English

Is the Weibull distribution really suited for wind statistics modeling and wind power evaluation?

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics 2012-11-19 v1 Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability

Abstract

Wind speed statistics is generally modeled using the Weibull distribution. This distribution is convenient since it fully characterizes analytically with only two parameters (the shape and scale parameters) the shape of distribution and the different moments of the wind speed (mean, standard deviation, skewness and kurtosis). This distribution is broadly used in the wind energy sector to produce maps of wind energy potential. However, the Weibull distribution is based on empirical rather than physical justification and might display strong limitations for its applications. The philosophy of this article is based on the modeling of the wind components instead of the wind speed itself. This provides more physical insights on the validity domain of the Weibull distribution as a possible relevant model for wind statistics and the quantification of the error made by using such a distribution. We thereby propose alternative expressions of more suited wind speed distribution.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1211.3853,
  title  = {Is the Weibull distribution really suited for wind statistics modeling and wind power evaluation?},
  author = {Philippe Drobinski and Corentin Coulais},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1211.3853},
  year   = {2012}
}

Comments

16 pages, 6 figures, submitted to Environmental Research Letters

R2 v1 2026-06-21T22:39:29.927Z