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We propose, theoretically investigate, and numerically validate an algorithm for the Monte Carlo solution of least-squares polynomial approximation problems in a collocation frame- work. Our method is motivated by generalized Polynomial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Akil Narayan , John D. Jakeman , Tao Zhou

This work proposes a method for sparse polynomial chaos (PC) approximation of high-dimensional stochastic functions based on non-adapted random sampling. We modify the standard l1 -minimization algorithm, originally proposed in the context…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Ji Peng , Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

Recently, the graph-accelerated non-intrusive polynomial chaos (NIPC) method has been proposed for solving uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems. This method leverages the full-grid integration-based NIPC method to address UQ problems…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Bingran Wang , Nicholas C. Orndorff , John T. Hwang

In inverse problems, distribution-free uncertainty quantification (UQ) aims to obtain error bars with coverage guarantees that are independent of any prior assumptions about the data distribution. In the context of mass mapping,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-26 Hubert Leterme , Jalal Fadili , Jean-Luc Starck

We prove convergence rates of linear sampling recovery of functions in abstract Bochner spaces satisfying weighted summability of their generalized polynomial chaos expansion coefficients. The underlying algorithm is a function-valued…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Felix Bartel , Dinh Dũng

In this paper we present a data-driven approach for uncertainty propagation. In particular, we consider stochastic differential equations with parametric uncertainty. Solution of the differential equation is approximated using maximum…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

Polynomial chaos is a powerful technique for propagating uncertainty through ordinary and partial differential equations. Random variables are expanded in terms of orthogonal polynomials and differential equations are derived for the…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-18 José Miguel Pasini , Tuhin Sahai

While neural networks have demonstrated impressive performance across various tasks, accurately quantifying uncertainty in their predictions is essential to ensure their trustworthiness and enable widespread adoption in critical systems.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Joseph Wilson , Chris van der Heide , Liam Hodgkinson , Fred Roosta

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) - the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model - are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

In this work, Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) based on non-intrusive Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is applied to the CFD problem of the flow past an airfoil with parameterized angle of attack and inflow velocity. To limit the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Saddam Hijazi , Giovanni Stabile , Andrea Mola , Gianluigi Rozza

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are well-suited to quantifying uncertainty in models parameterized by independent random variables. The assumption of independence leads to simple strategies for evaluating PCE coefficients. In contrast,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John Jakeman , Fabian Franzelin , Akil Narayan , Michael Eldred , Dirk Plfueger

Methods based on polynomial chaos expansion allow to approximate the behavior of systems with uncertain parameters by deterministic dynamics. These methods are used in a wide range of applications, spanning from simulation of uncertain…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Rolf Findeisen , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are fundamental for theoretically describing numerous physical processes that are based on some input fields in spatial configurations. Understanding the physical process, in general, requires…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Mahadevan Ganesh , Stuart C Hawkins , Alexandre Tartakovsky , Ramakrishna Tipireddy

As non-institutive polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) techniques have gained growing popularity among researchers, we here provide a comprehensive review of major sampling strategies for the least squares based PCE. Traditional sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-14 Mohammad Hadigol , Alireza Doostan

Verification solutions for uncertainty quantification are presented for time dependent transport problems where $c$, the scattering ratio, is uncertain. The method of polynomial chaos expansions is employed for quick and accurate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-19 William Bennett , Ryan G. McClarren

We propose and analyze a weighted greedy scheme for computing deterministic sample configurations in multidimensional space for performing least-squares polynomial approximations on $L^2$ spaces weighted by a probability density function.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Ling Guo , Akil Narayan , Liang Yan , Tao Zhou

To tackle the curse of dimensionality and multicollinearity problems of polynomial chaos expansion for analyzing global sensitivity and reliability of models with high stochastic dimensions, this paper proposes a novel non-intrusive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Ling-Ze Bu , Wei Zhao , Wei Wang

This article discusses the uncertainty quantification (UQ) for time-independent linear and nonlinear partial differential equation (PDE)-based systems with random model parameters carried out using sampling-free intrusive stochastic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Sudhi Sharma , Pierre Jolivet , Victorita Dolean , Abhijit Sarkar

In the context of data-driven control of nonlinear systems, many approaches lack of rigorous guarantees, call for nonconvex optimization, or require knowledge of a function basis containing the system dynamics. To tackle these drawbacks, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-05 Tim Martin , Frank Allgöwer