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Because of the complexity of fluid flow solvers, non-intrusive uncertainty quantification techniques have been developed in aerodynamic simulations in order to compute the quantities of interest required in an optimization process, for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-03-02 Éric Savin , Béatrice Faverjon

Constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification (UQ) on complex partial differential equations (PDEs) having inherently high-dimensional $\mathcal{O}(10^{\ge 2})$ stochastic inputs (e.g., forcing terms, boundary conditions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Katiana Kontolati , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Dimitris G. Giovanis , Lohit Vandanapu , Michael D. Shields

Most of machine learning approaches have stemmed from the application of minimizing the mean squared distance principle, based on the computationally efficient quadratic optimization methods. However, when faced with high-dimensional and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-24 A. N. Gorban , E. M. Mirkes , A. Zinovyev

Numerical simulation of stochastic differential equations over long time intervals poses significant computational challenges. In this paper, we propose a novel recursive polynomial chaos evolution method that achieves model reduction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Guillaume Bal , Shengbo Ma , Su Zhang , Zhiwen Zhang

Extended Dynamic Mode Decomposition (EDMD) is a data-driven tool for forecasting and model reduction of dynamics, which has been extensively taken up in the physical sciences. While the method is conceptually simple, in deterministic chaos…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Caroline L. Wormell

In this article, we develop a set-oriented numerical methodology which allows to perform uncertainty quantification (UQ) for dynamical systems from a global point of view. That is, for systems with uncertain parameters we approximate the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-29 Michael Dellnitz , Stefan Klus , Adrian Ziessler

This paper addresses uncertainty quantification (UQ) for problems where scalar (or low-dimensional vector) response quantities are insufficient and, instead, full-field (very high-dimensional) responses are of interest. To do so, an…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-18 D. G Giovanis , M. D. Shields

We present a new data-driven method to provide probabilistic stability guarantees for black-box switched linear systems. By sampling a finite number of observations of trajectories, we construct approximate Lyapunov functions and deduce the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Anne Rubbens , Zheming Wang , Raphaël M. Jungers

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) --- the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model --- are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

Computational models of the human head are promising tools for estimating the impact-induced response of brain, and thus play an important role in the prediction of traumatic brain injury. Modern biofidelic head model simulations are…

The paper studies a geometrically robust least-squares problem that extends classical and norm-based robust formulations. Rather than minimizing residual error for fixed or perturbed data, we interpret least-squares as enforcing approximate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Shreyas Bharadwaj , Bamdev Mishra , Cyrus Mostajeran , Alberto Padoan , Jeremy Coulson , Ravi N. Banavar

In this paper we present a basis selection method that can be used with $\ell_1$-minimization to adaptively determine the large coefficients of polynomial chaos expansions (PCE). The adaptive construction produces anisotropic basis sets…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-06-22 John D. Jakeman , Michael S. Eldred , Khachik Sargsyan

This work is concerned with approximating multivariate functions in unbounded domain by using discrete least-squares projection with random points evaluations. Particular attention are given to functions with random Gaussian or Gamma…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Tao Tang , Tao Zhou

The work presented here investigates the application of polynomial chaos expansion toward input shaper design in order to maintain robustness in dynamical systems subject to uncertainty. Furthermore, this work intends to specifically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-05 Johannes Güttler , Karan Baker , Premjit Saha , James Warner , Adrian Stein

Most uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches provide a single scalar value as a measure of model reliability. However, different uncertainty measures could provide complementary information on the prediction confidence. Even measures…

Motivated by the need for efficient estimation of conditional expectations, we consider a least-squares function approximation problem with heavily polluted data. Existing methods that are effective in the small-noise regime are suboptimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Ben Adcock , Bernhard Hientzsch , Akil Narayan , Yiming Xu

We consider a multiphysics system with multiple component models coupled together through network coupling interfaces, i.e., a handful of scalars. If each component model contains uncertainties represented by a set of parameters, a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-07-28 Paul G. Constantine , Eric T. Phipps , Timothy M. Wildey

Accurate modeling of radio wave propagation over irregular terrains is crucial for designing reliable wireless communication systems in such environments, yet uncertainties in the antenna configuration are not quantified within…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Sicheng An , Luca Di Rienzo , Hao Qin , Xingqi Zhang , Lorenzo Codecasa

Generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) expansions are well established for forward uncertainty propagation in many application areas. Although the associated computational effort may be reduced in comparison to Monte Carlo techniques, for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Niklas Georg , Ulrich Römer

For a large class of orthogonal basis functions, there has been a recent identification of expansion methods for computing accurate, stable approximations of a quantity of interest. This paper presents, within the context of uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-13 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan