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The Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is one of the most widely used Markov Chain Monte Carlo schemes for generating samples from Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm is asymptotically exact, flexible and easy to implement.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Estevão Prado , Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

Bayesian network classifiers (BNCs) possess a number of properties desirable for a modern classifier: They are easily interpretable, highly scalable, and offer adaptable complexity. However, traditional methods for learning BNCs have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Connor Cooper , Geoffrey I. Webb , Daniel F. Schmidt

Missing values exist in nearly all clinical studies because data for a variable or question are not collected or not available. Inadequate handling of missing values can lead to biased results and loss of statistical power in analysis.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Narges Pourshahrokhi , Samaneh Kouchaki , Kord M. Kober , Christine Miaskowski , Payam Barnaghi

Clustering is one of the most widely used procedures in the analysis of microarray data, for example with the goal of discovering cancer subtypes based on observed heterogeneity of genetic marks between different tissues. It is well-known…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-21 Heng Lian

Recently, it has been shown that the hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is guaranteed to converge exponentially to a given target probability distribution $p(x)\propto e^{-V(x)}$ on non-compact spaces if augmented by an appropriate radial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-04-28 Johann Ostmeyer

We present a deep neural network (DNN) accelerated Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm called DeepHMC for the inference of binary neutron star systems. The HMC is a non-random walk sampler that uses background gradient information to…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-05-06 Jules Perret , Marc Aréne , Edward K. Porter

We propose Bayesian Hierarchical Invariant Prediction (BHIP) reframing Invariant Causal Prediction (ICP) through the lens of Hierarchical Bayes. We leverage the hierarchical structure to explicitly test invariance of causal mechanisms under…

We introduce a recent symplectic integration scheme derived for solving physically motivated systems with non-separable Hamiltonians. We show its relevance to Riemannian manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RMHMC) and provide an alternative to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-15 Adam D. Cobb , Atılım Güneş Baydin , Andrew Markham , Stephen J. Roberts

Bayesian hierarchical clustering (BHC) is an agglomerative clustering method, where a probabilistic model is defined and its marginal likelihoods are evaluated to decide which clusters to merge. While BHC provides a few advantages over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-04 Juho Lee , Seungjin Choi

We obtain several quantitative bounds on the mixing properties of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm for a strongly log-concave target distribution $\pi$ on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$, showing that HMC mixes quickly in this setting. One of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Oren Mangoubi , Aaron Smith

We consider the problem of estimating rare event probabilities, focusing on systems whose evolution is governed by differential equations with uncertain input parameters. If the system dynamics is expensive to compute, standard sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros

Time-lapse images carry out important information about dynamic changes in Earth's interior which can be inferred using different Full Waveform Inversion (FWI) schemes. The estimation process is performed by manipulating more than one…

We introduce a novel procedure for obtaining cross-validated predictive estimates for Bayesian hierarchical regression models (BHRMs). Bayesian hierarchical models are popular for their ability to model complex dependence structures and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-01 Amy X. Zhang , Le Bao , Changcheng Li , Michael J. Daniels

There is a lack of methodological results to design efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for statistical models with discrete-valued high-dimensional parameters. Motivated by this consideration, we propose a simple framework…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-21 Giacomo Zanella

We propose a new framework of variance-reduced Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) methods for sampling from an $L$-smooth and $m$-strongly log-concave distribution, based on a unified formulation of biased and unbiased variance reduction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Zhengmian Hu , Feihu Huang , Heng Huang

We present a nonlinear (in the sense of McKean) generalization of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) termed nonlinear HMC (nHMC) capable of sampling from nonlinear probability measures of mean-field type. When the underlying confinement…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Katharina Schuh

Sampling from high dimensional distributions is a computational bottleneck in many scientific applications. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), and in particular the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS), are widely used, yet they struggle on problems with a…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-20 Jakob Robnik , Reuben Cohn-Gordon , Uroš Seljak

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have long been the main workhorses of Bayesian inference. Among them, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) has recently become very popular due to its efficiency resulting from effective use of the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-18 Ossi Räisä , Antti Koskela , Antti Honkela

This paper introduces an integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (INGARCH) model based on the novel geometric distribution and discusses some of its properties. The parameter estimation problem of the models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Divya Kuttenchalil Andrews , N. Balakrishna

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is often lauded for its ability to effectively sample from high-dimensional distributions. In this paper we challenge the presumed domination of HMC for the Bayesian analysis of GLMs. By utilizing…