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In the context of individual-level causal inference, we study the problem of predicting whether someone will respond or not to a treatment based on their features and past examples of features, treatment indicator (e.g., drug/no drug), and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-04 Nathan Kallus

The in-depth analysis of human behavior has been increasingly recognized as a crucial means for disclosing interior driving forces, causes and impact on businesses in handling many challenging issues. The modeling and analysis of behaviors…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Longbing Cao

We study how the Hurst exponent $\alpha$ depends on the fraction $f$ of the total time $t$ remembered by non-Markovian random walkers that recall only the distant past. We find that otherwise nonpersistent random walkers switch to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 J. C. Cressoni , M. A. A. da Silva , G. M. Viswanathan

Human activity patterns display a bursty dynamics, with interevent times following a heavy tailed distribution. This behavior has been recently shown to be rooted in the fact that humans assign their active tasks different priorities, a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Alexei Vazquez

Records of social interactions provide us with new sources of data for understanding how interaction patterns affect collective dynamics. Such human activity patterns are often bursty, i.e., they consist of short periods of intense activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Taro Takaguchi , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

Challenge Theory (Shye & Haber 2015; 2020) has demonstrated that a newly devised challenge index (CI) attributable to every binary choice problem predicts the popularity of the bold option, the one of lower probability to gain a higher…

General Economics · Economics 2020-03-30 Samuel Shye , Ido Haber

A Collaborative Artificial Intelligence System (CAIS) performs actions in collaboration with the human to achieve a common goal. CAISs can use a trained AI model to control human-system interaction, or they can use human interaction to…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Diaeddin Rimawi , Antonio Liotta , Marco Todescato , Barbara Russo

People often optimize for long-term goals in collaboration: A mentor or companion doesn't just answer questions, but also scaffolds learning, tracks progress, and prioritizes the other person's growth over immediate results. In contrast,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Grace Liu , Brian Christian , Tsvetomira Dumbalska , Michiel A. Bakker , Rachit Dubey

Identifying and quantifying factors influencing human decision making remains an outstanding challenge, impacting the performance and predictability of social and technological systems. In many cases, system failures are traced to human…

The existing computational models used to estimate motion sickness are incapable of describing the fact that the predictability of motion patterns affects motion sickness. Therefore, the present study proposes a computational model to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-18 Takahiro Wada

A key challenge in the field of reinforcement learning is to develop agents that behave cautiously in novel situations. It is generally impossible to anticipate all situations that an autonomous system may face or what behavior would best…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Montaser Mohammedalamen , Dustin Morrill , Alexander Sieusahai , Yash Satsangi , Michael Bowling

We empirically study the activity patterns of individual blog-posting and find significant memory effects. The memory coefficient first decays in a power law and then turns to an exponential form. Moreover, the inter-event time distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-11-03 Peng Wang , Tao Zhou , Xiao-Pu Han , Bing-Hong Wang

Empirical evidence shows that human behaviour often deviates from game-theoretical rationality. For instance, humans may hold unrealistic expectations about future outcomes. As the evolutionary roots of such biases remain unclear, we…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Marco Saponara , Elias Fernandez Domingos , Jorge M. Pacheco , Tom Lenaerts

We consider the problem of learning the causal MAG of a system from observational data in the presence of latent variables and selection bias. Constraint-based methods are one of the main approaches for solving this problem, but the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Sina Akbari , Ehsan Mokhtarian , AmirEmad Ghassami , Negar Kiyavash

Human perception and behavior are affected by the situational context, in particular during social interactions. A recent study demonstrated that humans perceive visual stimuli differently depending on whether they do the task by themselves…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Maria Tsfasman , Anja Philippsen , Carlo Mazzola , Serge Thill , Alessandra Sciutti , Yukie Nagai

What is intuitive: pro-social or anti-social behaviour? To answer this fundamental question, recent studies analyse decision times in game theory experiments under the assumption that intuitive decisions are fast and that deliberation is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-14 Riccardo Gallotti , Jelena Grujic

Strong reciprocity is a fundamental human characteristic associated with our extraordinary sociality and cooperation. Laboratory experiments on social dilemma games and many field studies have quantified well-defined levels of cooperation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-11-21 D. Darcet , D. Sornette

Identifying factors that affect human decision making and quantifying their influence remain essential and challenging tasks for the design and implementation of social and technological communication systems. We report results of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-02 Chantal Nguyen , Fangqiu Han , Kimberly J. Schlesinger , Izzeddin Gür , Jean M. Carlson

A nonlinear time-delay model is proposed to describe the interaction dynamics between criminal and non-criminal populations, combining social influence mechanisms, saturation effects represented by a Holling type II functional response, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Pablo Amster , Andrés Rivera , Sebastián Pedersen

Linear Response theory aims to predict how added forcing alters the statistical properties of an unforced system. These kinds of questions have been studied predominantly for autonomous dynamical systems, yet many systems in the physical,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Stefano Galatolo , Valerio Lucarini
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