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Statistical solutions are time-parameterized probability measures on spaces of integrable functions, that have been proposed recently as a framework for global solutions and uncertainty quantification for multi-dimensional hyperbolic system…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Ulrik Skre Fjordholm , Kjetil Lye , Siddhartha Mishra , Franziska Weber

A shortcoming of existing reachability approaches for nonlinear systems is the poor scalability with the number of continuous state variables. To mitigate this problem we present a simulation-based approach where we first sample a number of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-21 Murat Arcak , John Maidens

Model mismatch and process noise are two frequently occurring phenomena that can drastically affect the performance of model predictive control (MPC) in practical applications. We propose a principled way to tune the cost function and the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-24 Riccardo Zuliani , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros

Reliability based design optimization (RBDO) problems are important in engineering applications, but it is challenging to solve such problems. In this study, a new resolution method based on the directional Bat Algorithm (dBA) is presented.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Asma Chakri , Xin-She Yang , Rabia Khelif , Mohamed Benouaret

Data-driven Distributionally Robust Optimization (DD-DRO) via optimal transport has been shown to encompass a wide range of popular machine learning algorithms. The distributional uncertainty size is often shown to correspond to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-12 Jose Blanchet , Yang Kang , Fan Zhang , Fei He , Zhangyi Hu

We examine robust output feedback control of discrete-time nonlinear systems with bounded uncertainties affecting the dynamics and measurements. Specifically, we demonstrate how to construct semi-infinite programs that produce gains to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-16 Jad Wehbeh , Eric C. Kerrigan

We consider the problem of synthesizing robust disturbance feedback policies for systems performing complex tasks. We formulate the tasks as linear temporal logic specifications and encode them into an optimization framework via…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Pier Giuseppe Sessa , Damian Frick , Tony A. Wood , Maryam Kamgarpour

A computer model can be used for predicting an output only after specifying the values of some unknown physical constants known as calibration parameters. The unknown calibration parameters can be estimated from real data by conducting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Arvind Krishna , V. Roshan Joseph , Shan Ba , William A. Brenneman , William R. Myers

Robust optimization safeguards decisions against uncertainty by optimizing against worst-case scenarios, yet their effectiveness hinges on a prespecified robustness level that is often chosen ad hoc, leading to either insufficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Wenbin Zhou , Shixiang Zhu

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

Real-world distributed systems and networks are often unreliable and subject to random failures of its components. Such a stochastic behavior affects adversely the complexity of optimization tasks performed routinely upon such systems, in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Milos Hauskrecht , Tomas Singliar

The aim of this paper is to describe a new an integrated methodology for project control under uncertainty. This proposal is based on Earned Value Methodology and risk analysis and presents several refinements to previous methodologies.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-06 Fernando Acebes , M Pereda , David Poza , Javier Pajares , Jose M Galan

Robust optimization methods have shown practical advantages in a wide range of decision-making applications under uncertainty. Recently, their efficacy has been extended to multi-period settings. Current approaches model uncertainty either…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Omid Nohadani , Kartikey Sharma

Monte Carlo simulations are based on the manipulation of random numbers to evaluate probable outcomes, with applicability in a variety of different fields. By assigning probabilities, which can be determined a priori, to various events, it…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-01-03 Parasuraman Swaminathan

Many quantum technologies rely on high-precision dynamics, which raises the question of how these are influenced by the experimental uncertainties that are always present in real-life settings. A standard approach in the literature to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-04-27 Mogens Dalgaard , Carrie A. Weidner , Felix Motzoi

Monte Carlo simulation studies are at the core of the modern applied, computational, and theoretical statistical literature. Simulation is a broadly applicable research tool, used to collect data on the relative performance of methods or…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-21 Erik-Jan van Kesteren

We study the distributionally robust optimization (DRO) in a dynamic context where the model uncertainty is captured by penalizing potential models in function of their adapted Wasserstein distance to a given reference model. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Yifan Jiang

We develop an algorithm for computing bounded reachability probability for hybrid systems, i.e., the probability that the system reaches an unsafe region within a finite number of discrete transitions. In particular, we focus on hybrid…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Fedor Shmarov , Paolo Zuliani

We review distributionally robust optimization (DRO), a principled approach for constructing statistical estimators that hedge against the impact of deviations in the expected loss between the training and deployment environments. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jose Blanchet , Jiajin Li , Sirui Lin , Xuhui Zhang

We consider the problem of designing experiments for the comparison of two regression curves describing the relation between a predictor and a response in two groups, where the data between and within the group may be dependent. In order to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Kirsten Schorning , Holger Dette
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