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We study a class of Gaussian processes for which the posterior mean, for a particular choice of data, replicates a truncated Taylor expansion of any order. The data consist of derivative evaluations at the expansion point and the prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Toni Karvonen , Jon Cockayne , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

In Bayesian nonparametric models, Gaussian processes provide a popular prior choice for regression function estimation. Existing literature on the theoretical investigation of the resulting posterior distribution almost exclusively assume a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-06 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Guang Cheng

Consider binary observations whose response probability is an unknown smooth function of a set of covariates. Suppose that a prior on the response probability function is induced by a Gaussian process mapped to the unit interval through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Subhashis Ghosal , Anindya Roy

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric or semiparametric models based on Gaussian processes. The rate of contraction is shown to depend on the position of the true parameter relative to the reproducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Upper bounds for rates of convergence of posterior distributions associated to Gaussian process priors are obtained by van der Vaart and van Zanten in [14] and expressed in terms of a concentration function involving the Reproducing Kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-22 Ismaël Castillo

Whilst deep neural networks have shown great empirical success, there is still much work to be done to understand their theoretical properties. In this paper, we study the relationship between random, wide, fully connected, feedforward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-17 Alexander G. de G. Matthews , Mark Rowland , Jiri Hron , Richard E. Turner , Zoubin Ghahramani

We propose a principled way to define Gaussian process priors on various sets of unweighted graphs: directed or undirected, with or without loops. We endow each of these sets with a geometric structure, inducing the notions of closeness and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-28 Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Mohammad Reza Karimi , Vignesh Ram Somnath , Andreas Krause

The hyperparameters in Gaussian process regression (GPR) model with a specified kernel are often estimated from the data via the maximum marginal likelihood. Due to the non-convexity of marginal likelihood with respect to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-15 Zexun Chen , Bo Wang

This paper is an attempt to bridge the conceptual gaps between researchers working on the two widely used approaches based on positive definite kernels: Bayesian learning or inference using Gaussian processes on the one side, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-10 Motonobu Kanagawa , Philipp Hennig , Dino Sejdinovic , Bharath K Sriperumbudur

In this paper, we present a comprehensive analysis of the posterior covariance field in Gaussian processes, with applications to the posterior covariance matrix. The analysis is based on the Gaussian prior covariance but the approach also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-03 Difeng Cai , Edmond Chow , Yuanzhe Xi

We consider learning on graphs, guided by kernels that encode similarity between vertices. Our focus is on random walk kernels, the analogues of squared exponential kernels in Euclidean spaces. We show that on large, locally treelike,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-01 Matthew Urry , Peter Sollich

Neal (1996) proved that infinitely wide shallow Bayesian neural networks (BNN) converge to Gaussian processes (GP), when the network weights have bounded prior variance. Cho & Saul (2009) provided a useful recursive formula for deep kernel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-05 Jorge Loría , Anindya Bhadra

The use of objective prior in Bayesian applications has become a common practice to analyze data without subjective information. Formal rules usually obtain these priors distributions, and the data provide the dominant information in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Eduardo Ramos , Dipak K. Dey , Francisco Louzada

Bayesian computational strategies for inference can be inefficient in approximating the posterior distribution in models that exhibit some form of periodicity. This is because the probability mass of the marginal posterior distribution of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Javier Lopez-Santiago , Luca Martino , Joaquin Miguez , Gonzalo Vazquez-Vilar

Gaussian processes are flexible function approximators, with inductive biases controlled by a covariance kernel. Learning the kernel is the key to representation learning and strong predictive performance. In this paper, we develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Gregory W. Benton , Wesley J. Maddox , Jayson P. Salkey , Julio Albinati , Andrew Gordon Wilson

While frame-independent predictions with deep neural networks have become the prominent solutions to many computer vision tasks, the potential benefits of utilizing correlations between frames have received less attention. Even though…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-05 Yuxin Hou , Ari Heljakka , Arno Solin

Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is a popular nonparametric regression model. In GPR, features of the regression function such as varying degrees of smoothness and periodicities are modeled through combining various covarinace…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Jaehoan Kim , Jaeyong Lee

The Gibbs reference posterior distribution provides an objective full-Bayesian solution to the problem of prediction of a stationary Gaussian process with Mat\'ern anisotropic kernel. A full-Bayesian approach is possible, because the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Joseph Muré

We develop an exact and scalable algorithm for one-dimensional Gaussian process regression with Mat\'ern correlations whose smoothness parameter $\nu$ is a half-integer. The proposed algorithm only requires $\mathcal{O}(\nu^3 n)$ operations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-11 Haoyuan Chen , Liang Ding , Rui Tuo

We consider the accuracy of an approximate posterior distribution in nonparametric regression problems by combining posterior distributions computed on subsets of the data defined by the locations of the independent variables. We show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Botond Szabo , Amine Hadji , Aad van der Vaart
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