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We consider social learning in a changing world. Society can remain responsive to state changes only if agents regularly act upon fresh information, which limits the value of social learning. When the state is close to persistent, a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-07 Raphaël Lévy , Marcin Pęski , Nicolas Vieille

A long-standing vision of computing is the personal AI system: one that understands us well enough to address our underlying needs. Today's AI focuses on what users do, ignoring why they might be doing such things in the first place. As a…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Dora Zhao , Michelle S. Lam , Diyi Yang , Michael S. Bernstein

Active inference is a formal approach to study cognition based on the notion that adaptive agents can be seen as engaging in a process of approximate Bayesian inference, via the minimisation of variational and expected free energies.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Filippo Torresan , Keisuke Suzuki , Ryota Kanai , Manuel Baltieri

Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) enables efficient posterior estimation using generative neural networks trained on simulated data, but often suffers from performance degradation under model misspecification. While self-consistency (SC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Aayush Mishra , Šimon Kucharský , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Attrition is a common and potentially important threat to internal validity in treatment effect studies. We extend the changes-in-changes approach to identify the average treatment effect for respondents and the entire study population in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-29 Dalia Ghanem , Sarojini Hirshleifer , Désiré Kédagni , Karen Ortiz-Becerra

Cellular phones are now offering an ubiquitous means for scientists to observe life: how people act, move and respond to external influences. They can be utilized as measurement devices of individual persons and for groups of people of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Shao-Meng Qin , Hannu Verkasalo , Mikael Mohtaschemi , Tuomo Hartonen , Mikko Alava

Active inference helps us simulate adaptive behavior and decision-making in biological and artificial agents. Building on our previous work exploring the relationship between active inference, well-being, resilience, and sustainability, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Mahault Albarracin , Ines Hipolito , Maria Raffa , Paul Kinghorn

Deficits in working memory, which includes both the ability to learn and to retain information short-term, are a hallmark of many cognitive disorders. Our study analyzes data from a neuroscience experiment on animal subjects, where…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-23 Maria Laura Battagliola , Laura J. Benoit , Sarah Canetta , Shizhe Zhang , R. Todd Ogden

Uncertainty quantification of predictive models is crucial in decision-making problems. Conformal prediction is a general and theoretically sound answer. However, it requires exchangeable data, excluding time series. While recent works…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-16 Margaux Zaffran , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Olivier Féron , Yannig Goude , Julie Josse

For group-living animals, reaching consensus to stay cohesive is crucial for their fitness, particularly when collective motion starts and stops. Understanding the decision-making at individual and collective levels upon sudden disturbances…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-02-08 Sylvain Toulet , Jacques Gautrais , Richard Bon , Fernando Peruani

Automated decision systems (ADS) are broadly deployed to inform and support human decision-making across a wide range of consequential settings. However, various context-specific details complicate the goal of establishing meaningful…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Inioluwa Deborah Raji , Lydia Liu

This paper addresses the problem of providing runtime assurance for systems operating online under unknown and potentially time-varying data distributions. We propose Cost-Aware Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI), a novel framework that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Taoran Wu , Jingduo Pan , Luke Ong , Bai Xue

An important problem for HCI researchers is to estimate the parameter values of a cognitive model from behavioral data. This is a difficult problem, because of the substantial complexity and variety in human behavioral strategies. We report…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-01-16 Antti Kangasrääsiö , Kumaripaba Athukorala , Andrew Howes , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski , Antti Oulasvirta

Detecting anomalies in human mobility is essential for applications such as public safety and urban planning. While traditional anomaly detection methods primarily focus on individual movement patterns (e.g., a child should stay at home at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Haomin Wen , Shurui Cao , Leman Akoglu

Neuromorphic Human-Computer Interaction (HCI) is a theoretical approach to designing better user experiences (UX) motivated by advances in the understanding of the neurophysiology of the brain. Inspired by the neuroscientific theory of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Roel Vertegaal , Timothy Merritt , Saul Greenberg , Aneesh P. Tarun , Zhen Li , Zafeirios Fountas

Human travelling behaviours are markedly regular, to a large extent, predictable, and mostly driven by biological necessities (\eg sleeping, eating) and social constructs (\eg school schedules, synchronisation of labour). Not surprisingly,…

Popular discourses are thick with narratives of generative AI's problematic functions and outcomes, yet there is little understanding of how non-experts consider AI activities to constitute bad behavior. This study starts to bridge that gap…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Jaime Banks

Dynamical clustering represents a characteristic feature of active matter consisting of self-propelled agents that convert energy from the environment into mechanical motion. At the micron scale, typical of overdamped dynamics, particles…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-06-04 Lorenzo Caprini , Davide Breoni , Anton Ldov , Christian Scholz , Hartmut Löwen

Despite recent advances in uncovering the quantitative features of stationary human activity patterns, many applications, from pandemic prediction to emergency response, require an understanding of how these patterns change when the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-06 James P. Bagrow , Dashun Wang , Albert-László Barabási

Artificial general intelligence (AGI) may herald our extinction, according to AI safety research. Yet claims regarding AGI must rely upon mathematical formalisms -- theoretical agents we may analyse or attempt to build. AIXI appears to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Michael Timothy Bennett
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