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In a mix of prejudiced and unprejudiced individuals engaged in strategic interactions, the individual intensity of prejudice is expected to have effect on overall level of societal prejudice. High level of prejudice should lead to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-23 Arunava Patra , C. F. Sagar Zephania , Sagar Chakraborty

Strategic interactions between competitive entities are generally considered from the perspective of complete revelation of benefits achieved from those interactions, in the form of public payoff functions and/or beliefs, in the announced…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Aditya Ahuja

Single-elimination (SE) tournaments are a popular format used in competitive environments and decision making. Algorithms for SE tournament manipulation have been an active topic of research in recent years. In this paper, we initiate the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Sushmita Gupta , M. S. Ramanujan , Peter Strulo

Forecast of football outcomes in terms of Home Win, Draw and Away Win relies largely on ex ante probability elicitation of these events and ex post verification of them via computation of probability scoring rules (Brier, Ranked…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-09 Jean-Louis Foulley

We argue for the application of bibliometric indices to quantify the long-term uncertainty of outcome in sports. The Euclidean index is proposed to reward quality over quantity, while the rectangle index can be an appropriate measure of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-10 László Csató , Dóra Gréta Petróczy

Predictive algorithms are now used to help distribute a large share of our society's resources and sanctions, such as healthcare, loans, criminal detentions, and tax audits. Under the right circumstances, these algorithms can improve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Alex Chohlas-Wood , Madison Coots , Sharad Goel , Julian Nyarko

Machine Learning (ML) algorithms shape our lives. Banks use them to determine if we are good borrowers; IT companies delegate them recruitment decisions; police apply ML for crime-prediction, and judges base their verdicts on ML. However,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Omer Ben-Porat , Fedor Sandomirskiy , Moshe Tennenholtz

A scoring rule is a function of a probabilistic forecast and a corresponding outcome that is used to evaluate forecast performance. A wide range of scoring rules have been defined over time and there is some debate as to which are the most…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-27 Edward Wheatcroft

We propose a notion of fairness for allocation problems in which different agents may have different reservation utilities, stemming from different outside options, or property rights. Fairness is usually understood as the absence of envy,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-05-12 Federico Echenique , Antonio Miralles , Jun Zhang

Priority-based allocation of individuals to positions are pervasive, and elimination of justified envy is often, an absolute requirement. This leaves serial dictatorship (SD) as the only rule that avoids justified envy under standard direct…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-22 Inácio Bó , Gian Caspari , Manshu Khanna

The Ultimatum Game (UG) is an economic game where two players (proposer and responder) decide how to split a certain amount of money. While traditional economic theories based on rational decision making predict that the proposer should…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-06 Genki Ichinose , Hiroki Sayama

Teams frequently compete on multiple fronts: political parties contest districts for majority control, contractors field specialized units to win procurement contracts, and squads play match by match for titles. Although the prize accrues…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-26 Zhonghong Kuang , Jingfeng Lu , Yiyao Zhu

The organisers of major sports competitions use different policies with respect to constraints in the group draw. Our paper aims to rationalise these choices by analysing the trade-off between attractiveness (the number of games played by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-23 László Csató

We introduce a new measure to capture fairness of a schedule in a single round robin (SRR) tournament when participants are ranked by strength. To prevent distortion of the outcome of an SRR tournament as well as to guarantee equal…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Sten Wessel , Cor Hurkens , Frits Spieksma

Recently, reputation-based indirect reciprocity has been widely applied to the study on fairness behavior. Previous works mainly investigate indirect reciprocity by considering compulsory participation. While in reality, individuals may…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Yanling Zhang , Yin Li , Xiaojie Chen , Guangming Xie

We analysed the distribution of the number of goals scored in each of the 51 football matches played in the UEFA EURO 2020 final phase as well as the waiting times between scores (also considering censored times). We found that the Poisson…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-16 Giulia Fedrizzi , Luisa Canal , Rocco Micciolo

The paper presents a plus-minus rating for use in association football (soccer). We first describe the standard plus-minus methodology as used in basketball and ice-hockey and then adapt it for use in soccer. The usual goal-differential…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-16 Tarak Kharrat , Javier López Peña , Ian McHale

Getting a group to adopt cooperative norms is an enduring challenge. But in real-world settings, individuals don't just passively accept static environments, they act both within and upon the social systems that structure their…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Qiankun Zhong , Nori Jacoby , Ofer Tchernichovski , Seth Frey

In most professional sports, the structure of the environment is kept neutral so that scoring imbalances may be attributed to differences in team skill. It thus remains unknown what impact structural heterogeneities can have on scoring…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-04 Sears Merritt , Aaron Clauset

This article deals with ranking methods. We study the situation where a tournament between $n$ players $P_1$, $P_2$, \ldots $P_n$ gives the ranking $P_1 \succ P_2 \succ \cdots \succ P_n$, but, if the results of $P_n$ are no longer taken…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Guillaume Chéze , Etienne Fieux