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For fixed $r\geq 2$, we consider bootstrap percolation with threshold $r$ on the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph ${\cal G}_{n,p}$. We identify a threshold for $p$ above which there is with high probability a set of size $r$ which can infect the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Omer Angel , Brett Kolesnik

We establish the sharpness of the percolation phase transition for a class of infinite-range weighted random connection models. The vertex set is given by a marked Poisson point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with intensity $\lambda>0$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-29 Alejandro Caicedo , Leonid Kolesnikov

The contact model for the spread of disease may be viewed as a directed percolation model on $\ZZ \times \RR$ in which the continuum axis is oriented in the direction of increasing time. Techniques from percolation have enabled a fairly…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Geoffrey Grimmett

This paper is concerned with a natural variant of the contact process modeling the spread of knowledge on the integer lattice. Each site is characterized by its knowledge, measured by a real number ranging from 0 = ignorant to 1 =…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer , Hyunsik Yun

We comment on old and new results related to the destruction of a random recursive tree (RRT), in which its edges are cut one after the other in a uniform random order. In particular, we study the number of steps needed to isolate or…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Erich Baur , Jean Bertoin

We study a contact process running in a random environment in $\mathbb {Z}^d$ where sites flip, independently of each other, between blocking and nonblocking states, and the contact process is restricted to live in the space given by…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-10 Daniel Remenik

We study atypical behavior in bootstrap percolation on the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph. Initially a set $S$ is infected. Other vertices are infected once at least $r$ of their neighbors become infected. Janson et al. (2012) locates the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Omer Angel , Brett Kolesnik

In $r$-neighbor bootstrap percolation on the vertex set of a graph $G$, a set $A$ of initially infected vertices spreads by infecting, at each time step, all uninfected vertices with at least $r$ previously infected neighbors. When the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-10-09 Andrew J. Uzzell

The asymptotic behavior, as $n\rightarrow \infty $ of the probability of the event that a decomposable critical branching process $\mathbf{Z}(m)=(Z_{1}(m),...,Z_{N}(m)),$ $m=0,1,2,...,$ with $N$ types of particles dies at moment $n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

Let $G$ be a vertex-transitive graph of superlinear polynomial growth. Given $r>0$, let $G_r$ be the graph on the same vertex set as $G$, with two vertices joined by an edge if and only if they are at graph distance at most $r$ apart in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Panagiotis Spanos , Matthew Tointon

We introduce a model for the spreading of epidemics by long-range infections and investigate the critical behaviour at the spreading transition. The model generalizes directed bond percolation and is characterized by a probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Haye Hinrichsen , Martin Howard

We develop a theory of first passage processes in stochastic non-equilibrium systems of birth-death type using two closely related epidemiological models as examples. Our method employs the probability generating function technique in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-06 Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson

Many epidemic processes in networks spread by stochastic contacts among their connected vertices. There are two limiting cases widely analyzed in the physics literature, the so-called contact process (CP) where the contagion is expanded at…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-02-19 S. Gomez , A. Arenas , J. Borge-Holthoefer , S. Meloni , Y. Moreno

We consider a class of stochastic growth models on the integer lattice which includes various interesting examples such as the number of open paths in oriented percolation and the binary contact path process. Under some mild assumptions, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Ryoki Fukushima , Nobuo Yoshida

We consider extinction times for a class of birth-death processes commonly found in applications, where there is a control parameter which determines whether the population quickly becomes extinct, or rather persists for a long time. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Charles R. Doering , Khachik V. Sargsyan , Leonard M. Sander

We consider the supercritical finite-range random connection model where the points $x,y$ of a homogeneous planar Poisson process are connected with probability $f(|y-x|)$ for a given $f$. Performing percolation on the resulting graph, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Massimo Franceschetti , Mathew D. Penrose , Tom Rosoman

We study oriented percolation on random causal triangulations, those are random planar graphs obtained roughly speaking by adding horizontal connections between vertices of an infinite tree. When the underlying tree is a geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-10 David Corlin Marchand

We provide sufficient conditions for a regular graph $G$ of growing degree $d$, guaranteeing a phase transition in its random subgraph $G_p$ similar to that of $G(n,p)$ when $p\cdot d\approx 1$. These conditions capture several well-studied…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Sahar Diskin , Michael Krivelevich

We consider the contact process on the preferential attachment graph. The work of Berger, Borgs, Chayes and Saberi [BBCS1] confirmed physicists predictions that the contact process starting from a typical vertex becomes endemic for an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-23 Van Hao Can

We study the SIRS process, a continuous-time Markov chain modeling the spread of infections on graphs. In this model, vertices are either susceptible, infected, or recovered. Each infected vertex becomes recovered at rate 1 and infects each…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Tobias Friedrich , Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca , Marcus Pappik