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We use rescaled Gaussian processes as prior models for functional parameters in nonparametric statistical models. We show how the rate of contraction of the posterior distributions depends on the scaling factor. In particular, we exhibit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Aad van der Vaart , Harry van Zanten

The expressive power of Bayesian kernel-based methods has led them to become an important tool across many different facets of artificial intelligence, and useful to a plethora of modern application domains, providing both power and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Luca Martino , Jesse Read

Motivated by the statistical evaluation of complex computer models, we deal with the issue of objective prior specification for the parameters of Gaussian processes. In particular, we derive the Jeffreys-rule, independence Jeffreys and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rui Paulo

Although Bayesian inference is an immensely popular paradigm among a large segment of scientists including statisticians, most applications consider objective priors and need critical investigations (Efron, 2013, Science). While it has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Abhik Ghosh , Tuhin Majumder , Ayanendranath Basu

Complex-valued signals are used in the modeling of many systems in engineering and science, hence being of fundamental interest. Often, random complex-valued signals are considered to be proper. A proper complex random variable or process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-19 Rafael Boloix-Tortosa , F. Javier Payán-Somet , Eva Arias-de-Reyna , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes

The high efficiency of a recently proposed method for computing with Gaussian processes relies on expanding a (translationally invariant) covariance kernel into complex exponentials, with frequencies lying on a Cartesian equispaced grid.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-19 Alex Barnett , Philip Greengard , Manas Rachh

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to smoothing and interpolation. We introduce simple closed form kernels that can be used with Gaussian processes to discover patterns…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-03 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Ryan Prescott Adams

Gaussian processes are powerful, yet analytically tractable models for supervised learning. A Gaussian process is characterized by a mean function and a covariance function (kernel), which are determined by a model selection criterion. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-05 Benjamin Fischer , Nico Gorbach , Stefan Bauer , Yatao Bian , Joachim M. Buhmann

Gaussian processes are powerful models for probabilistic machine learning, but are limited in application by their $O(N^3)$ inference complexity. We propose a method for deriving parametric families of kernel functions with compact spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Jarred Barber

The family of Mat\'ern kernels are often used in spatial statistics, function approximation and Gaussian process methods in machine learning. One reason for their popularity is the presence of a smoothness parameter that controls, for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Moritz Korte-Stapff , Toni Karvonen , Eric Moulines

This paper establishes the first polynomial convergence rates for Gaussian kernel ridge regression (KRR) with a fixed hyperparameter in both the uniform and the $L^{2}$-norm. The uniform convergence result closes a gap in the theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-12 Paul Dommel , Rajmadan Lakshmanan

We review definitions and properties of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces attached to Gaussian variables and processes, with a view to applications in nonparametric Bayesian statistics using Gaussian priors. The rate of contraction of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2008-12-18 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Isotropic Gaussian priors are the de facto standard for modern Bayesian neural network inference. However, it is unclear whether these priors accurately reflect our true beliefs about the weight distributions or give optimal performance. To…

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, with generalization properties determined by a kernel function. When used for long-range extrapolation, predictions are particularly sensitive to the choice of kernel parameters. It…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-05 Phillip A. Jang , Andrew E. Loeb , Matthew B. Davidow , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We consider fully connected and feedforward deep neural networks with dependent and possibly heavy-tailed weights, as introduced in [26], to address limitations of the standard Gaussian prior. It has been proved in [26] that, as the number…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Nicola Apollonio , Giovanni Franzina , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

Gaussian processes are the gold standard for many real-world modeling problems, especially in cases where a model's success hinges upon its ability to faithfully represent predictive uncertainty. These problems typically exist as parts of…

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a fundamental model used in machine learning. Owing to its accurate prediction with uncertainty and versatility in handling various data structures via kernels, GPR has been successfully used in various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Yuya Yoshikawa , Tomoharu Iwata

Probabilistic neural networks are typically modeled with independent weight priors, which do not capture weight correlations in the prior and do not provide a parsimonious interface to express properties in function space. A desirable class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-12 Theofanis Karaletsos , Thang D. Bui

In this work, we investigate Gaussian process regression used to recover a function based on noisy observations. We derive upper and lower error bounds for Gaussian process regression with possibly misspecified correlation functions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Wenjia Wang , Bing-Yi Jing