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The increasing frequency of extreme weather events poses significant risks to power distribution systems, leading to widespread outages and severe economic and social consequences. This paper presents a novel simulation framework for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Xuesong Wang , Shuo Yuan , Sharaf K. Magableh , Oraib Dawaghreh , Caisheng Wang , Le Yi Wang

Background. This paper study statistical data gathered from wind turbines located on the territory of the Republic of Poland. The research is aimed to construct the stochastic model that predicts the change of wind speed with time. Purpose.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-11-15 M. N. Gevorkyan , A. V. Demidova , Robert A. Sobolewski , I. S. Zaryadov , A. V. Korolkova , D. S. Kulyabov , L. A. Sevastianov

Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Ciaran Gilbert , Jethro Browell , Bruce Stephen

The objective of this paper is to improve the accuracy and robustness of optimal power flow (OPF) formulations for distribution systems modeled down to the low-voltage point of connection of individual buildings. An approach for addressing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-11 Dakota Hamilton , Loraine Navarro , Dionysios Aliprantis

The increasing complexity of the power grid, due to higher penetration of distributed resources and the growing availability of interconnected, distributed metering devices re- quires novel tools for providing a unified and consistent view…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-25 Francesco Fusco , Seshu Tirupathi , Robert Gormally

Due to the uncertainty of distributed wind generations (DWGs), a better understanding of the probability distributions (PD) of their wind power forecast errors (WPFEs) can help market participants (MPs) who own DWGs perform better during…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Mengshuo Jia , Chen Shen , Zhaojian Wang

We present in this paper a model for forecasting short-term power loads based on deep residual networks. The proposed model is able to integrate domain knowledge and researchers' understanding of the task by virtue of different neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-31 Kunjin Chen , Kunlong Chen , Qin Wang , Ziyu He , Jun Hu , Jinliang He

Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-21 Aayushya Agarwal , Larry Pileggi

Weibull distribution has received a wide range of applications in engineering and science. The utility and usefulness of an estimator is highly subject to the field of practitioner's study. In practice users looking for their desired…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-18 Sahar Sadani , Kamel Abdollahnezhad , Mahdi Teimouri , Vahid Ranjbar

The deepening penetration of renewable resources into power systems entails great difficulties that have not been surmounted satisfactorily. An issue that merits special attention is the short-term planning of power systems under net load…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Ogun Yurdakul , Fikret Sivrikaya , Sahin Albayrak

Power systems face increasing challenges in maintaining resource adequacy due to lower operating margins, rising renewable energy uncertainty, and demand variability. Forecasting the probability distribution of peak demand on shorter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Buyi Yu , Wenyuan Tang

The emergence of distributed energy resources has led to new challenges in the operation and planning of power networks. Of particular significance is the introduction of a new layer of complexity that manifests in the form of new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-26 Aaqib Peerzada , Miroslav Begovic , Wesam Rohouma , Robert S. Balog

The electrical distribution system is moving toward a more decentralized, complex, and dynamic system. The system is experiencing a higher penetration of distributed energy resources, flexible resources, and active end-users, leading to an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-21 Stine Fleischer Myhre , Olav Bjarte Fosso , Oddbjørn Gjerde , Poul Einar Heegaard

Wind speed statistics is generally modeled using the Weibull distribution. This distribution is convenient since it fully characterizes analytically with only two parameters (the shape and scale parameters) the shape of distribution and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-11-19 Philippe Drobinski , Corentin Coulais

Budget allocation for power system reliability improvement is considered among the sophisticated problems because of its nonlinear nature. This nonlinearity makes the problem intractable for large-scale power systems. This paper compares…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-08 Hamzeh Davarikia , Masoud Barati , Yupo Chan , Kamran Iqbal

In this paper we extend the Weibull power series (WPS) class of distributions and named this new class as extended Weibull power series (EWPS) class of distributions. The EWPS distributions are related to series and parallel systems with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-01 Alice L. Morais , Silvia L. P. Ferrari

Efficient load forecasting is needed to ensure better observability in the distribution networks, whereas such forecasting is made possible by an increasing number of smart meter installations. Because distribution networks include a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Miha Grabner , Yi Wang , Qingsong Wen , Boštjan Blažič , Vitomir Štruc

The proliferation of intermittent distributed renewable energy sources (RES) in modern power systems has fundamentally compromised the reliability and accuracy of deterministic net load forecasting. Generative models, particularly diffusion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 Yixiang Huang , Jianhua Pei , Luocheng Chen , Zhenchang Du , Jinfu Chen , Zirui Peng

Climate change has led to an increase in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, posing significant challenges for power distribution systems. In response, this work presents a planning approach in order to enhance the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-01 Ahmad Bin Afzal , Nabil Mohammed , Shehab Ahmed , Charalambos Konstantinou

Fertility plans, measured by the number of planned children, have been found to be affected by education and family background via complex tail dependencies. This challenge was previously met with the use of non-parametric jittering…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-18 Alina Peluso , Veronica Vinciotti , Keming Yu