. The MDP is assumed to have Borel state and action spaces and the cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Nicole Bäuerle , Alexander Glauner

We investigate the portfolio execution problem under a framework in which volatility and liquidity are both uncertain. In our model, we assume that a multidimensional Markovian stochastic factor drives both of them. Moreover, we model…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-08 Max O. Souza , Yuri Thamsten

The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-04 Nikita Ratanov

We provide probabilistic and computational results on Markovian multivariate Hawkes processes and induced population processes. By applying the Markov property, we characterize in closed form a joint transform, bijective to the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 R. S. Karim , R. J. A. Laeven , M , M. Mandjes

We consider product of expansive Markov maps on an interval with hole which is conjugate to a subshift of finite type. For certain class of maps, it is known that the escape rate into a given hole does not just depend on its size but also…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-07 C Haritha , N Agarwal

In this paper we consider impulse control of continuous time Markov processes with average cost per unit time functional. This problem is approximated using impulse control problems stopped at the first exit time from increasing sequence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Lukasz Stettner

Markov jump processes are widely used to model natural and engineered processes. In the context of biological or chemical applications one typically refers to the chemical master equation (CME), which models the evolution of the probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-05 Wei Zhang , Carsten Hartmann , Max von Kleist

This paper studies the long-term behaviour of a continuous time Markov chain formed by two non-negative integer valued components that evolve subject to a competitive interaction. In the absence of interaction the Markov chain is just a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Vadim Shcherbakov , Stanislav Volkov