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The paper studies a class of critical Markov branching processes with infinite variance of the offspring distribution. The processes admit also an immigration component at the jump-points of a non-homogeneous Poisson process, assuming that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Kosto V. Mitov , Nikolay M. Yanev

Our aim is to unify and extend the large deviation upper and lower bounds for the occupation times of a Markov process with $L_2$ semigroups under minimal conditions on the state space and the process trajectories; for example, no strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-24 Naresh Jain , Nicolai Krylov

Random population dynamics with catastrophes (events pertaining to possible elimination of a large portion of the population) has a long history in the mathematical literature. In this paper we study an ergodic model for random population…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Iddo Ben-Ari , Alexander Roitershtein , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We consider a continuous time Markov chain on a countable state space and prove a joint large deviation principle for the empirical measure and the empirical flow, which accounts for the total number of jumps between pairs of states. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Lorenzo Bertini , Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli

We consider the Markovian supermarket model with growing choices, where jobs arrive at rate $n\lambda_n$ and each of $n$ parallel servers processes jobs in its queue at rate $1$. Each incoming job joins the shortest among $d_n \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Amarjit Budhiraja , Ruoyu Wu

Markovian growth-fragmentation processes describe a family of particles which can grow larger or smaller with time, and occasionally split in a conservative manner. They were introduced in a work of Bertoin, where special attention was…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Jean Bertoin , Robin Stephenson

We consider a change detection problem in which the arrival rate of a Poisson process changes suddenly at some unknown and unobservable disorder time. It is assumed that the prior distribution of the disorder time is known. The objective is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Semih Sezer

This paper studies an infinite-server queue in a random environment, meaning that the arrival rate, the service requirements and the server work rate are modulated by a general c\`{a}dl\`{a}g stochastic background process. To prove a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 H. M. Jansen , M. R. H. Mandjes , K. De Turck , S. Wittevrongel

A central problem in population ecology is understanding the consequences of stochastic fluctuations. Analytically tractable models with Gaussian driving noise have led to important, general insights, but they fail to capture rare,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-08 Brandon H. Schlomann

We prove a large deviation principle on path space for a class of discrete time Markov processes whose state space is the intersection of a regular domain $\L\subset \R^d$ with some lattice of spacing $\e$. Transitions from $x$ to $y$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anton Bovier , Veronique Gayrard

A compound Poisson process whose randomized time is an independent Poisson process is called compound Poisson process with Poisson subordinator. We provide its probability distribution, which is expressed in terms of the Bell polynomials,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Shelemyahu Zacks

Let W be the number of points in (0,t] of a stationary finite-state Markov renewal point process. We derive a bound for the total variation distance between the distribution of W and a compound Poisson distribution. For any nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Torkel Erhardsson

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

A large deviation principle is established for a two-scale stochastic system in which the slow component is a continuous process given by a small noise finite dimensional It\^{o} stochastic differential equation, and the fast component is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Arnab Ganguly

We define a Markov process on the partitions of $[n]=\{1,\ldots,n\}$ by drawing a sample in $[n]$ at each time of a Poisson process, by merging blocks that contain one of these points and by leaving all other blocks unchanged. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Sophie Lemaire

In this paper, we establish sample path large and moderate deviation principles for log-price processes in Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and study the asymptotic behavior of exit probabilities, call pricing functions, and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Archil Gulisashvili

Our principal aim is to observe the Markov discrete-time process of population growth with long-living trajectory. First we study asymptotical decay of generating function of Galton-Watson process for all cases as the Basic Lemma.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Azam A. Imomov

This paper investigates the random horizon optimal stopping problem for measure-valued piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs). This is motivated by population dynamics applications, when one wants to monitor some characteristics…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-14 Bertrand Cloez , Benoîte de Saporta , Maud Joubaud

In this paper we study several aspects of the growth of a supercritical Galton-Watson process {Z_n:n\ge1}, and bring out some criticality phenomena determined by the Schroder constant. We develop the local limit theory of Z_n, that is, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter E. Ney , Anand N. Vidyashankar

Here we propose the Donsker-Varadhan-type compactness conditions and prove the joint large deviation principle for the empirical measure and empirical flow of Markov renewal processes (semi-Markov processes) with a countable state space,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-27 Chen Jia , Da-quan Jiang , Bingjie Wu
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