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Related papers: Modeling Time-dependent CO$_2$ Intensities in Mult…

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Accurate forecasting of the grid carbon intensity factor (CIF) is critical for enabling demand-side management and reducing emissions in modern electricity systems. Leveraging multiple interrelated time series, CIF prediction is typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Bowen Zhang , Hongda Tian , Adam Berry , A. Craig Roussac

As energy systems transform to rely on renewable energy and electrification, they encounter stronger year-to-year variability in energy supply and demand. However, most infrastructure planning is based on a single weather year, resulting in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-30 Ebbe Kyhl Gøtske , Gorm Bruun Andresen , Fabian Neumann , Marta Victoria

We use an open, hourly-resolved, networked model of the European energy system to investigate the storage requirements under decreasing CO$_2$ emissions targets and several sector-coupling scenarios. For the power system, significant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-22 Marta Victoria , Kun Zhu , Tom Brown , Gorm B. Andresen , Martin Greiner

Intermittent renewable energies are increasingly dominating electricity grids and are forecasted to be the main force driving out fossil fuels from the grid in most major economies until 2040. However, grids based on intermittent renewables…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-05 Alona Zharova , Felix Creutzig

Renewable energy is essential for energy security and global warming mitigation. However, power generation from renewable energy sources is uncertain due to volatile weather conditions and complex equipment operations. To improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Yuchen Shi , Nan Chen

The mitigation of climate change requires a fundamental transition of the energy system. Affordability, reliability and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions constitute central but often conflicting targets for this energy transition.…

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

Global warming is caused by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases, particularly carbon dioxide (CO2). A metric used to quantify the change in CO2 emissions is the marginal emission factor, defined as the marginal change in CO2…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-24 Souhir Ben Amor , Smaranda Sgarciu , Taimyra BatzLineiro , Felix Muesgens

Efforts to reduce climate change, but also falling prices and significant technology developments currently drive an increased weather-dependent electricity production from renewable electricity sources. In light of the changing climate, it…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-10 Smail Kozarcanin , Hailiang Liu , Gorm Bruun Andresen

Achieving decarbonization across energy sectors requires demand-side transformation such as behavioural changes and end-use efficiency improvements to complement supply-side technological shifts. However, changing consumption patterns is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-07 Parisa Rahdan , Mirko Schäfer , Ana Belén Cristóbal López , Marta Victoria

To reduce computational complexity, macro-energy system models commonly implement reduced time-series data. For renewable energy systems dependent on seasonal storage and characterized by intermittent renewables, like wind and solar,…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-21 Leonard Göke , Mario Kendziorski

A reliable estimate of the molecular gas content in galaxies plays a crucial role in determining their dynamical and star-forming properties. However, H2, the dominant molecular species, is difficult to observe directly, particularly in the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 T. A. Bell , E. Roueff , S. Viti , D. A. Williams

Modelling renewable energy systems is a computationally-demanding task due to the high fluctuation of supply and demand time series. To reduce the scale of these, this paper discusses different methods for their aggregation into typical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Leander Kotzur , Peter Markewitz , Martin Robinius , Detlef Stolten

While wind and solar power contribute to sustainability, their intermittent nature poses challenges when integrated into the grid. To mitigate these issues, renewable energy can be combined with coal fired power and hydropower sources to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-12 Manling Hu , Manqi Xu , Dunnan Liu

The variability and intermittency of renewable energy sources pose several challenges for power systems operations, including energy curtailment and price volatility. In power systems with considerable renewable sources, co-variability in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-21 Elnaz Kabir , Vivek Srikrishnan , M. Vivienne Liu , Scott Steinschneider , C. Lindsay Anderson

The rising share of abundant renewable energy inevitably increases volatility in the electricity production. The concept of sector coupling means that the volatility of electricity production to a large degree can be absorbed by dispatching…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-29 P. Bechtle , O. Freyermuth , M. Geffers , M. Giffels , M. Hübner , F. Kirfel , J. Kreutz , S. Krieg , S. Matberg , M. Schnepf

This paper represents the first effort to quantify uncertainty in carbon intensity forecasting for datacenter decarbonization. We identify and analyze two types of uncertainty -- temporal and spatial -- and discuss their system…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Amy Li , Sihang Liu , Yi Ding

When evaluating the effect of CO2 changes on the earth's climate, it is widely assumed that instantaneous radiative forcing from a doubling of a given CO2 concentration (IRF2xCO2) is constant and that variances in climate sensitivity arise…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-25 Haozhe He , Ryan J. Kramer , Brian J. Soden , Nadir Jeevanjee

As variable renewable energy sources comprise a growing share of total electricity generation, energy storage technologies are becoming increasingly critical for balancing energy generation and demand. In this study, we modeled an existing…

In highly renewable power systems the increased weather dependence can result in new resilience challenges, such as renewable energy droughts, or a lack of sufficient renewable generation at times of high demand. The weather conditions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-21 Aleksander Grochowicz , Koen van Greevenbroek , Hannah C. Bloomfield
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